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Predicting a fast and accurate model for stock price forecasting is been a challenging task and this is an active area of research where it is yet to be found which is the best way to forecast the stock price. Machine learning, deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-13 Himanshu Gupta , Aditya Jaiswal

Our goal here is to discuss the pricing problem of European and American options in discrete time using elementary calculus so as to be an easy reference for first year undergraduate students. Using the binomial model we compute the fair…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-07 Nikolaos Halidias

This paper applies a recurrent neural network (RNN) method to forecast cotton and oil prices. We show how these new tools from machine learning, particularly Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) models, complement traditional methods. Our results…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-18 Racine Ly , Fousseini Traore , Khadim Dia

Foreign currency exchange plays a vital role for trading of currency in the financial market. Due to its volatile nature, prediction of foreign currency exchange is a challenging task. This paper presents different machine learning…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-27 Swagat Ranjit

Predicting the price of a house remains a challenging issue that needs to be addressed. Research has attempted to establish a model with different methods and algorithms to predict the housing price, from the traditional hedonic model to a…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-10-13 Robert Wijaya

We propose a Finance-Informed Neural Network (FINN) for option pricing and hedging that integrates financial theory directly into machine learning. Instead of training on observed option prices, FINN is learned through a self-supervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Amine M. Aboussalah , Xuanze Li , Cheng Chi , Raj Patel

Any discussion on exchange rate movements and forecasting should include explanatory variables from both the current account and the capital account of the balance of payments. In this paper, we include such factors to forecast the value of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-08 Tamal Datta Chaudhuri , Indranil Ghosh

In the following paper we provide a review and development of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods for option pricing. SMC are a class of Monte Carlo-based algorithms, that are designed to approximate expectations w.r.t a sequence of…

Computation · Statistics 2010-05-27 Ajay Jasra , Pierre Del Moral

We propose a deep neural network framework for computing prices and deltas of American options in high dimensions. The architecture of the framework is a sequence of neural networks, where each network learns the difference of the price…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-30 Yangang Chen , Justin W. L. Wan

The pricing and hedging of a general class of options (including American, Bermudan and European options) on multiple assets are studied in the context of currency markets where trading is subject to proportional transaction costs, and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-03 Alet Roux , Tomasz Zastawniak

In this work, we develop a novel efficient quadrature and sparse grid based polynomial interpolation method to price American options with multiple underlying assets. The approach is based on first formulating the pricing of American…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-09-20 Jiefei Yang , Guanglian Li

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are more suitable for learning non-linear dependencies in dynamical systems from observed time series data. In practice all the external variables driving such systems are not known a priori, especially in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-02 Mhlasakululeka Mvubu , Emmanuel Kabuga , Christian Plitz , Bubacarr Bah , Ronnie Becker , Hans Georg Zimmermann

The present document delineates the analysis, design, implementation, and benchmarking of various neural network architectures within a short-term frequency prediction system for the foreign exchange market (FOREX). Our aim is to simulate…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-15 Theodoros Zafeiriou , Dimitris Kalles

We investigate methods for pricing American options under the variance gamma model. The variance gamma process is a pure jump process which is constructed by replacing the calendar time by the gamma time in a Brownian motion with drift,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-04 Weilong Fu , Ali Hirsa

In this paper we introduce a new approach to model-free path-dependent option pricing. We first introduce a general duality result for linear optimisation problems over signed measures introduced in [3] and show how the the problem of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-16 Raphael Hauser , Sergey Shahverdyan

There exist several methods how more general options can be priced with call prices. In this article, we extend these results to cover a wider class of options and market models. In particular, we introduce a new pricing formula which can…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-09 Lauri Viitasaari

The key objective of this paper is to develop an empirical model for pricing SPX options that can be simulated over future paths of the SPX. To accomplish this, we formulate and rigorously evaluate several statistical models, including…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-24 Alessio Brini , David A. Hsieh , Patrick Kuiper , Sean Moushegian , David Ye

In this paper we formulate a regression problem to predict realized volatility by using option price data and enhance VIX-styled volatility indices' predictability and liquidity. We test algorithms including regularized regression and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-24 Peter Carr , Liuren Wu , Zhibai Zhang

We present a simple, fast, and accurate method for pricing a variety of discretely monitored options in the Black-Scholes framework, including autocallable structured products, single and double barrier options, and Bermudan options. The…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-04 Min Huang , Guo Luo

We introduce a stacking version of the Monte Carlo algorithm in the context of option pricing. Introduced recently for aeronautic computations, this simple technique, in the spirit of current machine learning ideas, learns control variates…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-27 Antoine Jacquier , Emma R. Malone , Mugad Oumgari