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Reliable uncertainty quantification is essential in survival prediction, particularly in clinical settings where erroneous decisions carry high risk. Conformal prediction has attracted substantial attention as it offers a model-agnostic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-04 Jaeyoung Shin , Chi Hyun Lee , Sangwook Kang

In this work, we present a regression-based ordinal regression algorithm for supervised classification of instances into ordinal categories. In contrast to previous methods, in this work the decision boundaries between categories are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Tzeviya Sylvia Fuchs , Joseph Keshet

Predicting time-to-event outcomes in large databases can be a challenging but important task. One example of this is in predicting the time to a clinical outcome for patients in intensive care units (ICUs), which helps to support critical…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-06 Yingying Xu , Joon Lee , Joel A. Dubin

In this paper we utilize a survival analysis methodology incorporating Bayesian additive regression trees to account for nonlinear and additive covariate effects. We compare the performance of Bayesian additive regression trees, Cox…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-05 Satabdi Saha , Duchwan Ryu , Nader Ebrahimi

Survival analysis on tabular data is a well-studied problem. However, existing deep learning methods are often highly task-specific, which can limit the transfer of new approaches from other domains and introduce constraints that may affect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Stanislav Kirpichenko , Andrei Konstantinov , Lev Utkin

This paper focuses on the task of survival time analysis for lung cancer. Although much progress has been made in this problem in recent years, the performance of existing methods is still far from satisfactory. Traditional and some deep…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Yujiao Wu , Yaxiong Wang , Xiaoshui Huang , Fan Yang , Sai Ho Ling , Steven Weidong Su

As machine learning models become increasingly integrated into healthcare, structural inequities and social biases embedded in clinical data can be perpetuated or even amplified by data-driven models. In survival analysis, censoring and…

The modeling of time-to-event data, also known as survival analysis, requires specialized methods that can deal with censoring and truncation, time-varying features and effects, and that extend to settings with multiple competing events.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-20 Andreas Bender , David Rügamer , Fabian Scheipl , Bernd Bischl

In this paper, we consider a novel framework of positive-unlabeled data in which as positive data survival times are observed for subjects who have events during the observation time as positive data and as unlabeled data censoring times…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-30 Tomoki Toyabe , Yasuhiro Hasegawa , Takahiro Hoshino

Survival analysis holds a crucial role across diverse disciplines, such as economics, engineering and healthcare. It empowers researchers to analyze both time-invariant and time-varying data, encompassing phenomena like customer churn,…

A method for estimating the conditional average treatment effect under condition of censored time-to-event data called BENK (the Beran Estimator with Neural Kernels) is proposed. The main idea behind the method is to apply the Beran…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-22 Stanislav R. Kirpichenko , Lev V. Utkin , Andrei V. Konstantinov

Time series forecasting is ubiquitous in the modern world. Applications range from health care to astronomy, and include climate modelling, financial trading and monitoring of critical engineering equipment. To offer value over this range…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-26 Bernardo Pérez Orozco , Gabriele Abbati , Stephen Roberts

Advances in survival analysis have facilitated unprecedented flexibility in data modeling, yet there remains a lack of tools for graphically illustrating the influence of continuous covariates on predicted survival outcomes. We propose the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-15 Yushu Shi , Liangliang Zhang , Kim-Anh Do , Robert R. Jenq , Christine B. Peterson

Survival prediction is a crucial task associated with cancer diagnosis and treatment planning. This paper presents a novel approach to survival prediction by harnessing comprehensive information from CT and PET scans, along with associated…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-01 Aiman Farooq , Deepak Mishra , Santanu Chaudhury

Prognostication for lung cancer, a leading cause of mortality, remains a complex task, as it needs to quantify the associations of risk factors and health events spanning a patient's entire life. One challenge is that an individual's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-28 Stephen Salerno , Yi Li

Cancer survival prediction is important for developing personalized treatments and inducing disease-causing mechanisms. Multi-omics data integration is attracting widespread interest in cancer research for providing information for…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-12 Xing Wu , Qiulian Fang

We consider continuous-time survival or more general event-history settings, where the aim is to infer the causal effect of a time-dependent treatment process. This is formalised as the effect on the outcome event of a (possibly…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-23 Kjetil Røysland , Pål Ryalen , Mari Nygård , Vanessa Didelez

Current Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation (TMLE) methods used to analyze time-to-event data estimate the survival probability for each time point separately, which result in estimates that are not necessarily monotone. In this paper,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-14 Weixin Cai , Mark J. van der Laan

This work bridges the gap between staggered adoption designs and survival analysis to estimate causal effects in settings with time-varying treatments, addressing a fundamental challenge in medical research exemplified by the Stanford Heart…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Xiang Meng , Iavor Bojinov

The recent wide adoption of Electronic Medical Records (EMR) presents great opportunities and challenges for data mining. The EMR data is largely temporal, often noisy, irregular and high dimensional. This paper constructs a novel ordinal…

Applications · Statistics 2014-07-24 Truyen Tran , Dinh Phung , Wei Luo , Svetha Venkatesh