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The energy available in a solar energy powered grid is uncertain due to the weather conditions at the time of generation. Forecasting global solar irradiance could address this problem by providing the power grid with the capability of…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-28 Guillermo Terrén-Serrano , Manel Martínez-Ramón

Ground-based whole sky imagers (WSIs) can provide localized images of the sky of high temporal and spatial resolution, which permits fine-grained cloud observation. In this paper, we show how images taken by WSIs can be used to estimate…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-04-07 Soumyabrata Dev , Florian M. Savoy , Yee Hui Lee , Stefan Winkler

Ground-based whole sky imagers (WSIs) are being used by researchers in various fields to study the atmospheric events. These ground-based sky cameras capture visible-light images of the sky at regular intervals of time. Owing to the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Mayank Jain , Navya Jain , Yee Hui Lee , Stefan Winkler , Soumyabrata Dev

To address the high levels of uncertainty associated with photovoltaic energy, an increasing number of studies focusing on short-term solar forecasting (i.e. nowcasting) have been published. Most of these studies use deep-learning-based…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-07 Lorenzo F. C. Varaschin , Danilo Silva

In recent years, deep learning-based solar forecasting using all-sky images has emerged as a promising approach for alleviating uncertainty in PV power generation. However, the stochastic nature of cloud movement remains a major challenge…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Yuhao Nie , Eric Zelikman , Andea Scott , Quentin Paletta , Adam Brandt

Meteorologists use shapes and movements of clouds in satellite images as indicators of several major types of severe storms. Satellite imaginary data are in increasingly higher resolution, both spatially and temporally, making it impossible…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-06-26 Xinye Zheng , Jianbo Ye , Yukun Chen , Stephen Wistar , Jia Li , Jose A. Piedra-Fernández , Michael A. Steinberg , James Z. Wang

Satellite-based solar irradiation forecasting is useful for short-term intra-day time horizons, outperforming numerical weather predictions up to 3-4 hours ahead. The main techniques for solar satellite forecast are based on sophisticated…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-09-02 Franco Marchesoni-Acland , Rodrigo Alonso Suárez

This paper proposes an anticipative transformer-based model for short-term solar irradiance forecasting. Given a sequence of sky images, our proposed vision transformer encodes features of consecutive images, feeding into a transformer…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Thomas M. Mercier , Tasmiat Rahman , Amin Sabet

This paper describes a new algorithm for solar energy forecasting from a sequence of Cloud Optical Depth (COD) images. The algorithm is based on the following simple observation: the dynamics of clouds represented by COD images resembles…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-10-03 Sergiy Zhuk , Tigran Tchrakian , Albert Akhriev , Siyuan Lu , Hendrik Hamann

Nowcasting is a field of meteorology which aims at forecasting weather on a short term of up to a few hours. In the meteorology landscape, this field is rather specific as it requires particular techniques, such as data extrapolation, where…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Léa Berthomier , Bruno Pradel , Lior Perez

Amongst all the renewable energy resources (RES), solar is the most popular form of energy source and is of particular interest for its widely integration into the power grid. However, due to the intermittent nature of solar source, it is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-10 Ekanki Sharma , Wilfried Elmenreich

Accurate video prediction by deep neural networks, especially for dynamic regions, is a challenging task in computer vision for critical applications such as autonomous driving, remote working, and telemedicine. Due to inherent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Kazuki Kotoyori , Shota Hirose , Heming Sun , Jiro Katto

Accurate forecasts of distributed solar generation are necessary to reduce negative impacts resulting from the increased uptake of distributed solar photovoltaic (PV) systems. However, the high variability of solar generation over short…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Maneesha Perera , Julian De Hoog , Kasun Bandara , Saman Halgamuge

Operational flare forecasting aims at providing predictions that can be used to make decisions, typically at a daily scale, about the space weather impacts of flare occurrence. This study shows that video-based deep learning can be used for…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-09-13 Sabrina Guastavino , Francesco Marchetti , Federico Benvenuto , Cristina Campi , Michele Piana

Solar irradiance is fundamental data crucial for analyses related to weather and climate. High-precision estimation models are necessary to create areal data for solar irradiance. In this study, we developed a novel estimation model by…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-08 Jun Sasaki , Maki Okada , Kenji Utsunomiya , Koji Yamaguchi

Imaging the atmosphere using ground-based sky cameras is a popular approach to study various atmospheric phenomena. However, it usually focuses on the daytime. Nighttime sky/cloud images are darker and noisier, and thus harder to analyze.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-05-31 Soumyabrata Dev , Florian M. Savoy , Yee Hui Lee , Stefan Winkler

Accurate renewable energy production forecasting has become a priority as the share of intermittent energy sources on the grid increases. Recent work has shown that convolutional deep learning models can successfully be applied to forecast…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-24 Sebastian Bosma , Negar Nazari

The projection of shadows from moving clouds in the troposphere impacts energy generation in power grids using photovoltaic systems. This investigation proposes an efficient method of data processing for the statistical quantification of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-21 Guillermo Terrén-Serrano , Manel Martínez-Ramón

Solar forecasting from ground-based sky images has shown great promise in reducing the uncertainty in solar power generation. With more and more sky image datasets open sourced in recent years, the development of accurate and reliable deep…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Yuhao Nie , Quentin Paletta , Andea Scott , Luis Martin Pomares , Guillaume Arbod , Sgouris Sgouridis , Joan Lasenby , Adam Brandt

Ground-based whole sky cameras have opened up new opportunities for monitoring the earth's atmosphere. These cameras are an important complement to satellite images by providing geoscientists with cheaper, faster, and more localized data.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-06-10 Soumyabrata Dev , Bihan Wen , Yee Hui Lee , Stefan Winkler