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In this report, we will be interested at Dynamic Bayesian Network (DBNs) as a model that tries to incorporate temporal dimension with uncertainty. We start with basics of DBN where we especially focus in Inference and Learning concepts and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-04-12 Nabil ghanmy , Mohamed Ali Mahjoub , Najoua Essoukri Ben Amara

Motivated by examples from genetic association studies, this paper considers the model selection problem in a general complex linear model system and in a Bayesian framework. We discuss formulating model selection problems and incorporating…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-14 Xiaoquan Wen

We propose a covariate-dependent discrete graphical model for capturing dynamic networks among discrete random variables, allowing the dependence structure among vertices to vary with covariates. This discrete dynamic network encompasses…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-19 Lyndsay Roach , Qiong Li , Nanwei Wang , Xin Gao

Joint distributions over many variables are frequently modeled by decomposing them into products of simpler, lower-dimensional conditional distributions, such as in sparsely connected Bayesian networks. However, automatically learning such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Scott Davies , Andrew Moore

Functional data analysis, which models data as realizations of random functions over a continuum, has emerged as a useful tool for time series data. Often, the goal is to infer the dynamic connections (or time-varying conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Chunshan Liu , Daniel R. Kowal , James Doss-Gollin , Marina Vannucci

We study the problem of finite-horizon probabilistic invariance for discrete-time Markov processes over general (uncountable) state spaces. We compute discrete-time, finite-state Markov chains as formal abstractions of general Markov…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-07-03 Sadegh Esmaeil Zadeh Soudjani , Alessandro Abate , Rupak Majumdar

In the paper, we present an incremental approach in the construction of scale free networks with hidden variables. The work arises from the necessity to generate that type of networks with a given number of links instead of obtaining a…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-06-10 Fabio Vanni

This paper provides an algorithmic framework for obtaining fast distributed algorithms for a highly-dynamic setting, in which *arbitrarily many* edge changes may occur in each round. Our algorithm significantly improves upon prior work in…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Keren Censor-Hillel , Neta Dafni , Victor I. Kolobov , Ami Paz , Gregory Schwartzman

Bayesian networks are powerful statistical models to study the probabilistic relationships among set random variables with major applications in disease modeling and prediction. Here, we propose a continuous time Bayesian network with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Syed Hasib Akhter Faruqui , Adel Alaeddini , Jing Wang , Carlos A. Jaramillo

This study introduces a dynamic investment framework to enhance portfolio management in volatile markets, offering clear advantages over traditional static strategies. Evaluates four conventional approaches : equal weighted, minimum…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-07 Jinhui Li , Wenjia Xie , Luis Seco

Bayesian networks, with structure given by a directed acyclic graph (DAG), are a popular class of graphical models. However, learning Bayesian networks from discrete or categorical data is particularly challenging, due to the large…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 Jiaying Gu , Fei Fu , Qing Zhou

Deep ensembles have emerged as a powerful technique for improving predictive performance and enhancing model robustness across various applications by leveraging model diversity. However, traditional deep ensemble methods are often…

Decoding complex relationships among large numbers of variables with relatively few observations is one of the crucial issues in science. One approach to this problem is Gaussian graphical modeling, which describes conditional independence…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-26 A. Mohammadi , E. C. Wit

The emergence of collective dynamics in neural networks is a mechanism of the animal and human brain for information processing. In this paper, we develop a computational technique using distributed processing elements in a complex network,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-02-20 Filipe Alves Neto Verri , Paulo Roberto Urio , Liang Zhao

We provide a framework for modeling social network formation through conditional multinomial logit models from discrete choice and random utility theory, in which each new edge is viewed as a "choice" made by a node to connect to another…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-22 Jan Overgoor , Austin R. Benson , Johan Ugander

In this paper we present the application of a novel methodology to scientific citation and collaboration networks. This methodology is designed for understanding the governing dynamics of evolving networks and relies on an attachment…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-09-29 Gabor Csardi , Katherine Strandburg , Laszlo Zalanyi , Jan Tobochnik , Peter Erdi

We discuss Bayesian forecasting of increasingly high-dimensional time series, a key area of application of stochastic dynamic models in the financial industry and allied areas of business. Novel state-space models characterizing sparse…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Zoey Yi Zhao , Meng Xie , Mike West

We propose a novel model-selection method for dynamic networks. Our approach involves training a classifier on a large body of synthetic network data. The data is generated by simulating nine state-of-the-art random graph models for dynamic…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Lourens Touwen , Doina Bucur , Remco van der Hofstad , Alessandro Garavaglia , Nelly Litvak

This paper introduces a new methodology to analyse bipartite and unipartite networks with nonnegative edge values. The proposed approach combines and adapts a number of ideas from the literature on latent variable network models. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-29 Riccardo Rastelli

In this work, we introduce a generalized framework for multiscale state-space modeling that incorporates nested nonlinear dynamics, with a specific focus on Bayesian learning under switching regimes. Our framework captures the complex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-31 Nayely Vélez-Cruz , Manfred D. Laubichler