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Generalized linear models (GLMs) -- such as logistic regression, Poisson regression, and robust regression -- provide interpretable models for diverse data types. Probabilistic approaches, particularly Bayesian ones, allow coherent…
Model checking has been proposed as a formal verification approach for analyzing computer-based and cyber-physical systems. The state space explosion problem is the main obstacle for applying this approach for sophisticated systems.…
We explore the probabilistic foundations of shared control in complex dynamic environments. In order to do this, we formulate shared control as a random process and describe the joint distribution that governs its behavior. For…
Optimal portfolio allocation is often formulated as a constrained risk problem, where one aims to minimize a risk measure subject to some performance constraints. This paper presents new Bayesian Optimization algorithms for such constrained…
Biclustering is a powerful data mining technique that allows simultaneously clustering rows (observations) and columns (features) in a matrix-format data set, which can provide results in a checkerboard-like pattern for visualization and…
In our previous work, a reduced order model (ROM) for a stochastic system was made, where noisy data was projected onto principal component analysis (PCA)-derived basis vectors to obtain an accurate reconstruction of the noise-free data.…
This study introduces an iterative Bayesian Robbins--Monro (IBRM) sequence, which unites the classical Robbins--Monro sequence with statistical estimation for faster root-finding under noisy observations. Although the standard…
We introduce a semi-supervised discrete choice model to calibrate discrete choice models when relatively few requests have both choice sets and stated preferences but the majority only have the choice sets. Two classic semi-supervised…
Two different approaches to analysis of data from diagnostic biomarker studies are commonly employed. Logistic regression is used to fit models for probability of disease given marker values, while ROC curves and risk distributions are used…
In this paper, we introduce a reduced order model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL) approach, utilizing the Iterative Linear Quadratic Regulator (ILQR) algorithm for the optimal control of nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs).…
In this paper, we identify partial correlation information structures that allow for simpler reformulations in evaluating the maximum expected value of mixed integer linear programs with random objective coefficients. To this end, assuming…
VHPOP is a partial order causal link (POCL) planner loosely based on UCPOP. It draws from the experience gained in the early to mid 1990's on flaw selection strategies for POCL planning, and combines this with more recent developments in…
Probabilistic behavior is omnipresent in computer controlled systems, in particular, so-called safety-critical hybrid systems, because of various reasons, like uncertain environments, or fundamental properties of nature. In this paper, we…
In the design of clinical trials, it is essential to assess the design operating characteristics (e.g., power and the type I error rate). Common practice for the evaluation of operating characteristics in Bayesian clinical trials relies on…
While existing mathematical descriptions can accurately account for phenomena at microscopic scales (e.g. molecular dynamics), these are often high-dimensional, stochastic and their applicability over macroscopic time scales of physical…
In partially observable (PO) environments, deep reinforcement learning (RL) agents often suffer from unsatisfactory performance, since two problems need to be tackled together: how to extract information from the raw observations to solve…
High-dimensional compositional data are commonplace in the modern omics sciences amongst others. Analysis of compositional data requires a proper choice of orthonormal coordinate representation as their relative nature is not compatible…
Predicting with missing inputs challenges even parametric models, as parameter estimation alone is insufficient for prediction on incomplete data. While several works study prediction in linear models, we focus on logistic models, where…
This study presents a semi-nonparametric Latent Class Choice Model (LCCM) with a flexible class membership component. The proposed model formulates the latent classes using mixture models as an alternative approach to the traditional random…
Approximate inference in dynamic systems is the problem of estimating the state of the system given a sequence of actions and partial observations. High precision estimation is fundamental in many applications like diagnosis, natural…