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We propose a method for inference on moderately high-dimensional, nonlinear, non-Gaussian, partially observed Markov process models for which the transition density is not analytically tractable. Markov processes with intractable transition…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-02 Joonha Park , Edward L. Ionides

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) offer a robust and efficient framework for analyzing time series data, modelling both the underlying latent state progression over time and the observation process, conditional on the latent state. However, a…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-19 Ioannis Rotous , Alex Diana , Alessio Farcomeni , Eleni Matechou , Andréa Thiebault

Despite its popularity in the reinforcement learning community, a provably convergent policy gradient method for continuous space-time control problems with nonlinear state dynamics has been elusive. This paper proposes proximal gradient…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-27 Christoph Reisinger , Wolfgang Stockinger , Yufei Zhang

Hidden Markov Model (HMM) combined with Gaussian Process (GP) emission can be effectively used to estimate the hidden state with a sequence of complex input-output relational observations. Especially when the spectral mixture (SM) kernel is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-08 Yohan Jung , Jinkyoo Park

We consider sensor scheduling as the optimal observability problem for partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDP). This model fits to the cases where a Markov process is observed by a single sensor which needs to be dynamically…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Mohammad Rezaeian

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are powerful tools for analysing time series data that depend on discrete underlying but unobserved states. As such, they have gained prominence across numerous empirical disciplines, in particular ecology,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-19 Jan-Ole Fischer

Discovery and recognition of Group Activities (GA) based on imagery data processing have significant applications in persistent surveillance systems, which play an important role in some Internet services. The process is involved with…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Vinayak Elangovan

We propose an information theoretic framework for quantitative assessment of acoustic modeling for hidden Markov model (HMM) based automatic speech recognition (ASR). Acoustic modeling yields the probabilities of HMM sub-word states for a…

Sound · Computer Science 2017-11-09 Pranay Dighe , Afsaneh Asaei , Hervé Bourlard

The notion of entropy is shared between statistics and thermodynamics, and is fundamental to both disciplines. This makes statistical problems particularly suitable for reaction network implementations. In this paper we show how to perform…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-07 Muppirala Viswa Virinchi , Abhishek Behera , Manoj Gopalkrishnan

The task of state estimation in active distribution systems faces a major challenge due to the integration of different measurements with multiple reporting rates. As a result, distribution systems are essentially unobservable in real time,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-13 J. G. De la Varga , S. Pineda , J. M. Morales , Á. Porras

We consider the filtering of continuous-time finite-state hidden Markov models, where the rate and observation matrices depend on unknown time-dependent parameters, for which no prior or stochastic model is available. We quantify and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-17 Andrew L. Allan

Partial observability and uncertainty are common problems in sequential decision-making that particularly impede the use of formal models such as Markov decision processes (MDPs). However, in practice, agents may be able to employ costly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Merlijn Krale , Thiago D. Simão , Jana Tumova , Nils Jansen

The Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is one of the most widely used statistical models for sequential data analysis. One of the key reasons for this versatility is the ability of HMM to deal with missing data. However, standard HMM learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-04 Binyamin Perets , Mark Kozdoba , Shie Mannor

Tracking an interpretable emotional arc of a conversation via the sentiment of individual utterances processed as a whole is central to both understanding and guiding communication in applied, especially clinical, conversational contexts.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Anamika Ragu , Aneesh Jonelagadda

The main focus of this work is on developing models for the activity profile of a terrorist group, detecting sudden spurts and downfalls in this profile, and, in general, tracking it over a period of time. Toward this goal, a $d$-state…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-16 Vasanthan Raghavan , Aram Galstyan , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

The ability to accurately predict others' behavior is central to the safety and efficiency of interactive robotics. Unfortunately, robots often lack access to key information on which these predictions may hinge, such as other agents'…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Haimin Hu , David Isele , Sangjae Bae , Jaime F. Fisac

In this paper, we are interested in optimal decisions in a partially observable Markov universe. Our viewpoint departs from the dynamic programming viewpoint: we are directly approximating an optimal strategic tree depending on the…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Frederic Dambreville

Policy gradient (PG) methods are successful approaches to deal with continuous reinforcement learning (RL) problems. They learn stochastic parametric (hyper)policies by either exploring in the space of actions or in the space of parameters.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-31 Alessandro Montenegro , Marco Mussi , Alberto Maria Metelli , Matteo Papini

In a mixed-traffic scenario where both autonomous vehicles and human-driving vehicles exist, a timely prediction of driving intentions of nearby human-driving vehicles is essential for the safe and efficient driving of an autonomous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-26 Shiwen Liu , Kan Zheng , Long Zhao , Pingzhi Fan

The policy gradient theorem is defined based on an objective with respect to the initial distribution over states. In the discounted case, this results in policies that are optimal for one distribution over initial states, but may not be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-12 Riashat Islam , Raihan Seraj , Pierre-Luc Bacon , Doina Precup