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Extreme geophysical events are of crucial relevance to our daily life: they threaten human lives and cause property damage. To assess the risk and reduce losses, we need to model and probabilistically predict these events. Parametrizations…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-09-04 Guannan Hu , Tamás Bódai , Valerio Lucarini

There is increasing interest in flexible parametric models for the analysis of time-to-event data, yet Bayesian approaches that offer incorporation of prior knowledge remain underused. A flexible Bayesian parametric model has recently been…

A core challenge in survival analysis is to model the distribution of censored time-to-event data, where the event of interest may be a death, failure, or occurrence of a specific event. Previous studies have showed that ranking and maximum…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-27 Liwen Zhang , Lianzhen Zhong , Fan Yang , Di Dong , Hui Hui , Jie Tian

Machine learning tools are commonly used in modern high energy physics (HEP) experiments. Different models, such as boosted decision trees (BDT) and artificial neural networks (ANN), are widely used in analyses and even in the software…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-21 A. Rogozhnikov

In randomized clinical trials with survival outcome, there has been an increasing interest in subgroup identification based on baseline genomic, proteomic markers or clinical characteristics. Some of the existing methods identify subgroups…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-17 Pingye Zhang , Junshui Ma , Xinqun Chen , Yue Shentu

Current prognostic risk scores in cardiac surgery are based on statistics and do not yet benefit from machine learning. Statistical predictors are not robust enough to correctly identify patients who would benefit from Transcatheter Aortic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-09 Marco Mamprin , Jo M. Zelis , Pim A. L. Tonino , Svitlana Zinger , Peter H. N. de With

Survival analysis is a valuable tool for estimating the time until specific events, such as death or cancer recurrence, based on baseline observations. This is particularly useful in healthcare to prognostically predict clinically important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-11 Ahmed H. Shahin , An Zhao , Alexander C. Whitehead , Daniel C. Alexander , Joseph Jacob , David Barber

Motivation: With the growth of big data, variable selection has become one of the major challenges in statistics. Although many methods have been proposed in the literature their performance in terms of recall and precision are limited in a…

We develop a maximum likelihood estimating approach for time-to-event Weibull regression models with outcome-dependent sampling, where sampling of subjects is dependent on the residual fraction of the time left to developing the event of…

Applications · Statistics 2014-08-01 Brian D. M. Tom , Vernon T. Farewell , Sheila M. Bird

We propose an unsupervised tree boosting algorithm for inferring the underlying sampling distribution of an i.i.d. sample based on fitting additive tree ensembles in a fashion analogous to supervised tree boosting. Integral to the algorithm…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-11 Naoki Awaya , Li Ma

The problem of class imbalance along with class-overlapping has become a major issue in the domain of supervised learning. Most supervised learning algorithms assume equal cardinality of the classes under consideration while optimizing the…

Latent Gaussian models and boosting are widely used techniques in statistics and machine learning. Tree-boosting shows excellent prediction accuracy on many data sets, but potential drawbacks are that it assumes conditional independence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-24 Fabio Sigrist

Survival analysis is a widely used statistical framework for modeling time-to-event data under censoring. Classical methods, such as the Cox proportional hazards (Cox PH) model, offer a semiparametric approach to estimating the effects of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-23 Yang Xu , Wenbin Lu , Rui Song

Consideration of the primal and dual problems together leads to important new insights into the characteristics of boosting algorithms. In this work, we propose a general framework that can be used to design new boosting algorithms. A wide…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-12-13 Chunhua Shen , Hanxi Li , Nick Barnes

Flexible continuous-time survival modeling is critical for capturing complex time-varying hazard dynamics in high-dimensional data; however, training such models remains challenging due to the intractable integral required for likelihood…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-18 Chaeyeon Lee , Sehwan Kim , Hyungrok Do

We propose a semiparametric data fusion framework for efficient inference on survival probabilities by integrating right-censored and current status data. Existing data fusion methods focus largely on fusing right-censored data only, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Xiudi Li , Sijia Li

Time-to-event analysis, also known as survival analysis, aims to predict the time of occurrence of an event, given a set of features. One of the major challenges in this area is dealing with censored data, which can make learning algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-25 Hyunjun Lee , Junhyun Lee , Taehwa Choi , Jaewoo Kang , Sangbum Choi

Gradient boosting of regression trees is a competitive procedure for learning predictive models of continuous data that fits the data with an additive non-parametric model. The classic version of gradient boosting assumes that the data is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-04 Iman Alodah , Jennifer Neville

Survival analysis provides a well-established framework for modeling time-to-event data, with hazard and survival functions formally defined as population-level quantities. In applied work, however, these quantities are often interpreted as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Xijia Liu

Dense prediction models are widely used for image segmentation. One important challenge is to sufficiently train these models to yield good generalizations for hard-to-learn pixels. A typical group of such hard-to-learn pixels are…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-08-07 Gozde Nur Gunesli , Cenk Sokmensuer , Cigdem Gunduz-Demir