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Related papers: Trust in society: A stochastic compartmental model

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Trust in automation, or more recently trust in autonomy, has received extensive research attention in the past two decades. The majority of prior literature adopted a "snapshot" view of trust and typically evaluated trust through…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-10-02 Yaohui Guo , X. Jessie Yang

In this paper, we present a framework for trust-aware sequential decision-making in a human-robot team. We model the problem as a finite-horizon Markov Decision Process with a reward-based performance metric, allowing the robotic agent to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-06-06 Shreyas Bhat , Joseph B. Lyons , Cong Shi , X. Jessie Yang

We study the interpersonal trust of a population of agents, asking whether chance may decide if a population ends up in a high trust or low trust state. We model this by a discrete time, random matching stochastic coordination game. Agents…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-20 Benedikt V. Meylahn , Arnoud V. den Boer , Michel Mandjes

We study a stochastic model for the diffusion of competing opinions in a population composed of three types of agents: trend-followers, opposers, and indifferent individuals. The decision dynamics are driven by reinforcement mechanisms,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Manuel González-Navarrete

Social dynamics determined by voting in a stochastic environment is analyzed for a society composed of two cohesive groups of similar size. Within the model of random walks determined by voting, explicit formulas are derived for the capital…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2011-09-21 P. Yu. Chebotarev , A. K. Loginov , Ya. Yu. Tsodikova , Z. M. Lezina , V. I. Borzenko

Our aim is to estimate the largest community (a.k.a., mode) in a population composed of multiple disjoint communities. This estimation is performed in a fixed confidence setting via sequential sampling of individuals with replacement. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-25 Meera Pai , Nikhil Karamchandani , Jayakrishnan Nair

We propose a stochastic model of opinion exchange in networks. A finite set of agents is organized in a fixed network structure. There is a binary state of the world and each agent receives a private signal on the state. We model beliefs as…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-01-31 Emilien Macault

Social consensus is important for society. Sometimes the success of society depends on a consensus (e.g. the decision to pay taxes or to commit to the constitution). Examples for continuous opinion dynamics are discussions about tax rates…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-03-06 Jan Lorenz

We hereby propose a model of opinion dynamics where individuals update their beliefs because of interactions in acquaintances' group. The model exhibit a non trivial behavior that we discuss as a function of the main involved parameters.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-08-04 Timoteo Carletti , Simone Righi

Recent work has focused attention on statistical inference for the population distribution of the number of sexual partners based on survey data. The characteristics of these distributions are of interest as components of mathematical…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Mark S. Handcock , James Holland Jones , Martina Morris

A broad class of systems, including ecological, epidemiological, and sociological ones, are characterized by populations of individuals assigned to specific categories, e.g., a chemical species, an opinion or an epidemic state, that are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-07-17 Giorgio Vittorio Visco , Johannes Nauta , Tomas Scagliarini , Oriol Artime , Manlio De Domenico

In modern interconnected societies, opinions and beliefs can quickly spread across large populations, giving rise to collective behaviors such as the adoption of social norms or polarization. These phenomena have motivated many models aimed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-27 Cosimo Agostinelli , Marco Mancastroppa , Alain Barrat

Trusting in others and reciprocating that trust with trustworthy actions are crucial to successful and prosperous societies. The Trust Game has been widely used to quantitatively study trust and trustworthiness, involving a sequential…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-04 Ik Soo Lim

The bounded confidence model of opinion dynamics, introduced by Deffuant et al, is a stochastic model for the evolution of continuous-valued opinions within a finite group of peers. We prove that, as time goes to infinity, the opinions…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-19 Javier Gómez-Serrano , Carl Graham , Jean-Yves Le Boudec

Opinion dynamics, the study of how individual beliefs and collective public opinion evolve, is a fertile domain for applying statistical physics to complex social phenomena. Like physical systems, societies exhibit macroscopic regularities…

In the last decade, stochastic models have shown to be very useful for quantitative modelling of social processes. Here, a configurational master equation for the description of behavioral changes by pair interactions of individuals is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Dirk Helbing

The dynamics of opinion formation in large groups of people is a complex non-linear phenomenon whose investigation is just at the beginning. Both collective behaviour and personal view play an important role in this mechanism. In the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-02-17 M. Bartolozzi , B. Leinweber , A. W. Thomas

Belief dynamics are fundamental to human behavior and social coordination. Individuals rely on accurate beliefs to make decisions, and shared beliefs form the basis of successful cooperation. Traditional studies often examined beliefs in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-11 Joshua T. S. Hewson , Ke Fang

In a sparse stochastic block model with two communities of unequal sizes we derive two posterior concentration inequalities, that imply (1) posterior (almost-)exact recovery of the community structure under sparsity bounds comparable to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-17 B. J. K. Kleijn , J. van Waaij

The human capacity for working together and with tools builds on cognitive abilities that, while not unique to humans, are most developed in humans both in scale and plasticity. Our capacity to engage with collaborators and with technology…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-03-17 M. Burgess , R. I. M. Dunbar