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Remote sensing imagery offers rich spectral data across extensive areas for Earth observation. Many attempts have been made to leverage these data with transfer learning to develop scalable alternatives for estimating socio-economic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Fan Yang , Sahoko Ishida , Mengyan Zhang , Daniel Jenson , Swapnil Mishra , Jhonathan Navott , Seth Flaxman

In order to trust the predictions of a machine learning algorithm, it is necessary to understand the factors that contribute to those predictions. In the case of probabilistic and uncertainty-aware models, it is necessary to understand not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-19 Danny Wood , Theodore Papamarkou , Matt Benatan , Richard Allmendinger

Explaining the behavior of black box machine learning models through human interpretable rules is an important research area. Recent work has focused on explaining model behavior locally i.e. for specific predictions as well as globally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-17 Sukriti Verma , Nikaash Puri , Piyush Gupta , Balaji Krishnamurthy

Uncertainty quantification is essential in human-machine collaboration, as human agents tend to adjust their decisions based on the confidence of the machine counterpart. Reliably calibrated model uncertainties, hence, enable more effective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Teodor Chiaburu , Vipin Singh , Frank Haußer , Felix Bießmann

Confidence estimation can improve the reliability of melody estimation by indicating which predictions are likely incorrect. The existing classification-based approach provides confidence for predicted pitch classes but fails to capture the…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-07 Kavya Ranjan Saxena , Vipul Arora

Quantifying model uncertainty is critical for understanding prediction reliability, yet distinguishing between aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty remains challenging. We extend recent work from classification to regression to provide a…

Model-Agnostic Meta-Learning (MAML) is one of the most successful meta-learning techniques for few-shot learning. It uses gradient descent to learn commonalities between various tasks, enabling the model to learn the meta-initialization of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-18 Lin Ding , Peng Liu , Wenfeng Shen , Weijia Lu , Shengbo Chen

Neural networks are powerful tools in various applications, and quantifying their uncertainty is crucial for reliable decision-making. In the deep learning field, the uncertainties are usually categorized into aleatoric (data) and epistemic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-21 Wang Zhang , Ziwen Ma , Subhro Das , Tsui-Wei Weng , Alexandre Megretski , Luca Daniel , Lam M. Nguyen

In safety-critical applications like medical diagnosis, certainty associated with a model's prediction is just as important as its accuracy. Consequently, uncertainty estimation and reduction play a crucial role. Uncertainty in predictions…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-12 Abhishek Singh Sambyal , Narayanan C. Krishnan , Deepti R. Bathula

This paper tackles the challenge of detecting unreliable behavior in regression algorithms, which may arise from intrinsic variability (e.g., aleatoric uncertainty) or modeling errors (e.g., model uncertainty). First, we formally introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Andres Altieri , Marco Romanelli , Georg Pichler , Florence Alberge , Pablo Piantanida

The estimation of the amount of uncertainty featured by predictive machine learning models has acquired a great momentum in recent years. Uncertainty estimation provides the user with augmented information about the model's confidence in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Ibai Laña , Ignacio , Olabarrieta , Javier Del Ser

Models notoriously suffer from dataset biases which are detrimental to robustness and generalization. The identify-emphasize paradigm shows a promising effect in dealing with unknown biases. However, we find that it is still plagued by two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Bowen Zhao , Chen Chen , Qian-Wei Wang , Anfeng He , Shu-Tao Xia

Machine learning classifiers are probabilistic in nature, and thus inevitably involve uncertainty. Predicting the probability of a specific input to be correct is called uncertainty (or confidence) estimation and is crucial for risk…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-11 Gabriella Chouraqui , Liron Cohen , Gil Einziger , Liel Leman

This paper investigates methods for estimating uncertainty in semantic segmentation predictions derived from satellite imagery. Estimating uncertainty for segmentation presents unique challenges compared to standard image classification,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Melanie Rey , Andriy Mnih , Maxim Neumann , Matt Overlan , Drew Purves

We develop a novel data-driven robust model predictive control (DDRMPC) approach for automatic control of irrigation systems. The fundamental idea is to integrate both mechanistic models, which describe dynamics in soil moisture variations,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Chao Shang , Wei-Han Chen , Abraham Duncan Stroock , Fengqi You

Model-based offline reinforcement learning approaches generally rely on bounds of model error. Estimating these bounds is usually achieved through uncertainty estimation methods. In this work, we combine parametric and nonparametric methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-07 Guy Tennenholtz , Shie Mannor

In a data-scarce field such as healthcare, where models often deliver predictions on patients with rare conditions, the ability to measure the uncertainty of a model's prediction could potentially lead to improved effectiveness of decision…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-26 Lotta Meijerink , Giovanni Cinà , Michele Tonutti

As one of the most commonly seen data challenges, missing data, in particular, multiple, non-monotone missing patterns, complicates estimation and inference due to the fact that missingness mechanisms are often not missing at random, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-21 Jianing Dong , Raymond K. W. Wong , Kwun Chuen Gary Chan

Representing and quantifying uncertainty in physical parameterisations is a central challenge in weather and climate modelling, and approaches are often developed separately for different timescales. Here, we introduce a unified framework…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-01 Laura A. Mansfield , Hannah M. Christensen

Agricultural research has been profited by technical advances such as automation, data mining. Today, data mining is used in a vast areas and many off-the-shelf data mining system products and domain specific data mining application soft…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-08 Jay Gholap , Anurag Ingole , Jayesh Gohil , Shailesh Gargade , Vahida Attar