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Dual control addresses the trade-off between exploitation and exploration, where control inputs both regulate the system and generate informative data for estimation and identification. For certain problem classes, control and estimation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Tren Baltussen , Nathan P. Lawrence , Alexander Katriniok , Ali Mesbah , Maurice Heemels

Over the last 50 years a steady stream of accounts have been written on the separation principle of stochastic control. Even in the context of the linear-quadratic regulator in continuous time with Gaussian white noise, subtle difficulties…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-02-24 Tryphon T. Georgiou , Anders Lindquist

This study presents a Bayesian learning perspective towards model predictive control algorithms. High-level frameworks have been developed separately in the earlier studies on Bayesian learning and sampling-based model predictive control.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-14 Namhoon Cho , Seokwon Lee , Hyo-Sang Shin , Antonios Tsourdos

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is a powerful method for complex system regulation, but its reliance on an accurate model poses many limitations in real-world applications. Data-driven predictive control (DDPC) aims at overcoming this…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-08 Alessandro Chiuso , Marco Fabris , Valentina Breschi , Simone Formentin

Performing optimal Bayesian design for discriminating between competing models is computationally intensive as it involves estimating posterior model probabilities for thousands of simulated datasets. This issue is compounded further when…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Markus Hainy , David J. Price , Olivier Restif , Christopher Drovandi

This paper is about output-feedback control problems for general linear systems in the presence of given state-, control-, disturbance-, and measurement error constraints. Because the traditional separation theorem in stochastic control is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-11 Boris Houska

We discuss the problem of input design for uncertainty reduction in a parameter estimation procedure. Assuming a linear continuous-time control system with noisy measurements, we formulate an objective of variance reduction in a Bayesian…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-21 Ludovic Sacchelli , Alessandro Scagliotti

Source separation problems are ubiquitous in the physical sciences; any situation where signals are superimposed calls for source separation to estimate the original signals. In this tutorial I will discuss the Bayesian approach to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-11-14 Kevin H. Knuth

Here we introduce a new design framework for synthetic biology that exploits the advantages of Bayesian model selection. We will argue that the difference between inference and design is that in the former we try to reconstruct the system…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-27 Chris Barnes , Daniel Silk , Xia Sheng , Michael P. H. Stumpf

Recently, a novel linear model predictive control algorithm based on a physics-informed Gaussian Process has been introduced, whose realizations strictly follow a system of underlying linear ordinary differential equations with constant…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Adrian Lepp , Jörn Tebbe , Andreas Besginow

Integrating measurements and historical data can enhance control systems through learning-based techniques, but ensuring performance and safety is challenging. Robust model predictive control strategies, like stochastic model predictive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-28 J. Pohlodek , H. Alsmeier , B. Morabito , C. Schlauch , A. Savchenko , R. Findeisen

The design of an experiment can be always be considered at least implicitly Bayesian, with prior knowledge used informally to aid decisions such as the variables to be studied and the choice of a plausible relationship between the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-03 David C. Woods , Antony M. Overstall , Maria Adamou , Timothy W. Waite

The internal model principle, originally proposed in the theory of control of linear systems, nowadays represents a more general class of results in control theory and cybernetics. The central claim of these results is that, under suitable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Manuel Baltieri , Martin Biehl , Matteo Capucci , Nathaniel Virgo

In this review, we assess the use of Bayesian methods in model predictive control (MPC), focusing on neural-network-based modeling, control design, and uncertainty quantification. We systematically analyze individual studies and how they…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Asli Karacelik

The process of calibrating computer models of natural phenomena is essential for applications in the physical sciences, where plenty of domain knowledge can be embedded into simulations and then calibrated against real observations. Current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Rafael Oliveira , Dino Sejdinovic , David Howard , Edwin V. Bonilla

Due to the increasing complexity of technical systems, accurate first principle models can often not be obtained. Supervised machine learning can mitigate this issue by inferring models from measurement data. Gaussian process regression is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-11 Armin Lederer , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

Explicit finite-sample statistical guarantees on model performance are an important ingredient in responsible machine learning. Previous work has focused mainly on bounding either the expected loss of a predictor or the probability that an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Zhun Deng , Thomas P. Zollo , Jake C. Snell , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

We describe Bayesian inference for the parameters of Gaussian models of bounded data protected by differential privacy. Using this setting, we demonstrate that analysts can and should take constraints imposed by the bounds into account when…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-18 Zeki Kazan , Jerome P. Reiter

There is currently a renewed interest in the Bayesian predictive approach to statistics. This paper offers a review on foundational concepts and focuses on predictive modeling, which by directly reasoning on prediction, bypasses inferential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-22 Sandra Fortini , Sonia Petrone

We present a straightforward and efficient way to control unstable robotic systems using an estimated dynamics model. Specifically, we show how to exploit the differentiability of Gaussian Processes to create a state-dependent linearized…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-08-03 Ivan D. Jimenez Rodriguez , Ugo Rosolia , Aaron D. Ames , Yisong Yue
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