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The behaviors and skills of models in many geosciences (e.g., hydrology and ecosystem sciences) strongly depend on spatially-varying parameters that need calibration. A well-calibrated model can reasonably propagate information from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-24 Wen-Ping Tsai , Dapeng Feng , Ming Pan , Hylke Beck , Kathryn Lawson , Yuan Yang , Jiangtao Liu , Chaopeng Shen

We investigate the parameter recovery of Markov-switching ordinary differential processes from discrete observations, where the differential equations are nonlinear additive models. This framework has been widely applied in biological…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Katherine Tsai , Mladen Kolar , Sanmi Koyejo

This presentation will introduce the audience to a new, emerging body of research on sequential Monte Carlo techniques in robotics. In recent years, particle filters have solved several hard perceptual robotic problems. Early successes were…

Robotics · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Sebastian Thrun

In this work we combine two distinct machine learning methodologies, sequential Monte Carlo and Bayesian experimental design, and apply them to the problem of inferring the dynamical parameters of a quantum system. We design the algorithm…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-10-10 Christopher E. Granade , Christopher Ferrie , Nathan Wiebe , D. G. Cory

Continual Object Detection is essential for enabling intelligent agents to interact proactively with humans in real-world settings. While parameter-isolation strategies have been extensively explored in the context of continual learning for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-21 Angelo G. Menezes , Augusto J. Peterlevitz , Mateus A. Chinelatto , André C. P. L. F. de Carvalho

This paper concerns numerical assessment of Monte Carlo error in particle filters. We show that by keeping track of certain key features of the genealogical structure arising from resampling operations, it is possible to estimate variances…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-29 Anthony Lee , Nick Whiteley

This paper discusses variance estimation in sequential Monte Carlo methods, alternatively termed particle filters. The variance estimator that we propose is a natural modification of that suggested by H. P. Chan and T. L. Lai [A general…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-05 Jimmy Olsson , Randal Douc

This paper proposes a new sampling scheme based on Langevin dynamics that is applicable within pseudo-marginal and particle Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms. We investigate this algorithm's theoretical properties under standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-30 Christopher Nemeth , Chris Sherlock , Paul Fearnhead

In this paper we consider a fractional stochastic volatility model, that is a model in which the volatility may exhibit a long-range dependent or a rough/antipersistent behavior. We propose a dynamic sequential Monte Carlo methodology that…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Alexandra Chronopoulou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Given data obtained under two sampling conditions, it is often of interest to identify variables that behave differently in one condition than in the other. We introduce a method for differential analysis of second-order behavior called…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-26 Kelly Bodwin , Kai Zhang , Andrew Nobel

A framework is introduced for actively and adaptively solving a sequence of machine learning problems, which are changing in bounded manner from one time step to the next. An algorithm is developed that actively queries the labels of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-31 Yuheng Bu , Jiaxun Lu , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Studying systems where many individual bodies in motion interact with one another is a complex and interesting area. Simple mechanisms that may be determined for biological, chemical, or physical reasons can lead to astonishingly complex…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-03 Cameron McNamee , Renee Reijo Pera

Sharing parameters in multi-agent deep reinforcement learning has played an essential role in allowing algorithms to scale to a large number of agents. Parameter sharing between agents significantly decreases the number of trainable…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Filippos Christianos , Georgios Papoudakis , Arrasy Rahman , Stefano V. Albrecht

Single-particle traces of the diffusive motion of molecules, cells, or animals are by-now routinely measured, similar to stochastic records of stock prices or weather data. Deciphering the stochastic mechanism behind the recorded dynamics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-14 Henrik Seckler , Janusz Szwabinski , Ralf Metzler

A new framework of thermodynamic modeling is proposed by introducing the concept of differentiable programming, where all the thermodynamic observables including both thermochemical quantities and phase equilibria can be differentiated with…

Materials Science · Physics 2021-02-23 Pin-Wen Guan

We present a new approach-the ALVar estimator-to estimation of asymptotic variance in sequential Monte Carlo methods, or, particle filters. The method, which adjusts adaptively the lag of the estimator proposed in [Olsson, J. and Douc, R.…

Computation · Statistics 2022-07-21 Alessandro Mastrototaro , Jimmy Olsson

In this paper we propose a framework inspired by interacting particle physics and devised to perform clustering on multidimensional datasets. To this end, any given dataset is modeled as an interacting particle system, under the assumption…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-07-26 Giuliano Armano , Marco Alberto Javarone

Data taken from observations of the natural world or laboratory measurements often depend on parameters which can vary in unexpected ways. In this paper we demonstrate how machine learning can be leveraged to detect changes in global…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-11-25 Logan M. Kageorge , Roman O. Grigoriev , Michael F. Schatz

This work presents a differentiable rendering approach that allows latent fractal flame parameters to be learned from image supervision using gradient descent optimization. The approach extends the state-of-the-art in differentiable…

Graphics · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Jordan J. Bannister , Derek Nowrouzezahrai

Iterative algorithms, like gradient descent, are common tools for solving a variety of problems, such as model fitting. For this reason, there is interest in creating differentially private versions of them. However, their conversion to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-30 Jaewoo Lee , Daniel Kifer
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