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We investigate an application of a mathematically robust minimization method -- the gradient method -- to the consistencization problem of a pairwise comparisons (PC) matrix. Our approach sheds new light on the notion of a priority vector…

Rings and Algebras · Mathematics 2022-07-19 Jean-Pierre Magnot , Jiří Mazurek , Viera Čerňanová

The PC algorithm is the state-of-the-art algorithm for causal structure discovery on observational data. It can be computationally expensive in the worst case due to the conditional independence tests are performed in an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-13 Kai Zhang , Chao Tian , Kun Zhang , Todd Johnson , Xiaoqian Jiang

Quantifying differences between probability distributions is fundamental to statistics and machine learning, primarily for comparing statistical uncertainty. In contrast, epistemic uncertainty -- due to incomplete knowledge -- requires…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-13 Siu Lun Chau , Michele Caprio , Krikamol Muandet

We address the problem of inferring the causal direction between two variables by comparing the least-squares errors of the predictions in both possible directions. Under the assumption of an independence between the function relating cause…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-01-25 Patrick Blöbaum , Dominik Janzing , Takashi Washio , Shohei Shimizu , Bernhard Schölkopf

This paper proposes an Adaptive Stochastic Model Predictive Control (MPC) strategy for stable linear time-invariant systems in the presence of bounded disturbances. We consider multi-input, multi-output systems that can be expressed by a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-11 Monimoy Bujarbaruah , Charlott Vallon

Current causal discovery approaches require restrictive model assumptions in the absence of interventional data to ensure structure identifiability. These assumptions often do not hold in real-world applications leading to a loss of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-25 Anish Dhir , Ruby Sedgwick , Avinash Kori , Ben Glocker , Mark van der Wilk

This work is about estimating when a conditional generative model (CGM) can solve an in-context learning (ICL) problem. An in-context learning (ICL) problem comprises a CGM, a dataset, and a prediction task. The CGM could be a multi-modal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-10 Andrew Jesson , Nicolas Beltran-Velez , David Blei

There is a growing interest in the machine learning community in developing predictive algorithms that are "interpretable by design". Towards this end, recent work proposes to make interpretable decisions by sequentially asking…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Aditya Chattopadhyay , Kwan Ho Ryan Chan , Benjamin D. Haeffele , Donald Geman , René Vidal

Discrete optimization is a central problem in artificial intelligence. The optimization of the aggregated cost of a network of cost functions arises in a variety of problems including (W)CSP, DCOP, as well as optimization in stochastic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-01-12 Ferdinando Fioretto , Enrico Pontelli , William Yeoh , Rina Dechter

We propose a constraint-based algorithm, which automatically determines causal relevance thresholds, to infer causal networks from data. We call these topological thresholds. We present two methods for determining the threshold: the first…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-24 Filipe Barroso , Diogo Gomes , Gareth J. Baxter

When domain knowledge is limited and experimentation is restricted by ethical, financial, or time constraints, practitioners turn to observational causal discovery methods to recover the causal structure, exploiting the statistical…

Accurately estimating the intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC) is crucial for adequately powering clustered randomized trials (CRTs). Challenges arise due to limited prior data on the specific outcome within the target population,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-23 Chen Yang , Márcio A. Diniz , Deukwoo Kwon , Madhu Mazumdar

Inverse propensity-score weighted (IPW) estimators are prevalent in causal inference for estimating average treatment effects in observational studies. Under unconfoundedness, given accurate propensity scores and $n$ samples, the size of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-03 Alkis Kalavasis , Anay Mehrotra , Manolis Zampetakis

Interior point methods (IPMs) are a common approach for solving linear programs (LPs) with strong theoretical guarantees and solid empirical performance. The time complexity of these methods is dominated by the cost of solving a linear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-04 Gregory Dexter , Agniva Chowdhury , Haim Avron , Petros Drineas

Causal inference from observational data provides strong evidence for the best action in decision-making without performing expensive randomized trials. The effect of an action is usually not identifiable under unobserved confounding, even…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Md Musfiqur Rahman , Ziwei Jiang , Hilaf Hasson , Murat Kocaoglu

Most causal inference algorithms in the literature (e.g., Pearl (2000), Spirtes et al. (2000), Heckerman et al. (1999)) exploit an assumption usually referred to as the causal Faithfulness or Stability condition. In this paper, we highlight…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Joseph Ramsey , Jiji Zhang , Peter L. Spirtes

The main goal in many fields in the empirical sciences is to discover causal relationships among a set of variables from observational data. PC algorithm is one of the promising solutions to learn underlying causal structure by performing a…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Behrooz Zarebavani , Foad Jafarinejad , Matin Hashemi , Saber Salehkaleybar

Confounding control is crucial and yet challenging for causal inference based on observational studies. Under the typical unconfoundness assumption, augmented inverse probability weighting (AIPW) has been popular for estimating the average…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-27 Eunah Cho , Shu Yang

Causal discovery methods can identify valid adjustment sets for causal effect estimation for a pair of target variables, even when the underlying causal graph is unknown. Global causal discovery methods focus on learning the whole causal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-01 Mátyás Schubert , Tom Claassen , Sara Magliacane

Safe deployment of deep neural networks in high-stake real-world applications requires theoretically sound uncertainty quantification. Conformal prediction (CP) is a principled framework for uncertainty quantification of deep models in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Subhankar Ghosh , Taha Belkhouja , Yan Yan , Janardhan Rao Doppa
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