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Existing conformal prediction methods for time-to-event outcomes leverage only baseline covariates, producing prediction intervals that are insufficiently informative to facilitate decision making. We propose History-Aware Prediction Sets…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Yuyao Wang , Alexander W. Levis , Shu Yang , Larry Han

In this paper, we study randomized methods for feedback design of uncertain systems. The first contribution is to derive the sample complexity of various constrained control problems. In particular, we show the key role played by the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-07-22 T. Alamo , R. Tempo , A. Luque , D. R. Ramirez

In supervised learning, including regression and classification, conformal methods provide prediction sets for the outcome/label with finite sample coverage for any machine learning predictor. We consider here the case where such prediction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Ulysse Gazin , Ruth Heller , Ariane Marandon , Etienne Roquain

Probabilistic artificial neural networks offer intriguing prospects for enabling the uncertainty of artificial intelligence methods to be described explicitly in their function; however, the development of techniques that quantify…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-23 James B. Aimone , William Severa , J. Darby Smith

We propose Differentiable Satisfiability and Differentiable Answer Set Programming (Differentiable SAT/ASP) for multi-model optimization. Models (answer sets or satisfying truth assignments) are sampled using a novel SAT/ASP solving…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-01-01 Matthias Nickles

Probabilistic deep learning is deep learning that accounts for uncertainty, both model uncertainty and data uncertainty. It is based on the use of probabilistic models and deep neural networks. We distinguish two approaches to probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Daniel T. Chang

Monte Carlo inference has asymptotic guarantees, but can be slow when using generic proposals. Handcrafted proposals that rely on user knowledge about the posterior distribution can be efficient, but are difficult to derive and implement.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-01-16 Marco F. Cusumano-Towner , Vikash K. Mansinghka

In this paper, we introduce a method for approximating the solution to inference and optimization tasks in uncertain and deterministic reasoning. Such tasks are in general intractable for exact algorithms because of the large number of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-12 David Ephraim Larkin

Answer Set Programming (ASP) has emerged as a promising paradigm in knowledge representation and automated reasoning owing to its ability to model hard combinatorial problems from diverse domains in a natural way. Building on advances in…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-12-20 Mohimenul Kabir , Supratik Chakraborty , Kuldeep S Meel

Pursuing invariant prediction from heterogeneous environments opens the door to learning causality in a purely data-driven way and has several applications in causal discovery and robust transfer learning. However, existing methods such as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Yihong Gu , Cong Fang , Yang Xu , Zijian Guo , Jianqing Fan

Despite the recent successes of probabilistic programming languages (PPLs) in AI applications, PPLs offer only limited support for random variables whose distributions combine discrete and continuous elements. We develop the notion of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-06-11 Yi Wu , Siddharth Srivastava , Nicholas Hay , Simon Du , Stuart Russell

Answer set programming (ASP) and planning are two widely used paradigms for solving logic programs with declarative programming. In both cases, the quality of the input programs has a major influence on the quality and performance of the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-05-09 Patrick Lühne

The growing prevalence of large language models (LLMs) and vision-language models (VLMs) has heightened the need for reliable techniques to determine whether a model has been fine-tuned from or is even identical to another. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Ruibo Chen , Sheng Zhang , Yihan Wu , Tong Zheng , Peihua Mai , Heng Huang

Language models generate text based on successively sampling the next word. A decoding procedure based on nucleus (top-$p$) sampling chooses from the smallest possible set of words whose cumulative probability exceeds the probability $p$.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-05 Shauli Ravfogel , Yoav Goldberg , Jacob Goldberger

Probabilistic programming languages allow programmers to write down conditional probability distributions that represent statistical and machine learning models as programs that use observe statements. These programs are run by accumulating…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2021-01-25 Jules Jacobs

Inference for probabilistic graphical models is still very much a practical challenge in large domains. The commonly used and effective belief propagation (BP) algorithm and its generalizations often do not converge when applied to hard,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Gal Elidan , Ian McGraw , Daphne Koller

Answer set programming (ASP) is a well-established logic programming language that offers an intuitive, declarative syntax for problem solving. In its traditional application, a fixed ASP program for a given problem is designed and the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-08 Manuel Bichler , Michael Morak , Stefan Woltran

In recent years answer set programming has been extended to deal with multi-valued predicates. The resulting formalisms allows for the modeling of continuous problems as elegantly as ASP allows for the modeling of discrete problems, by…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2011-04-28 Jeroen Janssen , Steven Schockaert , Dirk Vermeir , Martine De Cock

In this position paper, we study interactive learning for structured output spaces, with a focus on active learning, in which labels are unknown and must be acquired, and on skeptical learning, in which the labels are noisy and may need…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-18 Stefano Teso , Antonio Vergari

There are many different probabilistic programming languages that are specialized to specific kinds of probabilistic programs. From a usability and scalability perspective, this is undesirable: today, probabilistic programmers are forced…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Sam Stites , John M. Li , Steven Holtzen