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In causal inference, and specifically in the \textit{Causes of Effects} problem, one is interested in how to use statistical evidence to understand causation in an individual case, and so how to assess the so-called {\em probability of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-23 Fabio Corradi , Monica Musio

Event cameras provide rich signals that are suitable for motion estimation since they respond to changes in the scene. As any visual changes in the scene produce event data, it is paramount to classify the data into different motions (i.e.,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-28 Ryo Yamaki , Shintaro Shiba , Guillermo Gallego , Yoshimitsu Aoki

Bayesian methods are particularly effective for addressing inverse problems due to their ability to manage uncertainties inherent in the inference process. However, employing these methods with costly forward models poses significant…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-10-30 G. Robalo Rei , C. P. Schmidt , J. Nitzler , M. Dinkel , W. A. Wall

Conditional selective inference requires an exact characterization of the selection event, which is often unavailable except for a few examples like the lasso. This work addresses this challenge by introducing a generic approach to estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-22 Sifan Liu , Jelena Markovic-Voronov , Jonathan Taylor

Quantile regression is a powerful tool for inferring how covariates affect specific percentiles of the response distribution. Existing methods either estimate conditional quantiles separately for each quantile of interest or estimate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-19 Joseph Feldman , Daniel Kowal

Linear mixed effects models are widely used in statistical modelling. We consider a mixed effects model with Bayesian variable selection in the random effects using spike-and-slab priors and developed a variational Bayes inference scheme…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-15 M-Z. Spyropoulou , J. Hopker , J. E. Griffin

In variety testing, multi-environment trials (MET) are essential for evaluating the genotypic performance of crop plants. A persistent challenge in the statistical analysis of MET data is the estimation of variance components, which are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-20 Stephan Bark , Waqas Ahmed Malik , Maryna Prus , Hans-Peter Piepho , Volker Schmid

There have been a number of recent proposals to enhance the performance of machine learning strategies for collider physics by combining many distinct events into a single ensemble feature. To evaluate the efficacy of these proposals, we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-06-23 Benjamin Nachman , Jesse Thaler

We present the Bayesian Case Model (BCM), a general framework for Bayesian case-based reasoning (CBR) and prototype classification and clustering. BCM brings the intuitive power of CBR to a Bayesian generative framework. The BCM learns…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-05 Been Kim , Cynthia Rudin , Julie Shah

When treatment policy estimands are of interest, clinical trials often attempt to collect patient data after intercurrent events (ICEs), although such data are often limited. Retrieved dropout imputation methods, which use pre-ICE and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Brendah Nansereko , Marcel Wolbers , James R. Carpenter , Jonathan W. Bartlett

The exploration of complex physical or technological processes usually requires exploiting available information from different sources: (i) physical laws often represented as a family of parameter dependent partial differential equations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Albert Cohen , Wolfgang Dahmen , Ron DeVore

An Event-Related Potential (ERP)-based Brain-Computer Interface (BCI) Speller System assists people with disabilities to communicate by decoding electroencephalogram (EEG) signals. A P300-ERP embedded in EEG signals arises in response to a…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-18 Tianwen Ma , Jane E. Huggins , Jian Kang

Traditionally, research in Business Process Management has put a strong focus on centralized and intra-organizational processes. However, today's business processes are increasingly distributed, deviating from a centralized layout, and…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2018-01-10 Michael Borkowski , Walid Fdhila , Matteo Nardelli , Stefanie Rinderle-Ma , Stefan Schulte

Event mentions in text correspond to real-world events of varying degrees of granularity. The task of subevent detection aims to resolve this granularity issue, recognizing the membership of multi-granular events in event complexes. Since…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Haoyu Wang , Hongming Zhang , Muhao Chen , Dan Roth

A decision-maker must consider cofounding bias when attempting to apply machine learning prediction, and, while feature selection is widely recognized as important process in data-analysis, it could cause cofounding bias. A causal Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-02 Akihiro Yabe

This study aims to investigate the utilization of Bayesian techniques for the calibration of micro-electro-mechanical systems (MEMS) accelerometers. These devices have garnered substantial interest in various practical applications and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-13 Oliver Dürr , Po-Yu Fan , Zong-Xian Yin

When analyzing real-world data it is common to work with event ensembles, which comprise sets of observations that collectively constrain the parameters of an underlying model of interest. Such models often have a hierarchical structure,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-22 Lukas Heinrich , Siddharth Mishra-Sharma , Chris Pollard , Philipp Windischhofer

It is difficult to accurately estimate the rates of rape and domestic violence due to the sensitive nature of these crimes. There is evidence that bias in estimating the crime rates from survey data may arise because some women respondents…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-07-28 Qingzhao Yu , Elizabeth A. Stasny , Bin Li

This paper presents a neural network classifier approach to detecting both within- and cross- document event coreference effectively using only event mention based features. Our approach does not (yet) rely on any event argument features…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-10-11 Arun Pandian , Lamana Mulaffer , Kemal Oflazer , Amna AlZeyara

Bayesian model comparison (BMC) offers a principled approach for assessing the relative merits of competing computational models and propagating uncertainty into model selection decisions. However, BMC is often intractable for the popular…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-27 Lasse Elsemüller , Martin Schnuerch , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Stefan T. Radev