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We develop a first-order (pseudo-)gradient approach for optimizing functions over the stationary distribution of discrete-time Markov chains (DTMC). We give insights into why solving this optimization problem is challenging and show how…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Nanne A. Dieleman , Joost Berkhout , Bernd Heidergott

State-space models are a popular statistical framework for analysing sequential data. Within this framework, particle filters are often used to perform inference on non-linear state-space models. We introduce a new method, StateMixNN, that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Benjamin Cox , Santiago Segarra , Victor Elvira

This work aims to address the problem of long-term dynamic forecasting in complex environments where data are noisy and irregularly sampled. While recent studies have introduced some methods to improve prediction performance, these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Yuchen Wang , Hongjue Zhao , Haohong Lin , Enze Xu , Lifang He , Huajie Shao

We perform approximate inference in state-space models with nonlinear state transitions. Without parameterizing a generative model, we apply Bayesian update formulas using a local linearity approximation parameterized by neural networks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-26 David Ruhe , Patrick Forré

In this work, we explore the state-space formulation of a network process to recover, from partial observations, the underlying network topology that drives its dynamics. To do so, we employ subspace techniques borrowed from system…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-26 Mario Coutino , Elvin Isufi , Takanori Maehara , Geert Leus

For challenging state estimation problems arising in domains like vision and robotics, particle-based representations attractively enable temporal reasoning about multiple posterior modes. Particle smoothers offer the potential for more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Ali Younis , Erik B. Sudderth

State-space models (SSMs) are a common tool for modeling multi-variate discrete-time signals. The linear-Gaussian (LG) SSM is widely applied as it allows for a closed-form solution at inference, if the model parameters are known. However,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-03-23 Emilie Chouzenoux , Victor Elvira

To comprehend complex systems with multiple states, it is imperative to reveal the identity of these states by system outputs. Nevertheless, the mathematical models describing these systems often exhibit nonlinearity so that render the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Guangtao Zhang , Yiting Duan , Guanyu Pan , Qijing Chen , Huiyu Yang , Zhikun Zhang

Structured state-space models (SSMs) have been developed to offer more persistent memory retention than traditional recurrent neural networks, while maintaining real-time inference capabilities and addressing the time-complexity limitations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Takashi Morita

Switching state-space models (SSSM) are a very popular class of time series models that have found many applications in statistics, econometrics and advanced signal processing. Bayesian inference for these models typically relies on Markov…

Computation · Statistics 2010-11-11 Nick Whiteley , Christophe Andrieu , Arnaud Doucet

In this document, some general results in approximation theory and matrix analysis with applications to sparse identification of time series models and nonlinear discrete-time dynamical systems are presented. The aforementioned theoretical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-04 Fredy Vides

This paper presents a new filter for state-space models based on Bellman's dynamic-programming principle, allowing for nonlinearity, non-Gaussianity and degeneracy in the observation and/or state-transition equations. The resulting Bellman…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Rutger-Jan Lange

Set-Membership Filter (SMF) has been extensively studied for state estimation in the presence of bounded noises with unknown statistics. Since it was first introduced in the 1960s, the studies on SMF have used the set-based description as…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-14 Yirui Cong , Xiangke Wang , Xiangyun Zhou

Emergent properties in distributed systems arise due to timing unpredictability; asynchronous state evolution within each sub-system may lead the macro-system to faulty meta-states. Empirical validation of correctness is often prohibitively…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Tinapat Limsila , Mehul Sharma , Paulo Garcia

Optimization algorithms can be interpreted through the lens of dynamical systems as the interconnection of linear systems and a set of subgradient nonlinearities. This dynamical systems formulation allows for the analysis and synthesis of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Jared Miller , Carsten Scherer , Fabian Jakob , Andrea Iannelli

This work studies networked agents cooperating to track a dynamical state of nature under partial information. The proposed algorithm is a distributed Bayesian filtering algorithm for finite-state hidden Markov models (HMMs). It can be used…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-07 Mert Kayaalp , Virginia Bordignon , Stefan Vlaski , Vincenzo Matta , Ali H. Sayed

Recurrent State-space models (RSSMs) are highly expressive models for learning patterns in time series data and system identification. However, these models assume that the dynamics are fixed and unchanging, which is rarely the case in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Vaisakh Shaj , Dieter Buchler , Rohit Sonker , Philipp Becker , Gerhard Neumann

Simultaneous Localization and Mapping (SLAM) algorithms perform visual-inertial estimation via filtering or batch optimization methods. Empirical evidence suggests that filtering algorithms are computationally faster, while optimization…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-05 Amay Saxena , Chih-Yuan Chiu , Joseph Menke , Ritika Shrivastava , Shankar Sastry

Multi-object state estimation is a fundamental problem for robotic applications where a robot must interact with other moving objects. Typically, other objects' relevant state features are not directly observable, and must instead be…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Angad Singh , Omar Makhlouf , Maximilian Igl , Joao Messias , Arnaud Doucet , Shimon Whiteson

A self-organizing map (SOM) is a type of competitive artificial neural network, which projects the high-dimensional input space of the training samples into a low-dimensional space with the topology relations preserved. This makes SOMs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-02 Wenbin Zhang , Jianwu Wang , Daeho Jin , Lazaros Oreopoulos , Zhibo Zhang
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