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We introduce a path sampling method for obtaining statistical properties of an arbitrary stochastic dynamics. The method works by decomposing a trajectory in time, estimating the probability of satisfying a progress constraint, modifying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-04 Nicholas Guttenberg , Aaron R. Dinner , Jonathan Weare

Classical optimal transport problem seeks a transportation map that preserves the total mass betwenn two probability distributions, requiring their mass to be the same. This may be too restrictive in certain applications such as color or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-15 Laetitia Chapel , Mokhtar Z. Alaya , Gilles Gasso

We consider the problem of forecasting the regions at higher risk for newly introduced invasive species. Favourable and unfavourable regions may indeed not be known a priori, especially for exotic species whose hosts in native range and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2009-07-07 Michel Cristofol , Lionel Roques

In many applications of optimal transport (OT), the object of primary interest is the optimal transport map. This map rearranges mass from one probability distribution to another in the most efficient way possible by minimizing a specified…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Tudor Manole , Larry Wasserman

In this review/tutorial article, we present recent progress on optimal control of partially observed Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs). We first present regularity and continuity conditions for POMDPs and their belief-MDP reductions, where…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Ali Devran Kara , Serdar Yuksel

We investigate different turnpike phenomena of generalized discrete-time stochastic linear-quadratic optimal control problems. Our analysis is based on a novel strict dissipativity notion for such problems, in which a stationary stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Jonas Schießl , Ruchuan Ou , Timm Faulwasser , Michael Heinrich Baumann , Lars Grüne

A distribution shift can have fundamental consequences such as signaling a change in the operating environment or significantly reducing the accuracy of downstream models. Thus, understanding distribution shifts is critical for examining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Sean Kulinski , David I. Inouye

This work establishes a general stochastic maximum principle for partially observed optimal control of semi-linear stochastic partial differential equations in a nonconvex control domain. The state evolves in a Hilbert space driven by a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Yanzhao Cao , Hongjiang Qian , George Yin

In this paper, we are concerned with a stochastic optimal control problem of mean-field type under partial observation, where the state equation is governed by the controlled nonlinear mean-field stochastic differential equation, moreover…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-15 Maonin Tang , Qingxin Meng

We study data-driven learning of robust stochastic control for infinite-horizon systems with potentially continuous state and action spaces. In many managerial settings--supply chains, finance, manufacturing, services, and dynamic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-18 Shengbo Wang , Jason Meng , Nian Si , Jose Blanchet , Zhengyuan Zhou

First order stochastic dominance and monotone likelihood ratio are two partial orders on the $n$-probability simplex that play an important role in the establishment of structural results for MDPs and POMDPs. We study the strength of those…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-14 Sela Fried

A popular view in contemporary Boltzmannian statistical mechanics is to interpret the measures as typicality measures. In measure-theoretic dynamical systems theory measures can similarly be interpreted as typicality measures. However, a…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2013-10-08 Charlotte Werndl

Introduced by M\"uller et al. in their seminal paper \cite{muller}, fractional stochastic dominance (SD) offers a nuanced approach to ordering distributions. In this paper, we propose a fundamentally new framework by replacing the fixed…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-13 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Ozan Hür

Probabilistic control design is founded on the principle that a rational agent attempts to match modelled with an arbitrary desired closed-loop system trajectory density. The framework was originally proposed as a tractable alternative to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Tom Lefebvre

Optimal transport is the problem of designing a joint distribution for two random variables with fixed marginals. In virtually the entire literature on this topic, the objective is to minimize expected cost. This paper is the first to study…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-13 Yinchu Zhu , Ilya O. Ryzhov

This note is addressed to giving a short introduction to control theory of stochastic systems, governed by stochastic differential equations in both finite and infinite dimensions. We will mainly explain the new phenomenon and difficulties…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-09 Qi Lu , Xu Zhang

Imbalance in covariate distributions leads to biased estimates of causal effects. Weighting methods attempt to correct this imbalance but rely on specifying models for the treatment assignment mechanism, which is unknown in observational…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-13 Eric Dunipace

Inverse optimal control can be used to characterize behavior in sequential decision-making tasks. Most existing work, however, is limited to fully observable or linear systems, or requires the action signals to be known. Here, we introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Dominik Straub , Matthias Schultheis , Heinz Koeppl , Constantin A. Rothkopf

IIn this paper, we study a partially observed progressive optimal control problem of forward-backward stochastic differential equations with random jumps, where the control domain is not necessarily convex, and the control variable enter…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-27 Yueyang Zheng , Jingtao Shi

This paper analyzes a stochastic logistic difference equation under the assumption that the population distribution follows a normal distribution. Our focus is on the mathematical relationship between the average growth rate and a newly…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Haiyan Wang