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Copulas provide a modular parameterization of multivariate distributions that decouples the modeling of marginals from the dependencies between them. Gaussian Mixture Copula Model (GMCM) is a highly flexible copula that can model many kinds…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-29 Siva Rajesh Kasa , Vaibhav Rajan

Data-driven emulation of nonlinear dynamics is challenging due to long-range skill decay that often produces physically unrealistic outputs. Recent advances in generative modeling aim to address these issues by providing uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Juan Nathaniel , Pierre Gentine

Polymer properties are inherently multi-scale in nature, where delicate local interaction details play a key role in describing their global conformational behavior. In this context, deriving coarse-grained (CG) multi-scale models for…

A model involving Gaussian processes (GPs) is introduced to simultaneously handle multi-task learning, clustering, and prediction for multiple functional data. This procedure acts as a model-based clustering method for functional data as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Arthur Leroy , Pierre Latouche , Benjamin Guedj , Servane Gey

We study estimation and prediction of Gaussian processes with covariance model belonging to the generalized Cauchy (GC) family, under fixed domain asymptotics. Gaussian processes with this kind of covariance function provide separate…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-23 Moreno Bevilacqua , Tarik Faouzi

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric model based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for the joint reconstruction and prediction of discrete time stochastic dynamical systems, based on $m$-multiple time-series data, perturbed by…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-27 Spyridon J. Hatjispyros , Christos Merkatas

Gaussian processes (GPs) are Bayesian nonparametric generative models that provide interpretability of hyperparameters, admit closed-form expressions for training and inference, and are able to accurately represent uncertainty. To model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-21 Gonzalo Rios , Felipe Tobar

We develop a non-parametric multivariate time series model that remains agnostic on the precise relationship between a (possibly) large set of macroeconomic time series and their lagged values. The main building block of our model is a…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-07 Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Massimiliano Marcellino , Nico Petz

Multiscale systems are ubiquitous in science and technology, but are notoriously challenging to simulate as short spatiotemporal scales must be appropriately linked to emergent bulk physics. When expensive high-dimensional dynamical systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Quercus Hernandez , Max Win , Thomas C. O'Connor , Paulo E. Arratia , Nathaniel Trask

The Collective Graphical Model (CGM) models a population of independent and identically distributed individuals when only collective statistics (i.e., counts of individuals) are observed. Exact inference in CGMs is intractable, and previous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-05-21 Li-Ping Liu , Daniel Sheldon , Thomas G. Dietterich

Machine learning models have emerged as a very effective strategy to sidestep time-consuming electronic-structure calculations, enabling accurate simulations of greater size, time scale and complexity. Given the interpolative nature of…

In order to scale standard Gaussian process (GP) regression to large-scale datasets, aggregation models employ factorized training process and then combine predictions from distributed experts. The state-of-the-art aggregation models,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-05 Haitao Liu , Jianfei Cai , Yi Wang , Yew-Soon Ong

Learning to sample from complex unnormalized distributions is a fundamental challenge in computational physics and machine learning. While score-based and variational methods have achieved success in continuous domains, extending them to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-11 Lei Li , Zhen Wang , Lishuo Zhang

To study materials phenomena simultaneously at various length scales, descriptions in which matter can be coarse grained to arbitrary levels, are necessary. Attempts to do this in the static regime (i.e. zero temperature) have already been…

Materials Science · Physics 2009-11-07 Stefano Curtarolo , Gerbrand Ceder

Recently, a novel linear model predictive control algorithm based on a physics-informed Gaussian Process has been introduced, whose realizations strictly follow a system of underlying linear ordinary differential equations with constant…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Adrian Lepp , Jörn Tebbe , Andreas Besginow

The adoption of detailed mechanisms for chemical kinetics often poses two types of severe challenges: First, the number of degrees of freedom is large; and second, the dynamics is characterized by widely disparate time scales. As a result,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Eliodoro Chiavazzo , C. William Gear , Carmeline J. Dsilva , Neta Rabin , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

Regressions created from experimental or simulated data enable the construction of metamodels, widely used in a variety of engineering applications. Many engineering problems involve multi-parametric physics whose corresponding…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-03-10 Abel Sancarlos , Victor Champaney , Jean-Louis Duval , Elias Cueto , Francisco Chinesta

Methods to generate realistic non-stationary demand scenarios are a key component for analyzing and optimizing decision policies in supply chains. Typical forecasting techniques recommended in standard inventory control textbooks consist of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-12 Lotte van Hezewijk , Nico Dellaert , Willem van Jaarsveld

The rising rates of diabetes necessitate innovative methods for its management. Continuous glucose monitors (CGM) are small medical devices that measure blood glucose levels at regular intervals providing insights into daily patterns of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-10 Renat Sergazinov , Elizabeth Chun , Valeriya Rogovchenko , Nathaniel Fernandes , Nicholas Kasman , Irina Gaynanova

Learning control policies for real-world robotic tasks often involve challenges such as multimodality, local discontinuities, and the need for computational efficiency. These challenges arise from the complexity of robotic environments,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Shu-yuan Wang , Hikaru Sasaki , Takamitsu Matsubara
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