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Distribution regression has recently attracted much interest as a generic solution to the problem of supervised learning where labels are available at the group level, rather than at the individual level. Current approaches, however, do not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-18 Ho Chung Leon Law , Danica J. Sutherland , Dino Sejdinovic , Seth Flaxman

Analysis of the urban population fraction data for sixteen populous countries over the last fifty years reveals a universal increase in urbanization, exhibiting four qualitatively distinct temporal patterns: (i) continuously accelerating…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-06 Neeraj Pandey , Abhineet Agarwal , Raju Roychowdhury , Karmeshu , Parth Pratim Pandey

The Curie-Weiss model, originally used to study phase transitions in statistical mechanics, has been adapted to model phenomena in social sciences where many agents interact with each other. Reconstructing the probability measure of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Miguel Ballesteros , Ivan Naumkin , Gabor Toth

This paper investigates a nonlinear logistic model for age-structured population dynamics. The model incorporates interdependent fertility and mortality functions within a logistic framework, offering insights into stationary solutions and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Dragos-Patru Covei

Spatial distribution of the human population is distinctly heterogeneous, e.g. showing significant difference in the population density between urban and rural areas. In the historical perspective, i.e. on the timescale of centuries, the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-08-30 Anna Zincenko , Sergei Petrovskii , Vitaly Volpert

We study a master equation system modelling a population dynamics problem in a lattice. The problem is the calculation of the minimum size of a refuge that can protect a population from hostile external conditions, the so called critical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-10 Carlos Escudero

We give a direct proof of well-posedness of solutions to general selection-mutation and structured population models with measures as initial data. This is motivated by the fact that some stationary states of these models are measures and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-11-25 José A. Cañizo , José A. Carrillo , Sílvia Cuadrado

The population size has far-reaching effects on the fitness of the population, that, in its turn influences the population extinction or persistence. Understanding the density- and age-dependent factors will facilitate more accurate…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-02-12 Jonathan Andersson , Vladimir Kozlov , Vladimir G. Tkachev , Sonja Radosavljevic , Uno Wennergren

Competition indices are models frequently used in ecology to account for the impact of density and resource distribution on the growth of a plant population. They allow to define simple individual-based models, by integrating information…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-07-06 Antonin Della Noce , Paul-Henry Cournède

In their well-known textbook (Vincent & Brown, 2005), Vincent and Brown suggested an attractive approach for studying evolutionary dynamics of populations that are heterogeneous with respect to some strategy that affects the fitness of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-02-23 Georgiy Karev

The link between age and migration propensity is long established, but existing models of country-level net migration ignore the effect of population age distribution on past and projected migration rates. We propose a method to estimate…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-11 Nathan G. Welch , Hana Ševčíková , Adrian E. Raftery

We describe a continuous-time modelling framework for biological population dynamics that accounts for demographic noise. In the spirit of the methodology used by statistical physicists, transitions between the states of the system are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-19 George W. A. Constable , Alan J. McKane

Infectious diseases remain one of the major causes of human mortality and suffering. Mathematical models have been established as an important tool for capturing the features that drive the spread of the disease, predicting the progression…

The prediction of critical transitions, such as extinction events, is vitally important to preserving vulnerable populations in the face of a rapidly changing climate and continuously increasing human resource usage. Predicting such events…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-12-04 Laura S. Storch , Sarah L. Day

The impact of environmental variability on population size growth rate in dynamic models is a recurrent issue in the theoretical ecology literature. In the scalar case, R. Lande pointed out that results are ambiguous depending on whether…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-19 Michel De Lara

The goal of this paper is to provide mathematically rigorous tools for modelling the evolution of a community of interacting individuals. We model the population by a measure space where the measure determines the abundance of individual…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-17 Thomas Cass , Terry Lyons

Identifiability of evolutionary tree models has been a recent topic of discussion and some models have been shown to be non-identifiable. A coalescent-based rooted population tree model, originally proposed by Nielsen et al. 1998 [2], has…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-04-15 Arindam RoyChoudhury

Contact matrices are a commonly adopted data representation, used to develop compartmental models for epidemic spreading, accounting for the contact heterogeneities across age groups. Their estimation, however, is generally time and effort…

Random matrix theory successfully connects the structure of interactions of large ecological communities to their ability to respond to perturbations. One of the most debated aspects of this approach is the missing role of population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-12 Theo Gibbs , Jacopo Grilli , Tim Rogers , Stefano Allesina

A simple but useful method of reciprocal values is introduced, explained and illustrated. This method simplifies the analysis of hyperbolic distributions, which are causing serious problems in the demographic and economic research. It…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-30 Ron W. Nielsen
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