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This work focuses on a self-exciting point process defined by a Hawkes-like intensity and a switching mechanism based on a hidden Markov chain. Previous works in such a setting assume constant intensities between consecutive events. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-07 Timothée Fabre , Ioane Muni Toke

Limit Order Books (LOBs) serve as a mechanism for buyers and sellers to interact with each other in the financial markets. Modelling and simulating LOBs is quite often necessary for calibrating and fine-tuning the automated trading…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-04 Konark Jain , Nick Firoozye , Jonathan Kochems , Philip Treleaven

A novel high-frequency market-making approach in discrete time is proposed that admits closed-form solutions. By taking advantage of demand functions that are linear in the quoted bid and ask spreads with random coefficients, we model the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-21 Jonathan Chávez-Casillas , José E. Figueroa-López , Chuyi Yu , Yi Zhang

This study presents an autonomous experimental machine learning protocol for high-frequency trading (HFT) stock price forecasting that involves a dual competitive feature importance mechanism and clustering via shallow neural network…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-30 Adamantios Ntakaris , Gbenga Ibikunle

A simple Hawkes model have been developed for the price tick structure dynamics incorporating market microstructure noise and trade clustering. In this paper, the model is extended with random mark to deal with more realistic price tick…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-30 Kyungsub Lee , Byoung Ki Seo

We consider the problem of statistical inference for the effective dynamics of multiscale diffusion processes with (at least) two widely separated characteristic time scales. More precisely, we seek to determine parameters in the effective…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-30 Sebastian Krumscheid , Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Serafim Kalliadasis

High frequency financial data is burdened by a level of randomness that is unavoidable and obfuscates the task of modelling. This idea is reflected in the intraday evolution of limit orders book data for many financial assets and suggests…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-15 Myles Sjogren , Timothy DeLise

Accurately forecasting the direction of financial returns poses a formidable challenge, given the inherent unpredictability of financial time series. The task becomes even more arduous when applied to cryptocurrency returns, given the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-29 Raffaele Giuseppe Cestari , Filippo Barchi , Riccardo Busetto , Daniele Marazzina , Simone Formentin

Alpha signals for statistical arbitrage strategies are often driven by latent factors. This paper analyses how to optimally trade with latent factors that cause prices to jump and diffuse. Moreover, we account for the effect of the trader's…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-13 Philippe Casgrain , Sebastian Jaimungal

It has been suggested that marked point processes might be good candidates for the modelling of financial high-frequency data. A special class of point processes, Hawkes processes, has been the subject of various investigations in the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-23 Ioane Muni Toke

Several models of stock trading [P. Bak et al, Physica A {\bf 246}, 430 (1997)] are analyzed in analogy with one-dimensional, two-species reaction-diffusion-branching processes. Using heuristic and scaling arguments, we show that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Lei-Han Tang , Guang-Shan Tian

We study long-term growth-optimal strategies on a simple market with linear proportional transaction costs. We show that several problems of this sort can be solved in closed form, and explicit the non-analytic dependance of optimal…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-06-24 Erik Aurell , Paolo Muratore-Ginanneschi

In the first part of this thesis, we focus on American options in the Heston model. We first give an analytical characterization of the value function of an American option as the unique solution of the associated (degenerate) parabolic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-13 Giulia Terenzi

We study a stochastic optimal control problem for jump-diffusion systems whose drift coefficient is piecewise Lipschitz continuous and exhibits threshold-induced discontinuities. Such dynamics naturally arise in applications with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Antoine-Marie Bogso , Edward Fuituh Kameh , Olivier Menoukeu-Pamen , Felix Shu

In this paper we consider a jump-diffusion dynamic whose parameters are driven by a continuous time and stationary Markov Chain on a finite state space as a model for the underlying of European contingent claims. For this class of processes…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-24 Alessandro Ramponi

Order placement tactics play a crucial role in high-frequency trading algorithms and their design is based on understanding the dynamics of the order book. Using high quality high-frequency data and a set of microstructural features, we…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-30 Timothée Fabre , Vincent Ragel

The bid-ask spread, which is defined by the difference between the best selling price and the best buying price in a Limit Order Book at a given time, is a crucial factor in the analysis of financial securities. In this study, we propose a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-07 Ruihua Ruan , Emmanuel Bacry , Jean-François Muzy

This study considers an optimal reinsurance, investment, and dividend strategy control problem for insurance companies in a regulated Markov regime-switching environment, intending to maximize long-run average reward. Unlike existing single…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Lingjia Zeng , Manman Li

We study a regulation problem for stochastic systems subject to both continuous fluctuations and rare but significant shocks, modeled as a jump-diffusion with uncertainty in both the drift and the jump intensity. Such settings arise in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Abel Azze , Bernardo D'Auria , Giorgio Ferrari

Path integral techniques for the pricing of financial options are mostly based on models that can be recast in terms of a Fokker-Planck differential equation and that, consequently, neglect jumps and only describe drift and diffusion. We…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-08 L. Z. J. Liang , D. Lemmens , J. Tempere