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This paper discusses the statistical inference problem associated with testing for dependence between two continuous random variables using Kendall's $\tau$ in the context of the missing data problem. We prove the worst-case identified set…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-25 Oliver R. Cutbill , Rami V. Tabri

Composite likelihood inference has gained much popularity thanks to its computational manageability and its theoretical properties. Unfortunately, performing composite likelihood ratio tests is inconvenient because of their awkward…

Computation · Statistics 2014-08-01 Manuela Cattelan , Nicola Sartori

The use of empirical characteristic functions for inference problems, including estimation in some special parametric settings and testing for goodness of fit, has a long history dating back to the 70s (see for example, Feuerverger and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-20 Richard A. Davis , Muneya Matsui , Thomas Mikosch , Phyllis Wan

In this paper some new proposals for method comparison are presented. On the one hand, two new robust regressions, the M-Deming and the MM-Deming, have been developed by modifying Linnet's method of the weighted Deming regression. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-12 Giorgio Pioda

Given observations from a stationary time series, permutation tests allow one to construct exactly level $\alpha$ tests under the null hypothesis of an i.i.d. (or, more generally, exchangeable) distribution. On the other hand, when the null…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-09 Joseph P. Romano , Marius A. Tirlea

Hypothesis testing is a useful statistical tool in determining whether a given model should be rejected based on a sample from the population. Sample data may contain sensitive information about individuals, such as medical information.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-03 Marco Gaboardi , Hyun woo Lim , Ryan Rogers , Salil Vadhan

In this article, we study the asymptotic behaviour of the residual autocorrelations for periodic vector autoregressive time series models (PVAR henceforth) with uncorrelated but dependent innovations (i.e., weak PVAR). We then deduce the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Yacouba Boubacar Mainassara , Eugen Ursu

Inferring linear dependence between time series is central to our understanding of natural and artificial systems. Unfortunately, the hypothesis tests that are used to determine statistically significant directed or multivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-24 Oliver M. Cliff , Leonardo Novelli , Ben D. Fulcher , James M. Shine , Joseph T. Lizier

In this note, we comment on the relevance of elicitability for backtesting risk measure estimates. In particular, we propose the use of Diebold-Mariano tests, and show how they can be implemented for Expected Shortfall (ES), based on the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-10 Tobias Fissler , Johanna F. Ziegel , Tilmann Gneiting

We treat the problem of testing independence between m continuous variables when m can be larger than the available sample size n. We consider three types of test statistics that are constructed as sums or sums of squares of pairwise rank…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-05 Dennis Leung , Mathias Drton

Following our previous work on copula-based nonsymmetric dependence measures, we introduce similar measures for discrete random variables. The measures cover the range between two extremes: independence and complete dependence, which take…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-29 Hui Li

The performance of a number of different measures of nonlinearity in a time series is compared numerically. Their power to distinguish noisy chaotic data from linear stochastic surrogates is determined by Monte Carlo simulation for a number…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Thomas Schreiber , Andreas Schmitz

Conditional independence testing is a fundamental problem underlying causal discovery and a particularly challenging task in the presence of nonlinear and high-dimensional dependencies. Here a fully non-parametric test for continuous data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-06 Jakob Runge

Inequalities are key tools to prove FDR control of a multiple test. The present paper studies upper and lower bounds for the FDR under various dependence structures of p-values, namely independence, reverse martingale dependence and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-18 Philipp Heesen , Arnold Janssen

In this paper, we investigate the problem of deciding whether two random databases $\mathsf{X}\in\mathcal{X}^{n\times d}$ and $\mathsf{Y}\in\mathcal{Y}^{n\times d}$ are statistically dependent or not. This is formulated as a hypothesis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-13 Vered Paslev , Wasim Huleihel

In this paper, the defining properties of a valid measure of the dependence between two random variables are reviewed and complemented with two original ones, shown to be more fundamental than other usual postulates. While other popular…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-03 Gery Geenens , Pierre Lafaye de Micheaux

Test takers do not give equally reliable responses. They take different responding strategies and they do not make the same effort to solve the problem and answer the question correctly. The consequences of differential test takers'…

Physics Education · Physics 2009-01-29 Srdjan Verbic , Boris Tomic

The use of machine learning methods for predictive purposes has increased dramatically over the past two decades, but uncertainty quantification for predictive comparisons remains elusive. This paper addresses this gap by extending the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-09 Juan Carlos Escanciano , Ricardo Parra

We study the impact of weak identification in discrete choice models, and provide insights into the determinants of identification strength in these models. Using these insights, we propose a novel test that can consistently detect weak…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-21 David T. Frazier , Eric Renault , Lina Zhang , Xueyan Zhao

Study of time series data often involves measuring the strength of temporal dependence, on which statistical properties like consistency and central limit theorem are built. Historically, various dependence measures have been proposed. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-16 Fang Han , Weibiao Wu