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We introduce a generalized Bayesian method for multiple changepoint analysis with a loss function inspired by multinomial logistic regression. The method does not require a specification of the data-generating process and avoids restrictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Yuhui Wang , Andrew M. Thomas , Michael Jauch

High-dimensional changepoint analysis is a growing area of research and has applications in a wide range of fields. The aim is to accurately and efficiently detect changepoints in time series data when both the number of time points and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-01 Thomas Grundy , Rebecca Killick , Gueorgui Mihaylov

Predicting patient features from single-cell data can help identify cellular states implicated in health and disease. Linear models and average cell type expressions are typically favored for this task for their efficiency and robustness,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Jan P. Engelmann , Alessandro Palma , Jakub M. Tomczak , Fabian J. Theis , Francesco Paolo Casale

We introduce a framework for online changepoint detection and simultaneous model learning which is applicable to highly parametrized models, such as deep neural networks. It is based on detecting changepoints across time by sequentially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-08 Michalis K. Titsias , Jakub Sygnowski , Yutian Chen

It is quite common that the structure of a time series changes abruptly. Identifying these change points and describing the model structure in the segments between these change points is of interest. In this paper, time series data is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-18 Lijing Ma , Andrew Grant , Georgy Sofronov

This paper is a note on the use of Bayesian nonparametric mixture models for continuous time series. We identify a key requirement for such models, and then establish that there is a single type of model which meets this requirement. As it…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-03-05 George Karabatsos , Stephen G. Walker

We propose a new method for clustering multivariate time-series data based on Dynamic Linear Models. Whereas usual time-series clustering methods obtain static membership parameters, our proposal allows each time-series to dynamically…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-06 Victhor S. Sartório , Thaís C. O. Fonseca

This article introduces a novel Bayesian method for asynchronous change-point detection in multivariate time series. This method allows for change-points to occur earlier in some (leading) series followed, after a short delay, by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-28 Carson McKee , Maria Kalli

We propose a random-effects approach to missing values for generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) analysis. The method converts a GLMM with missing covariates to another GLMM without missing covariates. The standard GLMM analysis tools for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Thuan Nguyen , Jiangshan Zhang , Jiming Jiang

Major advances have been made regarding the utilization of artificial intelligence in health care. In particular, deep learning approaches have been successfully applied for automated and assisted disease diagnosis and prognosis based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-24 Max Westphal , Antonia Zapf , Werner Brannath

Time series, as frequently the case in neuroscience, are rarely stationary, but often exhibit abrupt changes due to attractor transitions or bifurcations in the dynamical systems producing them. A plethora of methods for detecting such…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-05 Hazem Toutounji , Daniel Durstewitz

Change-point models are frequently considered when modeling phenomena where a regime shift occurs at an unknown time. In ageing research, these models are commonly adopted to estimate of the onset of cognitive decline. Yet commonly used…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-13 Fernando Massa , Marco Scavino , Graciela Muniz-Terrera

We propose a flexible regression framework to model the conditional distribution of multilevel generalized multivariate functional data of potentially mixed type, e.g. binary and continuous data. We make pointwise parametric distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-31 Alexander Volkmann , Nikolaus Umlauf , Sonja Greven

When analysing multiple time series that may be subject to changepoints, it is sometimes possible to specify a priori, by means of a graph, which pairs of time series are likely to be impacted by simultaneous changepoints. This article…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-10 Karl L. Hallgren , Nicholas A. Heard , Melissa J. M. Turcotte

Data privacy has increasingly become a daunting challenge because it limits data availability, which is essential in estimating statistical models such as generalized linear mixed models. Access to personal data often involves considerable…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Marie Analiz April Limpoco , Christel Faes , Niel Hens

We propose an algorithm for simultaneously detecting and locating changepoints in a time series, and a framework for predicting the distribution of the next point in the series. The kernel of the algorithm is a system of equations that…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-09 Allen B. Downey

In the health domain, decisions are often based on different data modalities. Thus, when creating prediction models, multimodal fusion approaches that can extract and combine relevant features from different data modalities, can be highly…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Mafalda Malafaia , Thalea Schlender , Peter A. N. Bosman , Tanja Alderliesten

Linear mixed models are widely used for clustered data, but their reliance on parametric forms limits flexibility in complex and high-dimensional settings. In contrast, gradient boosting methods achieve high predictive accuracy through…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-04 Mitchell L. Prevett , Francis K. C. Hui , Zhi Yang Tho , A. H. Welsh , Anton H. Westveld

Dynamic networks exhibit temporal patterns that vary across different time scales, all of which can potentially affect processes that take place on the network. However, most data-driven approaches used to model time-varying networks…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-27 Tiago P. Peixoto , Laetitia Gauvin

We introduce Matched Machine Learning, a framework that combines the flexibility of machine learning black boxes with the interpretability of matching, a longstanding tool in observational causal inference. Interpretability is paramount in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-05 Marco Morucci , Cynthia Rudin , Alexander Volfovsky