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Recent work has developed Bayesian methods for the automatic statistical analysis and description of single time series as well as of homogeneous sets of time series data. We extend prior work to create an interpretable kernel embedding for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-27 Andre T. Nguyen , Edward Raff

Machine learning techniques always aim to reduce the generalized prediction error. In order to reduce it, ensemble methods present a good approach combining several models that results in a greater forecasting capacity. The Random Machines…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-31 Anderson Ara , Mateus Maia , Samuel Macêdo , Francisco Louzada

In finite mixture models, apart from underlying mixing measure, true kernel density function of each subpopulation in the data is, in many scenarios, unknown. Perhaps the most popular approach is to choose some kernel functions that we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-26 Nhat Ho , XuanLong Nguyen , Ya'acov Ritov

Environmental exposures, such as air pollution and extreme temperatures, have complex effects on human health. These effects are often characterized by non-linear exposure-lag-response relationships and delayed impacts over time. Accurately…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 Álvaro Briz-Redón , Ana Corberán-Vallet , Adina Iftimi , Carmen Íñiguez

Exposure assessment in occupational epidemiology may involve multiple unknown quantities that are measured or reconstructed simultaneously for groups of workers and over several years. Additionally, exposures may be collected using…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-24 Raphael Rehms , Nicole Ellenbach , Veronika Deffner , Sabine Hoffmann

Many biological high-throughput data sets, such as targeted amplicon-based and metagenomic sequencing data, are compositional in nature. A common exploratory data analysis task is to infer statistical associations between the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-28 Aditya Mishra , Christian L. Muller

Climate projections using data driven machine learning models acting as emulators, is one of the prevailing areas of research to enable policy makers make informed decisions. Use of machine learning emulators as surrogates for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-24 Anmol Chaure , Ashok Kumar Behera , Sudip Bhattacharya

We provide a flexible framework for selecting among a class of additive partial linear models that allows both linear and nonlinear additive components. In practice, it is challenging to determine which additive components should be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-20 Seonghyun Jeong , Taeyoung Park , David A. van Dyk

In this paper, the flexibility, versatility and predictive power of kernel regression are combined with now lavishly available network data to create regression models with even greater predictive performances. Building from previous work…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-05 E. Pei , E. Fokoué

Kernel logistic regression (KLR) is a widely used supervised learning method for binary and multi-class classification, which provides estimates of the conditional probabilities of class membership for the data points. Unlike other kernel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Antonio Consolo , Andrea Manno , Edoardo Amaldi

Machine Learning (ML) is gaining popularity for hypothesis-free discovery of risk and protective factors in healthcare studies. ML is strong at discovering nonlinearities and interactions, but this power is compromised by a lack of reliable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-01 Giorgio Spadaccini , Marjolein Fokkema , Mark A. van de Wiel

Wide heterogeneity exists in cancer patients' survival, ranging from a few months to several decades. To accurately predict clinical outcomes, it is vital to build an accurate predictive model that relates patients' molecular profiles with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-12 Yaohua Rong , Sihai Dave Zhao , Xia Zheng , Yi Li

Readmission prediction is a critical but challenging clinical task, as the inherent relationship between high-dimensional covariates and readmission is complex and heterogeneous. Despite this complexity, models should be interpretable to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-10 Wei Wang , Angela Bailey , Christopher Tignanelli , Jared D. Huling

Mixed-effects regression models represent a useful subclass of regression models for grouped data; the introduction of random effects allows for the correlation between observations within each group to be conveniently captured when…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-25 Jackson Zhou , John T. Ormerod , Clara Grazian

Studying the association between mixtures of environmental exposures and health outcomes can be challenging due to issues such as correlation among the exposures and non-linearities or interactions in the exposure-response function. For…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-15 Jacob Englert , Stefanie Ebelt , Howard Chang

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric mixture model for prediction- and information extraction tasks with an efficient inference scheme. It models categorical-valued time series that exhibit dynamics from multiple underlying patterns (e.g.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-21 Jan Reubold , Thorsten Strufe , Ulf Brefeld

Objective: In randomized clinical trials, prediction models can be used to explore the relationships between patients' variables (e.g., clinical, pathological, or lifestyle variables, and also biomarker or genomic data) and treatment effect…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-03 Elvire Roblin , Paul-Henry Cournède , Stefan Michiels

The construction of coherent prediction models holds great importance in medical research as such models enable health researchers to gain deeper insights into disease epidemiology and clinicians to identify patients at higher risk of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-17 Guanbo Wang , Sylvie Perreault , Robert W. Platt , Rui Wang , Marc Dorais , Mireille E. Schnitzer

Discovering interaction effects on a response of interest is a fundamental problem faced in biology, medicine, economics, and many other scientific disciplines. In theory, Bayesian methods for discovering pairwise interactions enjoy many…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-15 Raj Agrawal , Jonathan H. Huggins , Brian Trippe , Tamara Broderick

The colocation of individuals in different environments is an important prerequisite for exposure to infectious diseases on a social network. Standard epidemic models fail to capture the potential complexity of this scenario by (1)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-13 Guillaume St-Onge , Hanlin Sun , Antoine Allard , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Ginestra Bianconi