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Despite attractive theoretical guarantees and practical successes, Predictive Interval (PI) given by Conformal Prediction (CP) may not reflect the uncertainty of a given model. This limitation arises from CP methods using a constant…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-01 Salim I. Amoukou , Nicolas J. B Brunel

In large-scale regression problems, random Fourier features (RFFs) have significantly enhanced the computational scalability and flexibility of Gaussian processes (GPs) by defining kernels through their spectral density, from which a finite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Houston Warren , Rafael Oliveira , Fabio Ramos

Random Forests (RF) and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) are two of the most widely used and highly performing classification and regression models. They aggregate equally weighted CART trees, generated randomly in RF or sequentially in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Dimitris Bertsimas , Yubing Cui

Gaussian random fields (GRFs) constitute an important part of spatial modelling, but can be computationally infeasible for general covariance structures. An efficient approach is to specify GRFs via stochastic partial differential equations…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-11 Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Finn Lindgren , Daniel Simpson , Håvard Rue

We propose a method for transfer learning in nonparametric regression using a random forest (RF) with distance covariance-based feature weights, assuming the unknown source and target regression functions are sparsely different. Our method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-17 Chenze Li , Subhadeep Paul

The Advanced Research WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting) model is a popular atmospheric model used for research and Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP). However, despite its popularity, its set-up and configuration often demand several…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-12-06 D. Meyer , M. Riechert

Two types of probabilistic maps are popular in the mobile robotics literature: occupancy grids and geometric maps. Occupancy grids have the advantages of simplicity and speed, but they represent only a restricted class of maps and they make…

Robotics · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Mark Paskin , Sebastian Thrun

The Gaussian random field (GRF) and the Gaussian Markov random field (GMRF) have been widely used to accommodate spatial dependence under the generalized linear mixed model framework. These models have limitations rooted in the symmetry and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-15 Marcos O. Prates , Dipak K. Dey , Michael R. Willig , Jun Yan

It is often critical for prediction models to be robust to distributional shifts between training and testing data. From a causal perspective, the challenge is to distinguish the stable causal relationships from the unstable spurious…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Shuxi Zeng , Murat Ali Bayir , Joesph J. Pfeiffer , Denis Charles , Emre Kiciman

A weighted random survival forest is presented in the paper. It can be regarded as a modification of the random forest improving its performance. The main idea underlying the proposed model is to replace the standard procedure of averaging…

High performance computing (HPC) architectures have undergone rapid development in recent years. As a result, established software suites face an ever increasing challenge to remain performant on and portable across modern systems. Many of…

This paper proposes small area estimation methods that utilize generalized tree-based machine learning techniques to improve the estimation of disaggregated means in small areas using discrete survey data. Specifically, we present two…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-09 Nicolas Frink , Timo Schmid

We present a new way of constructing an ensemble classifier, named the Guided Random Forest (GRAF) in the sequel. GRAF extends the idea of building oblique decision trees with localized partitioning to obtain a global partitioning. We show…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Prashant Gupta , Aashi Jindal , Jayadeva , Debarka Sengupta

In this paper, we propose a novel random-forest scheme, namely Joint Maximum Purity Forest (JMPF), for classification, clustering, and regression tasks. In the JMPF scheme, the original feature space is transformed into a compactly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-08-31 Hailiang Li , Kin-Man Lam , Dong Li

Symbolic regression (SR) poses a significant challenge for randomized search heuristics due to its reliance on the synthesis of expressions for input-output mappings. Although traditional genetic programming (GP) algorithms have achieved…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Kirill Antonov , Roman Kalkreuth , Kaifeng Yang , Thomas Bäck , Niki van Stein , Anna V Kononova

Stock trend forecasting, a challenging problem in the financial domain, involves ex-tensive data and related indicators. Relying solely on empirical analysis often yields unsustainable and ineffective results. Machine learning researchers…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-10 Saber Talazadeh , Dragan Perakovic

We propose an innovative statistical method, called Ordinal Mixed-Effect Random Forest (OMERF), that extends the use of random forest to the analysis of hierarchical data and ordinal responses. The model preserves the flexibility and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-06 Giulia Bergonzoli , Lidia Rossi , Chiara Masci

Neural random fields (NRFs), referring to a class of generative models that use neural networks to implement potential functions in random fields (a.k.a. energy-based models), are not new but receive less attention with slow progress.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-23 Yunfu Song , Zhijian Ou

Random Forest (RF) is a widely used machine learning algorithm known for its flexibility, user-friendliness, and high predictive performance across various domains. However, it is non-interpretable. This can limit its usefulness in applied…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-13 Luca Patelli , Natalia Golini , Rosaria Ignaccolo , Michela Cameletti

The manuscript develops new method and theory for non-linear regression for binary dependent data using random forests. Existing implementations of random forests for binary data cannot explicitly account for data correlation common in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-07 Arkajyoti Saha , Abhirup Datta
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