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Weather extremes produce major impacts on society and ecosystems and are likely to change in likelihood and magnitude with climate change. However, very low probability events are hard to characterize statistically using observations or…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-28 Christopher J. Paciorek , Daniel Cooley

The weather phenomenon of frost poses great threats to agriculture. As recent frost prediction methods are based on on-site historical data and sensors, extra development and deployment time are required for data collection in any new site.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Ian Zhou , Justin Lipman , Mehran Abolhasan , Negin Shariati

A linearized energy-balance model for global temperature is formulated, featuring a scale-free long-range memory (LRM) response and stochastic forcing representing the influence on the ocean heat reservoir from atmospheric weather systems.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-16 Martin Rypdal , Kristoffer Rypdal

Identification and quantification of possible drivers of recent climate variability remain a challenging task. This important issue is addressed adopting a non-parametric information theory technique, the Transfer Entropy and its normalized…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-03-08 Ankush Bhaskar , Durbha Sai Ramesh , Geeta Vichare , Triven Koganti , S. Gurubaran

An information-theoretic framework is developed to assess the predictability of ENSO complexity, which is a central problem in contemporary meteorology with large societal impacts. The information theory advances a unique way to quantify…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-05 Xianghui Fang , Nan Chen

Atmospheric retrievals (AR) of exoplanets typically rely on a combination of a Bayesian inference technique and a forward simulator to estimate atmospheric properties from an observed spectrum. A key component in simulating spectra is the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-12-20 Timothy D. Gebhard , Daniel Angerhausen , Björn S. Konrad , Eleonora Alei , Sascha P. Quanz , Bernhard Schölkopf

This paper complements the large body of social sensing literature by developing means for augmenting sensing data with inference results that "fill-in" missing pieces. It specifically explores the synergy between (i) inference techniques…

Remote sensing observations of the Earth's surface are frequently stymied by clouds, water vapour, and aerosols in our atmosphere. These degrade or preclude the measurementof quantities critical to scientific and, hence, societal…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-07-19 Angelina Agabin , J. Xavier Prochaska , Peter C. Cornillon , Christian E. Buckingham

We propose a novel component to the understanding of the temperature structure of galaxy clusters which does not rely on any heating or cooling mechanism. The new ingredient is the use of non-extensive thermo-statistics which is based on…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Steen H. Hansen

Statistical fragment emission from excited nuclear systems is studied within the framework of a schematic Fermi-gas model combined with Weisskopf's detailed balance approach. The formalism considers thermal expansion of finite nuclear…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2009-11-07 Jan Tõke , Jun Lu , W. Udo Schröder

New methods are presented which enables one to analyze the thermodynamics of systems with long-range interactions. Generically, such systems have entropies which are non-extensive, (do not scale with the size of the system). We show how to…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-11-07 Jonathan Oppenheim

This work presents a novel diagnostic tool for studying the thermodynamics of the climate systems with a wide range of applications, from sensitivity studies to model tuning. It includes a number of modules for assessing the internal energy…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-06-13 Valerio Lembo , Frank Lunkeit , Valerio Lucarini

Calculating transition probabilities between different states of multistable climate tipping systems is computationally challenging in high-dimensional models. Targeted algorithms, such as the Trajectory-Adaptive Multilevel Splitting (TAMS)…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Lucas Esclapez , Valérian Jacques-Dumas , Reyk Börner , Laurent Soucasse , Henk A. Dijkstra

Emergency response applications for nuclear or radiological events can be significantly improved via deep feature learning due to the hidden complexity of the data and models involved. In this paper we present a novel methodology for rapid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-02 I. A. Klampanos , A. Davvetas , S. Andronopoulos , C. Pappas , A. Ikonomopoulos , V. Karkaletsis

Feature engineering continues to play a critical role in image classification, particularly when interpretability and computational efficiency are prioritized over deep learning models with millions of parameters. In this study, we revisit…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Abhijit Sen , Giridas Maiti , Bikram K. Parida , Bhanu P. Mishra , Mahima Arya , Denys I. Bondar

Orbit-determination programs find the orbit solution that best fits a set of observations by minimizing the RMS of the residuals of the fit. For near-Earth asteroids, the uncertainty of the orbit solution may be compatible with trajectories…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-08-09 Javier Roa , Davide Farnocchia , Steven R. Chesley

Residual entropy, which reflects the degrees of freedom in a system at absolute zero temperature, is crucial for understanding quantum and classical ground states. Despite its key role in explaining low-temperature phenomena and ground…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-02-20 Zenan Dai , Xiao Yan Xu

Using optimal detection techniques with climate model simulations, most of the observed increase of near surface temperatures over the second half of the twentieth century is attributed to anthropogenic influences. However, the partitioning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-08-03 Gareth S. Jones , Peter A. Stott , John F. B. Mitchell

Understanding the dynamics of climate extreme is important in its prediction and modeling. In this study, linear trends in percentile, threshold, absolute, and duration based temperature and precipitation extremes indicator were obtained…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-09-09 Ibiyinka Fuwape , Sunday Oluyamo , Babatunde Rabiu , Samuel Ogunjo

Several complicated non-linear models exist which simulate the physical processes leading to fluctuations in global climate. Some of these more advanced models use observations to constrain various parameters involved. However, they tend to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-09-27 Rajashik Tarafder , Dibyendu Nandy
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