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It is a matter of debate whether a shrinking proportion of scholarly literature is getting most of the references over time. It is also less well understood how a narrowing literature usage would affect the circulation of ideas in the…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2022-05-02 Attila Varga

For decades the number of scientific publications has been rapidly increasing, effectively out-dating knowledge at a tremendous rate. Only few scientific milestones remain relevant and continuously attract citations. Here we quantify how…

Science is a growing system, exhibiting ~4% annual growth in publications and ~1.8% annual growth in the number of references per publication. Combined these trends correspond to a 12-year doubling period in the total supply of references,…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2019-12-17 Raj K. Pan , Alexander M. Petersen , Fabio Pammolli , Santo Fortunato

Recent research\cite{fort} has shown that in the 20th century there is an exponential growth of the number of published scientific papers, but new ideas has only a linear growth with time. The 19th and the first half of the 20th century saw…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-21 Navinder Singh

Fast-growing scientific publications present challenges to the scientific community. In this paper, we describe their implications to researchers. As references form explicit foundations for researchers to conduct a study, we investigate…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2023-07-14 Guoxiu He , Aixin Sun , Wei Lu

The study of citation networks is of interest to the scientific community. However, the underlying mechanism driving individual citation behavior remains imperfectly understood, despite the recent proliferation of quantitative research…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-03 Feng Hu , Lin Ma , Xiu-Xiu Zhan , Yinzuo Zhou , Chuang Liu , Haixing Zhao , Zi-Ke Zhang

Progress in science has advanced the development of human society across history, with dramatic revolutions shaped by information theory, genetic cloning, and artificial intelligence, among the many scientific achievements produced in the…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2017-10-06 Yuxiao Dong , Hao Ma , Zhihong Shen , Kuansan Wang

The exponential growth in the number of scientific papers makes it increasingly difficult for researchers to keep track of all the publications relevant to their work. Consequently, the attention that can be devoted to individual papers,…

Communication of scientific knowledge beyond the walls of science is key to science's societal impact. Media channels play sizable roles in disseminating new scientific ideas about human health, economic welfare, and government policy as…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-12 Yang Yang , Tanya Tian , Brian Uzzi , Benjamin Jones

The past few centuries have witnessed a dramatic growth in scientific and technological knowledge. However, the nature of that growth - whether exponential or otherwise - remains controversial, perhaps partly due to the lack of quantitative…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-16 Huquan Kang , Luoyi Fu , Russell J. Funk , Xinbing Wang , Jiaxin Ding , Shiyu Liang , Jianghao Wang , Lei Zhou , Chenghu Zhou

Many studies in information science have looked at the growth of science. In this study, we re-examine the question of the growth of science. To do this we (i) use current data up to publication year 2012 and (ii) analyse it across all…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2014-05-09 Lutz Bornmann , Ruediger Mutz

Scientific progress has long been understood as recombinant, with breakthroughs arising when existing ideas are joined in new ways. Empirical work in this tradition has focused on the inputs to discovery, asking whether a paper draws…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Hongbo Fang , James Evans

The constantly growing body of scholarly knowledge of science, technology, and humanities is an asset of the mankind. While new discoveries expand the existing knowledge, they may simultaneously render some of it obsolete. It is crucial for…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2017-10-24 Chaomei Chen

Over the last four decades, the way knowledge is created in academia has transformed dramatically: research teams have grown larger, scholars draw from ever-wider pools of prior work, and the most influential discoveries increasingly emerge…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Sarah J. James , Marcus A. Rodriguez , David P. Miller

How does scientific knowledge grow? This question has occupied a central place in the philosophy of science, stimulating heated debates, but yielding no clear consensus. Many explanations can be understood in terms of whether and how they…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Kara Kedrick , Ekaterina Levitskaya , Russell J. Funk

In this paper we show that the dramatic increase in the number of research articles indexed in the Web of Science database impacts the commonly observed distributions of citations within these articles. First, we document that the growing…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2017-03-09 Lovro Šubelj , Dalibor Fiala

Scientists are increasingly overwhelmed by the volume of articles being published. Total articles indexed in Scopus and Web of Science have grown exponentially in recent years; in 2022 the article total was approximately ~47% higher than in…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2024-12-12 Mark A. Hanson , Pablo Gómez Barreiro , Paolo Crosetto , Dan Brockington

Overconfidence is a prevalent problem and particularly consequential in its relation with scientific knowledge: being unaware of one`s own ignorance can affect behaviours and threaten public policies and health. We introduce both analytical…

The development of inventions is theorized as a process of searching and recombining existing knowledge components. Previous studies under this theory have examined myriad characteristics of recombined knowledge and their performance…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2024-11-15 Qing Ke , Ziyou Teng , Chao Min

Academic papers have been the protagonists in disseminating expertise. Naturally, paper citation pattern analysis is an efficient and essential way of investigating the knowledge structure of science and technology. For decades, it has been…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2018-10-23 Jinhyuk Yun , Sejung Ahn , June Young Lee
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