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Our society increasingly depends on intelligent systems to solve complex problems, ranging from recommender systems suggesting the next movie to watch to AI models assisting in medical diagnoses for hospitalized patients. With the iterative…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Angelos Chatzimparmpas

For high level path planning, environments are usually modeled as distance graphs, and path planning problems are reduced to computing the shortest path in distance graphs. One major drawback of this modeling is the inability to model…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Runping Qi , David L. Poole

Modern science, technology, and politics are all permeated by data that comes from people, measurements, or computational processes. While this data is often incomplete, corrupt, or lacking in sufficient accuracy and precision, explicit…

As the world increasingly relies on mathematical models for forecasts in different areas, effective communication of uncertainty in time series predictions is important for informed decision making. This study explores how users estimate…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Apoorva Karagappa , Pawandeep Kaur Betz , Jonas Gilg , Moritz Zeumer , Andreas Gerndt , Bernhard Preim

Scientific inference is often undermined by the vast but rarely explored "multiverse" of defensible modelling choices, which can generate results as variable as the phenomena under study. We introduce RobustiPy, an open-source Python…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Daniel Valdenegro , Jiani Yan , Duiyi Dai , Charles Rahal

Explainability and uncertainty quantification are key to trustable artificial intelligence. However, the reasoning behind uncertainty estimates is generally left unexplained. Identifying the drivers of uncertainty complements explanations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Pascal Iversen , Simon Witzke , Katharina Baum , Bernhard Y. Renard

Uncertainty quantification for Particle Image Velocimetry (PIV) is critical for comparing flow fields with Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) results, and model design and validation. However, PIV features a complex measurement chain with…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-07-07 Lalit K. Rajendran , Sayantan Bhattacharya , Sally P. M. Bane , Pavlos P. Vlachos

Uncertainty estimation is essential to make neural networks trustworthy in real-world applications. Extensive research efforts have been made to quantify and reduce predictive uncertainty. However, most existing works are designed for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-07 Myong Chol Jung , He Zhao , Joanna Dipnall , Belinda Gabbe , Lan Du

Uncertainty quantification is critical for ensuring robustness in high-stakes machine learning applications. We introduce HybridFlow, a modular hybrid architecture that unifies the modeling of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Peter Van Katwyk , Karianne J. Bergen

Probabilistic models inform an increasingly broad range of business and policy decisions ultimately made by people. Recent algorithmic, computational, and software framework development progress facilitate the proliferation of Bayesian…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-01-12 Sebastian Stein , John H. Williamson

Artificial intelligence (AI) is increasingly used to support prognosis in Alzheimer's disease (AD), but adoption remains limited due to a lack of transparency and interpretability, particularly for long-term predictions where uncertainty is…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Jonatan Reyes , Mina Massoumi , Anil Ufuk Batmaz , Marta Kersten-Oertel

Algorithmic transparency entails exposing system properties to various stakeholders for purposes that include understanding, improving, and contesting predictions. Until now, most research into algorithmic transparency has predominantly…

Clinician-facing predictive models are increasingly present in the healthcare setting. Regardless of their success with respect to performance metrics, all models have uncertainty. We investigate how to visually communicate uncertainty in…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Caitlin F. Harrigan , Gabriela Morgenshtern , Anna Goldenberg , Fanny Chevalier

As data plays an increasingly pivotal role in decision-making, the emergence of data markets underscores the growing importance of data valuation. Within the machine learning landscape, Data Shapley stands out as a widely embraced method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-30 Mengmeng Wu , Zhihong Liu , Xiang Li , Ruoxi Jia , Xiangyu Chang

We present a novel approach to uncertainty quantification in classification tasks based on label-wise decomposition of uncertainty measures. This label-wise perspective allows uncertainty to be quantified at the individual class level,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Yusuf Sale , Paul Hofman , Timo Löhr , Lisa Wimmer , Thomas Nagler , Eyke Hüllermeier

Behavioral studies using personal digital devices typically produce rich longitudinal datasets of mixed data types. These data provide information about the behavior of users of these devices in real-time and in the users' natural…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-12-06 A. Ikäheimonen , A. M. Triana , N. Luong , A. Ziaei , J. Rantaharju , R. Darst , T. Aledavood

Although there has been a great deal of interest in analyzing customer opinions and breaking news in microblogs, progress has been hampered by the lack of an effective mechanism to discover and retrieve data of interest from microblogs. To…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2015-12-15 Mengchen Liu , Shixia Liu , Xizhou Zhu , Qinying Liao , Furu Wei , Shimei Pan

Despite the remarkable success of sampling-based generative models such as flow matching, they can still produce samples of inconsistent or degraded quality. To assess sample reliability and generate higher-quality outputs, we propose…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Juyeop Han , Lukas Lao Beyer , Sertac Karaman

We propose Combined Selection and Uncertainty Visualizer (CSUV), which estimates the set of true covariates in high-dimensional linear regression and visualizes selection uncertainties by exploiting the (dis)agreement among different base…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-06 Christine Yuen , Piotr Fryzlewicz

Researchers in explainable artificial intelligence have developed numerous methods for helping users understand the predictions of complex supervised learning models. By contrast, explaining the $\textit{uncertainty}$ of model outputs has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-01 David S. Watson , Joshua O'Hara , Niek Tax , Richard Mudd , Ido Guy