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Flooding is a destructive and dangerous hazard and climate change appears to be increasing the frequency of catastrophic flooding events around the world. Physics-based flood models are costly to calibrate and are rarely generalizable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-16 Chelsea Sidrane , Dylan J Fitzpatrick , Andrew Annex , Diane O'Donoghue , Yarin Gal , Piotr Biliński

AI data-driven models (Graphcast, Pangu Weather, Fourcastnet, and SFNO) are explored for storyline-based climate attribution due to their short inference times, which can accelerate the number of events studied, and provide real time…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-19 Jorge Baño-Medina , Agniv Sengupta , Allison Michaelis , Luca Delle Monache , Julie Kalansky , Duncan Watson-Parris

Understanding and forecasting precipitation events in the Arctic maritime environments, such as Bear Island and Ny-{\AA}lesund, is crucial for assessing climate risk and developing early warning systems in vulnerable marine regions. This…

Microclimate models are essential for linking climate to ecological processes, yet most physically based frameworks estimate temperature independently for each spatial unit and rely on simplified representations of lateral heat exchange. As…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Idan Sulami , Alon Itzkovitch , Michael R. Kearney , Moni Shahar , Ofir Levy

Climate science studies the structure and dynamics of Earth's climate system and seeks to understand how climate changes over time, where the data is usually stored in the format of time series, recording the climate features, geolocation,…

Classifying the state of the atmosphere into a finite number of large-scale circulation regimes is a popular way of investigating teleconnections, the predictability of severe weather events, and climate change. Here, we investigate a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-02 Andreas Holm Nielsen , Alexandros Iosifidis , Henrik Karstoft

The parameterization of moist convection contributes to uncertainty in climate modeling and numerical weather prediction. Machine learning (ML) can be used to learn new parameterizations directly from high-resolution model output, but it…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-11-30 Paul A. O'Gorman , John G. Dwyer

In this paper we present a discussion of the basic aspects of the well-known problem of prediction and inference in physics, with specific attention to the role of models, the use of data and the application of recent developments in…

General Physics · Physics 2024-10-07 Luca Gammaitoni , Angelo Vulpiani

Among the most relevant processes in the Earth system for human habitability are quasi-periodic, ocean-driven multi-year events whose dynamics are currently incompletely characterized by physical models, and hence poorly predictable. This…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-09 Matthew Bonas , Christopher K. Wikle , Stefano Castruccio

Extreme weather events pose significant challenges, thereby demanding techniques for accurate analysis and precise forecasting to mitigate its impact. In recent years, deep learning techniques have emerged as a promising approach for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-23 Shikha Verma , Kuldeep Srivastava , Akhilesh Tiwari , Shekhar Verma

Solar forecasting from ground-based sky images has shown great promise in reducing the uncertainty in solar power generation. With more and more sky image datasets open sourced in recent years, the development of accurate and reliable deep…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Yuhao Nie , Quentin Paletta , Andea Scott , Luis Martin Pomares , Guillaume Arbod , Sgouris Sgouridis , Joan Lasenby , Adam Brandt

Artificial Intelligence (AI) weather models are improving rapidly, and their forecasts are already competitive with long-established traditional Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP). To build confidence in this new methodology, it is critical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-23 Kirsten I. Tempest , Matthias Beylich , George C. Craig

Frequent occurrences of extreme weather events substantially impact the lives of the less privileged in our societies, particularly in agriculture-inclined economies. The unpredictability of extreme fires, floods, drought, cyclones, and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Derrick Effah , Chunguang Bai , Matthew Quayson

In recent years, a study by environmental organizations in the world and Vietnam shows that weather change is quite complex. global warming has become a serious problem in the modern world, which is a concern for scientists. last century,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Nguyen Phuc Tran , Duy Thanh Tran , Thi Thuy Nga Duong

Accurate weather and climate modeling is critical for both scientific advancement and safeguarding communities against environmental risks. Traditional approaches rely heavily on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models, which simulate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Muhammad Akhtar Munir , Fahad Shahbaz Khan , Salman Khan

Forecasting the weather is an increasingly data intensive exercise. Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models are becoming more complex, with higher resolutions, and there are increasing numbers of different models in operation. While the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-17 Charlie Kirkwood , Theo Economou , Henry Odbert , Nicolas Pugeault

Marine heatwaves (MHWs), an extreme climate phenomenon, pose significant challenges to marine ecosystems and industries, with their frequency and intensity increasing due to climate change. This study introduces an integrated deep learning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-09 Ding Ning , Varvara Vetrova , Yun Sing Koh , Karin R. Bryan

Recently, the use of machine learning in meteorology has increased greatly. While many machine learning methods are not new, university classes on machine learning are largely unavailable to meteorology students and are not required to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-08-16 Randy J. Chase , David R. Harrison , Amanda Burke , Gary M. Lackmann , Amy McGovern

It is important to predict how the Global Mean Temperature (GMT) will evolve in the next few decades. The ability to predict historical data is a necessary first step toward the actual goal of making long-range forecasts. This paper…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-14 Debdarsan Niyogi , J. Srinivasan

Stochastic methods are a crucial area in contemporary climate research and are increasingly being used in comprehensive weather and climate prediction models as well as reduced order climate models. Stochastic methods are used as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-16 Christian L. E. Franzke , Terence J. O'Kane , Judith Berner , Paul D. Williams , Valerio Lucarini