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Time series classification is a fundamental machine learning task with broad real-world applications. Although many deep learning methods have proven effective in learning time-series data for classification, they were originally developed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Wenbin Pei , Ruohao Dai , Bing Xue , Mengjie Zhang , Qiang Zhang , Yiu-Ming Cheung

The adaptation of large language models (LLMs) to time series forecasting poses unique challenges, as time series data is continuous in nature, while LLMs operate on discrete tokens. Despite the success of LLMs in natural language…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Taibiao Zhao , Xiaobing Chen , Mingxuan Sun

Recent work has focused on data-driven learning of the evolution of unknown systems via deep neural networks (DNNs), with the goal of conducting long time prediction of the evolution of the unknown system. Training a DNN with low…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-28 Victor Churchill , Steve Manns , Zhen Chen , Dongbin Xiu

Analyzing the distribution shift of data is a growing research direction in nowadays Machine Learning (ML), leading to emerging new benchmarks that focus on providing a suitable scenario for studying the generalization properties of ML…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Marius Dragoi , Elena Burceanu , Emanuela Haller , Andrei Manolache , Florin Brad

This paper introduces a novel spatiotemporal feature representation model designed to address the limitations of traditional methods in multidimensional time series (MTS) analysis. The proposed approach converts MTS into one-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Xu Yan , Yaoting Jiang , Wenyi Liu , Didi Yi , Jianjun Wei

The performance of time series forecasting has recently been greatly improved by the introduction of transformers. In this paper, we propose a general multi-scale framework that can be applied to the state-of-the-art transformer-based time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Amin Shabani , Amir Abdi , Lili Meng , Tristan Sylvain

The goal of this paper is to develop distributionally robust optimization (DRO) estimators, specifically for multidimensional Extreme Value Theory (EVT) statistics. EVT supports using semi-parametric models called max-stable distributions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-02 Patrick Kuiper , Ali Hasan , Wenhao Yang , Yuting Ng , Hoda Bidkhori , Jose Blanchet , Vahid Tarokh

Diffusion models have recently emerged as powerful frameworks for generating high-quality images. While recent studies have explored their application to time series forecasting, these approaches face significant challenges in cross-modal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-24 Weilin Ruan , Siru Zhong , Haomin Wen , Yuxuan Liang

Adapting large language models (LLMs) to a targeted task efficiently and effectively remains a fundamental challenge. Such adaptation often requires iteratively improving the model toward a targeted task, yet collecting high-quality…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Ting-Wei Li , Sirui Chen , Jiaru Zou , Yingbing Huang , Tianxin Wei , Jingrui He , Hanghang Tong

Time series forecasting presents significant challenges in real-world applications across various domains. Building upon the decomposition of the time series, we enhance the architecture of machine learning models for better multivariate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Sanjeev Panta , Xu Yuan , Li Chen , Nian-Feng Tzeng

Forecasting models that are trained across sets of many time series, known as Global Forecasting Models (GFM), have shown recently promising results in forecasting competitions and real-world applications, outperforming many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-07 Kasun Bandara , Hansika Hewamalage , Yuan-Hao Liu , Yanfei Kang , Christoph Bergmeir

Time-series anomaly detection deals with the problem of detecting anomalous timesteps by learning normality from the sequence of observations. However, the concept of normality evolves over time, leading to a "new normal problem", where the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Dongmin Kim , Sunghyun Park , Jaegul Choo

Data with missing values is ubiquitous in many applications. Recent years have witnessed increasing attention on prediction with only incomplete data consisting of observed features and a mask that indicates the missing pattern. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-22 Yichen Zhu , Jian Yuan , Bo Jiang , Tao Lin , Haiming Jin , Xinbing Wang , Chenghu Zhou

Modeling non-stationary data is a challenging problem in the field of continual learning, and data distribution shifts may result in negative consequences on the performance of a machine learning model. Classic learning tools are often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Sebastián Basterrech , Line Clemmensen , Gerardo Rubino

Accurately predicting stock returns is crucial for effective portfolio management. However, existing methods often overlook a fundamental issue in the market, namely, distribution shifts, making them less practical for predicting future…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Haiyao Cao , Jinan Zou , Yuhang Liu , Zhen Zhang , Ehsan Abbasnejad , Anton van den Hengel , Javen Qinfeng Shi

Traditional normalization techniques (e.g., Batch Normalization and Instance Normalization) generally and simplistically assume that training and test data follow the same distribution. As distribution shifts are inevitable in real-world…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-08-17 Zhiqiang Tang , Yunhe Gao , Yi Zhu , Zhi Zhang , Mu Li , Dimitris Metaxas

Additive smooth models, such as Generalized additive models (GAMs) of location, scale, and shape (GAMLSS), are a popular choice for modeling experimental data. However, software available to fit such models is usually not tailored…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-17 Joshua Krause , Jelmer P. Borst , Jacolien van Rij

Covariate shifts are a common problem in predictive modeling on real-world problems. This paper proposes addressing the covariate shift problem by minimizing Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) statistics between the training and test sets in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-03 Liwen Ouyang , Aaron Key

As the use of machine learning in high impact domains becomes widespread, the importance of evaluating safety has increased. An important aspect of this is evaluating how robust a model is to changes in setting or population, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Adarsh Subbaswamy , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria

Distribution shifts, where statistical properties differ between training and test datasets, present a significant challenge in real-world machine learning applications where they directly impact model generalization and robustness. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-06 Vegard Flovik
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