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The study of first passage times for diffusing particles reaching target states is foundational in various practical applications, including diffusion-controlled reactions. In this work, we present a bi-scaling theory for the probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-21 Talia Baravi , David A. Kessler , Eli Barkai

The problem of the mean-square optimal linear estimation of the functional $A\xi=\ \int\limits_{R^s}a(t)\xi(-t)dt,$ which depends on the unknown values of stochastic stationary process $\xi(t)$ from observations of the process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Mikhail Moklyachuk , Maria Sidei

As a first step in the first passage problem for passive tracer in stratified porous media, we consider the case of a two-dimensional system consisting of two layers with different convection velocities. Using a lattice generating function…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 Jysoo Lee , Joel Koplik

Freidlin-Wentzell theory of large deviations can be used to compute the likelihood of extreme or rare events in stochastic dynamical systems via the solution of an optimization problem. The approach gives exponential estimates that often…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-09-17 Tobias Grafke , Tobias Schäfer , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

This paper deals with the problem of optimal mean-square filtering of the linear functionals $A{\xi}=\int_{0}^{\infty}a(t)\xi(-t)dt$ and $A_T{\xi}=\int_{0}^Ta(t)\xi(-t)dt$ which depend on the unknown values of random process $\xi(t)$ with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-17 Maksym Luz , Mykhailo Moklyachuk

Let $\xi_1, \xi_2, \ldots$ be independent copies of a positive random variable $\xi$, $S_0 = 0$, and $S_k = \xi_1+\ldots+\xi_k$, $k \in \mathbb{N}$. Define $N(t) = \inf\{k \in \mathbb{N}: S_k>t\}$ for $t\geq 0$. The process $(N(t))_{t\geq…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-28 Alexander Iksanov , Alexander Marynych , Matthias Meiners

Let be $X(t)= x - \mu t + \sigma B_t - N_t$ a L$\acute{\text{e}}$vy process starting from $x >0,$ where $ \mu \ge 0, \ \sigma \ge 0, \ B_t$ is a standard BM, and $N_t$ is a homogeneous Poisson process with intensity $ \theta >0,$ starting…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-13 Mario Abundo , Sara Furia

A one dimensional diffusion process $X=\{X_t, 0\leq t \leq T\}$, with drift $b(x)$ and diffusion coefficient $\sigma(\theta, x)=\sqrt{\theta} \sigma(x)$ known up to $\theta>0$, is supposed to switch volatility regime at some point $t^*\in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-09-20 A. De Gregorio , S. M. Iacus

Employing the optimal fluctuation method (OFM), we study the large deviation function of long-time averages $(1/T)\int_{-T/2}^{T/2} x^n(t) dt$, $n=1,2, \dots$, of centered stationary Gaussian processes. These processes are correlated and,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-12-13 Baruch Meerson

We present results of the numerical simulations and the scaling characteristics of one-dimensional random fluctuations with heavy tailed probability distribution functions. Assuming that the distribution function of the random fluctuations…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-08-16 Mohsen Ghasemi Nezhadhaghighi

Consider the high-order heat-type equation $\partial u/\partial t=\pm\partial^N u/\partial x^N$ for an integer $N>2$ and introduce the related Markov pseudo-process $(X(t))_{t\ge 0}$. In this paper, we study several functionals related to…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-14 Aimé Lachal

Time-irreversible stochastic processes are frequently used in natural sciences to explain non-equilibrium phenomena and to design efficient stochastic algorithms. Our main goal in this thesis is to analyse their dynamics by means of large…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Mikola C. Schlottke

The probability distributions, as well as the mean values of stochastic currents and fluxes, associated with a driven Langevin process, provide a good and topologically protected measure of how far a stochastic system is driven out of…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2017-01-04 Michael J. Catanzaro , Vladimir Y. Chernyak , John R. Klein

The problem of the mean-square optimal linear estimation of the functional $A\xi=\ \int\limits_{R^s}a(t)\xi(-t)dt,$ which depends on the unknown values of stochastic stationary process $\xi(t)$ from observations of the process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Mykhailo Moklyachuk , Maria Sidei

We study lower and upper bounds for the density of a diffusion process in ${\mathbb{R}}^n$ in a small (but not asymptotic) time, say $\delta$. We assume that the diffusion coefficients $\sigma_1,\ldots,\sigma_d$ may degenerate at the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-03 Vlad Bally , Lucia Caramellino , Paolo Pigato

At long times, a fractional Brownian particle in a confining external potential reaches a non-equilibrium (non-Boltzmann) steady state. Here we consider scale-invariant power-law potentials $V(x)\sim |x|^m$, where $m>0$, and employ the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-03 Baruch Meerson , Pavel V. Sasorov

Motivated by the dynamics of resonant neurons we discuss the properties of the first passage time (FPT) densities for nonmarkovian differentiable random processes. We start from an exact expression for the FPT density in terms of an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 T. Verechtchaguina , I. M. Sokolov , L. Schimansky-Geier

In the "stochastic $\delta N$ formalism", the statistics of the inflationary density perturbation are obtained from the first passage distribution of a stochastic process. We develop a general framework in which to evaluate the rare tail of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-07 Jaime Calderón-Figueroa , David Seery

A fluctuating interfacial profile in one dimension is studied via Langevin simulations of the Edwards-Wilkinson equation with non-conserved noise and the Mullins-Herring equation with conserved noise. The profile is subject to either…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-28 Markus Gross

First passage time models describe the time it takes for a random process to exit a region of interest and are widely used across various scientific fields. Fast and accurate numerical methods for computing the likelihood function in these…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-17 Sicheng Liu , Alexander Fengler , Michael J. Frank , Matthew T. Harrison
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