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Stochastic thermodynamics allows us to define heat and work for microscopic systems far from thermodynamic equilibrium, based on observations of their stochastic dynamics. However, a complete account of the energetics necessitates that all…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-31 Jannik Ehrich

The Hidden Quantum Markov Model (HQMM) has significant potential for analyzing time-series data and studying stochastic processes in the quantum domain as an upgrading option with potential advantages over classical Markov models. In this…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-11-01 Xiao-Yu Li , Qin-Sheng Zhu , Yong Hu , Hao Wu , Guo-Wu Yang , Lian-Hui Yu , Geng Chen

Event detection is a critical feature in data-driven systems as it assists with the identification of nominal and anomalous behavior. Event detection is increasingly relevant in robotics as robots operate with greater autonomy in…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-09-14 Shuangqi Luo , Hongmin Wu , Hongbin Lin , Shuangda Duan , Yisheng Guan , Juan Rojas

For a network of discrete states with a periodically driven Markovian dynamics, we develop an inference scheme for an external observer who has access to some transitions. Based on waiting-time distributions between these transitions, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-12 Alexander M. Maier , Julius Degünther , Jann van der Meer , Udo Seifert

The Hidden Markov Model (HMM) can predict the future value of a time series based on its current and previous values, making it a powerful algorithm for handling various types of time series. Numerous studies have explored the improvement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 YeXin Huang

Recent works have studied *state entropy maximization* in reinforcement learning, in which the agent's objective is to learn a policy inducing high entropy over states visitation (Hazan et al., 2019). They typically assume full…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Riccardo Zamboni , Duilio Cirino , Marcello Restelli , Mirco Mutti

Hidden Markov Models, HMM's, are mathematical models of Markov processes with state that is hidden, but from which information can leak. They are typically represented as 3-way joint-probability distributions. We use HMM's as denotations of…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Annabelle McIver , Carroll Morgan , Tahiry Rabehaja

Extending classical probabilistic reasoning using the quantum mechanical view of probability has been of recent interest, particularly in the development of hidden quantum Markov models (HQMMs) to model stochastic processes. However, there…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-05 Sandesh Adhikary , Siddarth Srinivasan , Geoff Gordon , Byron Boots

Time series subject to change in regime have attracted much interest in domains such as econometry, finance or meteorology. For discrete-valued regimes, some models such as the popular Hidden Markov Chain (HMC) describe time series whose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Fatoumata Dama , Christine Sinoquet

We address the problem of analyzing sets of noisy time-varying signals that all report on the same process but confound straightforward analyses due to complex inter-signal heterogeneities and measurement artifacts. In particular we…

The hidden Markov model (HMM) is a fundamental tool for sequence modeling that cleanly separates the hidden state from the emission structure. However, this separation makes it difficult to fit HMMs to large datasets in modern NLP, and they…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Justin T. Chiu , Alexander M. Rush

The ability to predict the intentions of people based solely on their visual actions is a skill only performed by humans and animals. The intelligence of current computer algorithms has not reached this level of complexity, but there are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-02-07 Michael DelRose , Christian Wagner , Philip Frederick

As deep neural networks continue to revolutionize various application domains, there is increasing interest in making these powerful models more understandable and interpretable, and narrowing down the causes of good and bad predictions. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-04 Viktoriya Krakovna , Finale Doshi-Velez

The Continuous-Time Hidden Markov Model (CT-HMM) is an attractive approach to modeling disease progression due to its ability to describe noisy observations arriving irregularly in time. However, the lack of an efficient parameter learning…

Active inference is a normative principle underwriting perception, action, planning, decision-making and learning in biological or artificial agents. From its inception, its associated process theory has grown to incorporate complex…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-02 Lancelot Da Costa , Thomas Parr , Noor Sajid , Sebastijan Veselic , Victorita Neacsu , Karl Friston

As deep neural networks continue to revolutionize various application domains, there is increasing interest in making these powerful models more understandable and interpretable, and narrowing down the causes of good and bad predictions. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-21 Viktoriya Krakovna , Finale Doshi-Velez

Accurately predicting and inferring a driver's decision to brake is critical for designing warning systems and avoiding collisions. In this paper we focus on predicting a driver's intent to brake in car-following scenarios from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-16 Wenshuo Wang , Junqiang Xi , Ding Zhao

Determining entropy rates of stochastic processes is a fundamental and difficult problem, with closed-form solutions known only for specific cases. This paper pushes the state-of-the-art by solving the problem for Hidden Markov Models…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-09-29 Joachim Breitner , Maciej Skorski

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) and conditional random fields (CRFs) are two popular techniques for modeling sequential data. Inference algorithms designed over CRFs and HMMs allow estimation of the state sequence given the observations. In…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Gungor Polatkan , Oncel Tuzel

Next-generation intelligent systems must plan and execute complex tasks with imperfect information about their environment. As a result, plans must also include actions to learn about the environment. This is known as active perception.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-04 Rafael Rodrigues da Silva , Vince Kurtz , Hai Lin