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Financial markets are inherently non-stationary, with shifting volatility regimes that alter asset co-movements and return distributions. Standard portfolio optimization methods, typically built on stationarity or regime-agnostic…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-20 Yiyao Zhang , Diksha Goel , Hussain Ahmad , Claudia Szabo

We approach the continuous-time mean-variance (MV) portfolio selection with reinforcement learning (RL). The problem is to achieve the best tradeoff between exploration and exploitation, and is formulated as an entropy-regularized, relaxed…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-07 Haoran Wang , Xun Yu Zhou

This paper addresses the critical disconnect between prediction and decision quality in portfolio optimization by integrating Large Language Models (LLMs) with decision-focused learning. We demonstrate both theoretically and empirically…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-04 Yoontae Hwang , Yaxuan Kong , Stefan Zohren , Yongjae Lee

When it comes to stock returns, any form of predictability can bolster risk-adjusted profitability. We develop a collaborative machine learning algorithm that optimizes portfolio weights so that the resulting synthetic security is maximally…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-08 Philippe Goulet Coulombe , Maximilian Goebel

In this paper, we propose a machine learning algorithm for time-inconsistent portfolio optimization. The proposed algorithm builds upon neural network based trading schemes, in which the asset allocation at each time point is determined by…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Kristoffer Andersson , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

Portfolio optimization requires dynamic allocation of funds by balancing the risk and return tradeoff under dynamic market conditions. With the recent advancements in AI, Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) has gained prominence in providing…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-08 Arishi Orra , Aryan Bhambu , Himanshu Choudhary , Manoj Thakur , Selvaraju Natarajan

Decision-focused learning (DFL) has emerged as a powerful end-to-end alternative to conventional predict-then-optimize (PTO) pipelines by directly optimizing predictive models through downstream decision losses. Existing DFL frameworks are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Xinyu Wang , Jinxiao Du , Yiyang Peng , Wei Ma

Recent developments in deep learning techniques have motivated intensive research in machine learning-aided stock trading strategies. However, since the financial market has a highly non-stationary nature hindering the application of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-15 Kentaro Imajo , Kentaro Minami , Katsuya Ito , Kei Nakagawa

Our work focuses on deep learning (DL) portfolio optimization, tackling challenges in long-only, multi-asset strategies across market cycles. We propose training models with limited regime data using pre-training techniques and leveraging…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-14 Brandon Luo , Jim Skufca

Decision-focused learning (DFL) integrates predictive modeling and optimization by training predictors to optimize the downstream decision target rather than merely minimizing prediction error. To date, existing DFL methods typically rely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Zihao Zhao , Christopher Yeh , Lingkai Kong , Kai Wang

Portfolio construction traditionally relies on separately estimating expected returns and covariance matrices using historical statistics, often leading to suboptimal allocation under time-varying market conditions. This paper proposes a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-23 Keonvin Park

Decision-Focused Learning (DFL) trains predictors to improve downstream decision quality, but computing regret gradients typically requires differentiating through solvers or relying on surrogate losses, which can be computationally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Junhyeong Lee , Sangjin Jin , Yongjae Lee

Decision-focused learning (DFL), which differentiates through the KKT conditions, has recently emerged as a powerful approach for predict-then-optimize problems. However, under probabilistic settings, DFL faces three major bottlenecks:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Lingkai Kong , Wenhao Mu , Jiaming Cui , Yuchen Zhuang , B. Aditya Prakash , Bo Dai , Chao Zhang

Learning from multimodal datasets can leverage complementary information and improve performance in prediction tasks. A commonly used strategy to account for feature correlations in high-dimensional datasets is the latent variable approach.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Lingchao Mao , Qi wang , Yi Su , Fleming Lure , Jing Li

We study continuous-time mean--variance portfolio selection in markets where stock prices are diffusion processes driven by observable factors that are also diffusion processes, yet the coefficients of these processes are unknown. Based on…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-31 Yilie Huang , Yanwei Jia , Xun Yu Zhou

Machine learning (ML) methods have been successfully employed in identifying variables that can predict the equity premium of individual stocks. In this paper, we investigate if ML can also be helpful in selecting variables relevant for…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-22 Guilherme V. Moura , André P. Santos , Hudson S. Torrent

Stock portfolio optimization is the process of constant re-distribution of money to a pool of various stocks. In this paper, we will formulate the problem such that we can apply Reinforcement Learning for the task properly. To maintain a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-14 Le Trung Hieu

When solving optimization problems under uncertainty with contextual data, utilizing machine learning to predict the uncertain parameters' values is a popular and effective approach. Decision-focused learning (DFL) aims at learning a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Noah Schutte , Grigorii Veviurko , Krzysztof Postek , Neil Yorke-Smith

In this review, we provide practical guidance on some of the main machine learning tools used in portfolio weight formation. This is not an exhaustive list, but a fraction of the ones used and have some statistical analysis behind it. All…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-01 Mehmet Caner Qingliang Fan

Bias originates from both data and algorithmic design, often exacerbated by traditional fairness methods that fail to address the subtle impacts of protected attributes. This study introduces an approach to mitigate bias in machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Khadija Zanna , Akane Sano