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The usage of a spot volatility estimate based on a volatility decomposition in a time-changed price-model according to the trading times is investigated. In this model clock-time volatility splits up into the product of tick-time volatility…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Sophon Tunyavetchakit

In this paper we study time-inhomogeneous affine processes beyond the common assumption of stochastic continuity. In this setting times of jumps can be both inaccessible and predictable. To this end we develop a general theory of finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Martin Keller-Ressel , Thorsten Schmidt , Robert Wardenga

Demographic projections of future mortality rates involve a high level of uncertainty and require stochastic mortality models. The current paper investigates forward mortality models driven by a (possibly infinite dimensional) Wiener…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-21 Stefan Tappe , Stefan Weber

A novel approach called Moate Simulation is presented to provide an accurate numerical evolution of probability distribution functions represented on grids arising from stochastic differential processes where initial conditions are…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-19 Michael E. Mura

In this paper we show that Hilbert space-valued stochastic models are robust with respect to perturbation, due to measurement or approximation errors, in the underlying volatility process. Within the class of stochastic volatility modulated…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-30 Fred Espen Benth , Heidar Eyjolfsson

We propose a finite difference scheme to simulate solutions to a certain type of hyperbolic stochastic partial differential equation (HSPDE). These solutions can in turn estimate so called volatility modulated Volterra (VMV) processes and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-10 Fred Espen Benth , Heidar Eyjolfsson

It has been recently shown that rough volatility models, where the volatility is driven by a fractional Brownian motion with small Hurst parameter, provide very relevant dynamics in order to reproduce the behavior of both historical and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-08 Omar El Euch , Mathieu Rosenbaum

We consider a fractional version of the Heston volatility model which is inspired by [16]. Within this model we treat portfolio optimization problems for power utility functions. Using a suitable representation of the fractional part,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-17 Nicole Bäuerle , Sascha Desmettre

The Heston stochastic volatility process, which is widely used as an asset price model in mathematical finance, is a paradigm for a degenerate diffusion process where the degeneracy in the diffusion coefficient is proportional to the square…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2011-09-07 Panagiota Daskalopoulos , Paul M. N. Feehan

We prove existence and uniqueness of stochastic representations for solutions to elliptic and parabolic boundary value and obstacle problems associated with a degenerate Markov diffusion process. In particular, our article focuses on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Paul M. N. Feehan , Camelia Pop

We extend the Heston stochastic volatility model to a Hilbert space framework. The tensor Heston stochastic variance process is defined as a tensor product of a Hilbert-valued Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with itself. The volatility process…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-13 Fred Espen Benth , Iben Cathrine Simonsen

We present compelling empirical evidence for a new interpretation of the Forward Rate Curve (FRC) term structure. We find that the average FRC follows a square-root law, with a prefactor related to the spot volatility, suggesting a…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Andrew Matacz , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

In this paper we consider a fractional stochastic volatility model, that is a model in which the volatility may exhibit a long-range dependent or a rough/antipersistent behavior. We propose a dynamic sequential Monte Carlo methodology that…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Alexandra Chronopoulou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

In this paper we consider a broad class of infinite horizon discrete-time optimal control models that involve a nonnegative cost function and an affine mapping in their dynamic programming equation. They include as special cases classical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Dimitri Bertsekas

This article presents a generic framework for modeling the dynamics of forward curves in commodity market as commodity derivatives are typically traded by futures or forwards. We have theoretically demonstrated that commodity prices are…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-26 David Xiao

Accurate volatility forecasts are vital in modern finance for risk management, portfolio allocation, and strategic decision-making. However, existing methods face key limitations. Fully multivariate models, while comprehensive, are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-09 Duo Zhang , Jiayu Li , Junyi Mo , Elynn Chen

This article provides the mathematical foundation for stochastically continuous affine processes on the cone of positive semidefinite symmetric matrices. This analysis has been motivated by a large and growing use of matrix-valued affine…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-12 Christa Cuchiero , Damir Filipović , Eberhard Mayerhofer , Josef Teichmann

This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of suitably time-modulated Hawkes processes with heavy-tailed kernels in a nearly unstable regime. We show that, under appropriate scaling, both the intensity processes and the rescaled Hawkes…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Emmanuel Gnabeyeu , Gilles Pagès , Mathieu Rosenbaum

We consider the infinite dimensional Heston stochastic volatility model proposed in \arXiv:1706:03500. The price of a forward contract on a non-storable commodity is modelled by a generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process in the Filipovi\'{c}…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-23 Fred Espen Benth , Giulia Di Nunno , Iben Cathrine Simonsen

We propose a new financial model, the stochastic volatility model with sticky drawdown and drawup processes (SVSDU model), which enables us to capture the features of winning and losing streaks that are common across financial markets but…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-20 Yuhao Liu , Pingping Jiang , Gongqiu Zhang
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