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Related papers: Model Selection Through Model Sorting

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Prediction sets can wrap around any ML model to cover unknown test outcomes with a guaranteed probability. Yet, it remains unclear how to use them optimally for downstream decision-making. Here, we propose a decision-theoretic framework…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Tao Wang , Edgar Dobriban

We introduce MODEL SELECTOR, a framework for label-efficient selection of pretrained classifiers. Given a pool of unlabeled target data, MODEL SELECTOR samples a small subset of highly informative examples for labeling, in order to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Patrik Okanovic , Andreas Kirsch , Jannes Kasper , Torsten Hoefler , Andreas Krause , Nezihe Merve Gürel

A framework previously introduced in [3] for solving a sequence of stochastic optimization problems with bounded changes in the minimizers is extended and applied to machine learning problems such as regression and classification. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-08 Craig Wilson , Yuheng Bu , Venugopal Veeravalli

Let $\theta_0,\theta_1 \in \mathbb{R}^d$ be the population risk minimizers associated to some loss $\ell:\mathbb{R}^d\times \mathcal{Z}\to\mathbb{R}$ and two distributions $\mathbb{P}_0,\mathbb{P}_1$ on $\mathcal{Z}$. The models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-13 Dmitrii M. Ostrovskii , Mohamed Ndaoud , Adel Javanmard , Meisam Razaviyayn

We introduce a new criterion, the Rank Selection Criterion (RSC), for selecting the optimal reduced rank estimator of the coefficient matrix in multivariate response regression models. The corresponding RSC estimator minimizes the Frobenius…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-18 Florentina Bunea , Yiyuan She , Marten H. Wegkamp

Foundation models often generate unreliable answers, while heuristic uncertainty estimators fail to fully distinguish correct from incorrect outputs, causing users to accept erroneous answers without any statistical guarantee. We address…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Zhiyuan Wang , Aniri , Tianlong Chen , Yue Zhang , Heng Tao Shen , Xiaoshuang Shi , Kaidi Xu

We study a variant of Collaborative PAC Learning, in which we aim to learn an accurate classifier for each of the $n$ data distributions, while minimizing the number of samples drawn from them in total. Unlike in the usual collaborative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Yuyang Deng , Mingda Qiao

We analyze the best achievable performance of Bayesian learning under generative models by defining and upper-bounding the minimum excess risk (MER): the gap between the minimum expected loss attainable by learning from data and the minimum…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-04 Aolin Xu , Maxim Raginsky

Competing risk analysis considers event times due to multiple causes, or of more than one event types. Commonly used regression models for such data include 1) cause-specific hazards model, which focuses on modeling one type of event while…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-27 Jiayi Hou , Anthony Paravati , Ronghui Xu , James Murphy

In this paper for the first time the nonparametric autoregression estimation problem for the quadratic risks is considered. To this end we develop a new adaptive sequential model selection method based on the efficient sequential kernel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-10 Ouerdia Arkoun , Jean-Yves Brua , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

Recent advances in the binary classification setting by Hanneke [2016b] and Larsen [2023] have resulted in optimal PAC learners. These learners leverage, respectively, a clever deterministic subsampling scheme and the classic heuristic of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Mikael Møller Høgsgaard

This paper studies empirical risk minimization (ERM) problems for large-scale datasets and incorporates the idea of adaptive sample size methods to improve the guaranteed convergence bounds for first-order stochastic and deterministic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-05 Aryan Mokhtari , Alejandro Ribeiro

A key issue in statistics and machine learning is to automatically select the "right" model complexity, e.g., the number of neighbors to be averaged over in k nearest neighbor (kNN) regression or the polynomial degree in regression with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-10-04 Marcus Hutter , Minh-Ngoc Tran

We study the assortment optimization problem under general linear constraints, where the customer choice behavior is captured by the Cross-Nested Logit model. In this problem, there is a set of products organized into multiple subsets (or…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-19 Cuong Le , Tien Mai

Named entity recognition (NER) is a widely studied task in natural language processing. Recently, a growing number of studies have focused on the nested NER. The span-based methods, considering the entity recognition as a span…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-06-22 Zeqi Tan , Yongliang Shen , Shuai Zhang , Weiming Lu , Yueting Zhuang

We study the task of selecting $k$ nodes, in a social network of size $n$, to seed a diffusion with maximum expected spread size, under the independent cascade model with cascade probability $p$. Most of the previous work on this problem…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Dean Eckles , Hossein Esfandiari , Elchanan Mossel , M. Amin Rahimian

Deep learning models achieve strong performance across various domains but often rely on spurious correlations, making them vulnerable to distribution shifts. This issue is particularly severe in subpopulation shift scenarios, where models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Subeen Park , Joowang Kim , Hakyung Lee , Sunjae Yoo , Kyungwoo Song

A parametric model order reduction (MOR) approach for simulating the high dimensional models arising in financial risk analysis is proposed on the basis of the proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) approach to generate small model…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Andreas Binder , Onkar Jadhav , Volker Mehrmann

We observe a random measure $N$ and aim at estimating its intensity $s$. This statistical framework allows to deal simultaneously with the problems of estimating a density, the marginals of a multivariate distribution, the mean of a random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-05-12 Yannick Baraud

We propose an empirical likelihood ratio test for nonparametric model selection, where the competing models may be nested, nonnested, overlapping, misspecified, or correctly specified. It compares the squared prediction errors of models…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-21 Jiancheng Jiang , Jiang Xuejun , Wang Haofeng