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We present a contact-based model to study the spreading of epidemics by means of extending the dynamic message passing approach to temporal networks. The shift in perspective from node- to edge-centric quantities enables accurate modelling…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-07 Andreas Koher , Hartmut H. K. Lentz , James P. Gleeson , Philipp Hövel

Dynamic graph neural networks (DGNNs) are increasingly pervasive in exploiting spatio-temporal patterns on dynamic graphs. However, existing works fail to generalize under distribution shifts, which are common in real-world scenarios. As…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Haonan Yuan , Qingyun Sun , Xingcheng Fu , Ziwei Zhang , Cheng Ji , Hao Peng , Jianxin Li

This study presents a neural network-enhanced approach to modeling disease spread dynamics over time and space. Neural networks are used to estimate time-varying parameters, with two calibration methods explored: Approximate Bayesian…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-29 Randy L. Caga-anan

Estimating population-level prevalence and transmission dynamics of wildlife pathogens can be challenging, partly because surveillance data is sparse, detection-driven, and unevenly sequenced. Using highly pathogenic avian influenza A/H5…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-16 Haley Stone , Jing Du , Yang Yang , Ashna Desai , Rebecca Dawson , Hao Xue , David Heslop , Matthew Scotch , Andreas Züfle , C. Raina MacIntyre , Flora Salim

In this paper, we develop a method to estimate the infection-rate of a disease, over a region, as a field that varies in space and time. To do so, we use time-series of case-counts of symptomatic patients as observed in the areal units that…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-19 Cosmin Safta , Wyatt Bridgman , Jaideep Ray

While electronic health records (EHRs) are widely used across various applications in healthcare, most applications use the EHRs in their raw (tabular) format. Relying on raw or simple data pre-processing can greatly limit the performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-28 Fahmida Liza Piya , Mehak Gupta , Rahmatollah Beheshti

We introduce HTAD, a novel model for diagnosis prediction using Electronic Health Records (EHR) represented as Heterogeneous Information Networks. Recent studies on modeling EHR have shown success in automatically learning representations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-24 Anahita Hosseini , Tyler Davis , Majid Sarrafzadeh

Electronic Health Records (EHRs) contain rich temporal dynamics that conventional encoding approaches fail to adequately capture. While Large Language Models (LLMs) show promise for EHR modeling, they struggle to reason about sequential…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Zekai Chen , Arda Pekis , Kevin Brown

Infected individuals in some epidemics can remain asymptomatic while still carrying and transmitting the infection. These individuals contribute to the spread of the epidemic and pose a significant challenge to public health policies.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Conrado Catarcione Pinto , Amanda Camacho Novaes de Oliveira , Rodrigo Sapienza Luna , Daniel Ratton Figueiredo

Identifying areas in a landscape where individuals have a higher likelihood of disease infection is key to managing diseases. Unlike conventional methods relying on ecological assumptions, we perform a novel epidemiological tomography for…

Early Warning Signals (EWSs) are vital for implementing preventive measures before a disease turns into a pandemic. While new diseases exhibit unique behaviors, they often share fundamental characteristics from a dynamical systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Reza Miry , Amit K. Chakraborty , Russell Greiner , Mark A. Lewis , Hao Wang , Tianyu Guan , Pouria Ramazi

Responding to disease outbreaks requires close surveillance of their trajectories, but outbreak detection is hindered by the high noise in epidemic time series. Aggregating information across data sources has shown great denoising ability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Ruiqi Lyu , Alistair Turcan , Bryan Wilder

Electronic Health Records (EHR) contain valuable clinical information for predicting patient outcomes and guiding healthcare decisions. However, effectively modeling Electronic Health Records (EHRs) requires addressing data heterogeneity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Junhan Yu , Zhunyi Feng , Junwei Lu , Tianxi Cai , Doudou Zhou

Accurate epidemic forecasting is crucial for outbreak preparedness, but existing data-driven models are often brittle. Typically trained on a single pathogen, they struggle with data scarcity during new outbreaks and fail under distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Zewen Liu , Juntong Ni , Bohan Wang , Max S. Y. Lau , Wei Jin

Locating the source of an epidemic, or patient zero (P0), can provide critical insights into the infection's transmission course and allow efficient resource allocation. Existing methods use graph-theoretic centrality measures and expensive…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Chintan Shah , Nima Dehmamy , Nicola Perra , Matteo Chinazzi , Albert-László Barabási , Alessandro Vespignani , Rose Yu

In the evolving field of psychopathology, the accurate assessment and forecasting of data derived from Ecological Momentary Assessment (EMA) is crucial. EMA offers contextually-rich psychopathological measurements over time, that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-29 Mandani Ntekouli , Gerasimos Spanakis , Lourens Waldorp , Anne Roefs

Earth Observation (EO) data analysis has been significantly revolutionized by deep learning (DL), with applications typically limited to grid-like data structures. Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) emerge as an important innovation, propelling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Shan Zhao , Zhaiyu Chen , Zhitong Xiong , Yilei Shi , Sudipan Saha , Xiao Xiang Zhu

Accurate and explainable health event predictions are becoming crucial for healthcare providers to develop care plans for patients. The availability of electronic health records (EHR) has enabled machine learning advances in providing these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-18 Chang Lu , Chandan K. Reddy , Prithwish Chakraborty , Samantha Kleinberg , Yue Ning

Motivation: Electronic Health Records (EHR) represent a comprehensive resource of a patient's medical history. EHR are essential for utilizing advanced technologies such as deep learning (DL), enabling healthcare providers to analyze…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Mohammad Al Olaimat , Serdar Bozdag

Depression is a major cause of global mental illness and significantly influences suicide rates. Timely and accurate diagnosis is essential for effective intervention. Electroencephalography (EEG) provides a non-invasive and accessible…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-11 Soujanya Hazra , Sanjay Ghosh