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Spatial-temporal network traffic forecasting is a challenging task due to the complex spatial relationships and dynamic temporal patterns present in each node. Traditional regression methods are not directly applicable to such graph data.…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Jinming Xing , Guoheng Sun , Hui Sun , Linchao Pan , Shakir Mahmood , Xuanhao Luo , Muhammad Shahzad

Temporal domain generalization is a promising yet extremely challenging area where the goal is to learn models under temporally changing data distributions and generalize to unseen data distributions following the trends of the change. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Guangji Bai , Chen Ling , Liang Zhao

Volatility forecasting is essential for risk management and decision-making in financial markets. Traditional models like Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) effectively capture volatility clustering but often…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-23 Pulikandala Nithish Kumar , Nneka Umeorah , Alex Alochukwu

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have recently become increasingly popular due to their ability to learn complex systems of relations or interactions arising in a broad spectrum of problems ranging from biology and particle physics to social…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-12 Emanuele Rossi , Ben Chamberlain , Fabrizio Frasca , Davide Eynard , Federico Monti , Michael Bronstein

Many traffic prediction applications rely on uncertainty estimates instead of the mean prediction. Statistical traffic prediction literature has a complete subfield devoted to uncertainty modelling, but recent deep learning traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-10 Tijs Maas , Peter Bloem

Implicit graph neural networks have gained popularity in recent years as they capture long-range dependencies while improving predictive performance in static graphs. Despite the tussle between performance degradation due to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-27 Yongjian Zhong , Hieu Vu , Tianbao Yang , Bijaya Adhikari

Recent studies have significantly improved the prediction accuracy of travel demand using graph neural networks. However, these studies largely ignored uncertainty that inevitably exists in travel demand prediction. To fill this gap, this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-23 Qingyi Wang , Shenhao Wang , Dingyi Zhuang , Haris Koutsopoulos , Jinhua Zhao

\textit{Graph neural networks} (GNNs) are effective models for many dynamical systems consisting of entities and relations. Although most GNN applications assume a single type of entity and relation, many situations involve multiple types…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Ferran Alet , Erica Weng , Tomás Lozano Pérez , Leslie Pack Kaelbling

Graphs are essential for modeling complex relationships and capturing structured interactions in data. Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are particularly effective when such relational structure is explicitly available, but many real-world…

Graphics · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Haozhe Chen , Soheila Farokhi , Kelvyn Bladen , Hamid Karimi , Kevin R. Moon

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have demonstrated remarkable performance across various domains, but their inherent complexity makes them challenging to interpret. This is especially true for temporal graph regression tasks due to the complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Ali Royat , Seyed Mohamad Moghadas , Lesley De Cruz , Adrian Munteanu

Notably, current intelligent transportation systems rely heavily on accurate traffic forecasting and swift inference provision to make timely decisions. While Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs) have shown benefits in modeling complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Zhaoyan Wang , Xiangchi Song , In-Young Ko

Many real-world datasets are time series that are sequentially collected and contain rich temporal information. Thus, a common interest in practice is to capture dynamics of time series and predict their future evolutions. To this end, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-12 Yifan Zhou , Yibo Wang , Chao Shang

Dynamic graphs provide a flexible data abstraction for modelling many sorts of real-world systems, such as transport, trade, and social networks. Graph neural networks (GNNs) are powerful tools allowing for different kinds of prediction and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-27 Ed Davis , Ian Gallagher , Daniel John Lawson , Patrick Rubin-Delanchy

Wildfire prediction has become increasingly crucial due to the escalating impacts of climate change. Traditional CNN-based wildfire prediction models struggle with handling missing oceanic data and addressing the long-range dependencies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Dayou Chen , Sibo Cheng , Jinwei Hu , Matthew Kasoar , Rossella Arcucci

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have shown significant promise in various domains, such as recommendation systems, bioinformatics, and network analysis. However, the irregularity of graph data poses unique challenges for efficient computation,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Pol Puigdemont , Enrico Russo , Axel Wassington , Abhijit Das , Sergi Abadal , Maurizio Palesi

A central question in neuroscience is how self-organizing dynamic interactions in the brain emerge on their relatively static structural backbone. Due to the complexity of spatial and temporal dependencies between different brain areas,…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-15 Simon Wein , Wilhelm Malloni , Ana Maria Tomé , Sebastian M. Frank , Gina-Isabelle Henze , Stefan Wüst , Mark W. Greenlee , Elmar W. Lang

From a telecommunication standpoint, the surge in users and services challenges next-generation networks with escalating traffic demands and limited resources. Accurate traffic prediction can offer network operators valuable insights into…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-16 Duc Thinh Ngo , Kandaraj Piamrat , Ons Aouedi , Thomas Hassan , Philippe Raipin-Parvédy

Accurate modelling and quantification of predictive uncertainty is crucial in deep learning since it allows a model to make safer decisions when the data is ambiguous and facilitates the users' understanding of the model's confidence in its…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Soumyasundar Pal , Liheng Ma , Amine Natik , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates

Urban flow prediction is a classic spatial-temporal forecasting task that estimates the amount of future traffic flow for a given location. Though models represented by Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs) have established…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Haiyang Jiang , Tong Chen , Wentao Zhang , Nguyen Quoc Viet Hung , Yuan Yuan , Yong Li , Lizhen Cui

Reasoning system dynamics is one of the most important analytical approaches for many scientific studies. With the initial state of a system as input, the recent graph neural networks (GNNs)-based methods are capable of predicting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-23 Lingbing Guo , Weiqing Wang , Zhuo Chen , Ningyu Zhang , Zequn Sun , Yixuan Lai , Qiang Zhang , Huajun Chen