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Stable and efficient food markets are crucial for global food security, yet international staple food markets are increasingly exposed to complex risks, including intensified risk contagion and escalating external uncertainties. This paper…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-28 Yun-Shi Dai , Peng-Fei Dai , Stéphane Goutte , Duc Khuong Nguyen , Wei-Xing Zhou

This paper studies robust forward investment and consumption preferences and optimal strategies for a risk-averse and ambiguity-averse agent in an incomplete financial market with drift and volatility uncertainties. We focus on non-zero…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-17 Wing Fung Chong , Gechun Liang

Systemic risk in banking systems remains a crucial issue that it has not been completely understood. In our toy model, banks are exposed to two sources of risks, namely, market risk from their investments in assets external to the banking…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-24 Aki-Hiro Sato , Paolo Tasca , Takashi Isogai

This paper proposes a novel continuous-time dynamic contract framework that has a risk-limiting capability. If a principal and an agent enter into such a contract, the principal can optimally manage its performance and risk with a guarantee…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-10 Insoon Yang , Duncan S. Callaway , Claire J. Tomlin

This paper assesses the hedge effectiveness of an index-based longevity swap and a longevity cap. Although swaps are a natural instrument for hedging longevity risk, derivatives with non-linear pay-offs, such as longevity caps, also provide…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-04 Man Chung Fung , Katja Ignatieva , Michael Sherris

In this paper, we study the robust optimal investment and risk control problem for an insurer who owns the insider information about the financial market and the insurance market under model uncertainty. Both financial risky asset process…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-15 Chao Yu , Yuhan Cheng , Yilun Song

We develop a finite horizon continuous time market model, where risk averse investors maximize utility from terminal wealth by dynamically investing in a risk-free money market account, a stock written on a default-free dividend process,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-23 Agostino Capponi , Martin Larsson

This study investigates the functioning of modern payment systems through the lens of banks' maturity mismatch practices, and it examines the effects of banks' refusal to roll over short-term interbank liabilities on financial stability.…

General Economics · Economics 2023-06-12 Jessica Reale

Most people are risk-averse (risk-seeking) when they expect to gain (lose). Based on a generalization of ``expected utility theory'' which takes this into account, we introduce an automaton mimicking the dynamics of economic operations.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 C. Anteneodo , C. Tsallis , A. S. Martinez

This paper studies a Kyle-Back model with a risk-averse insider possessing exponential utility and a dynamic stochastic signal about the asset's terminal fundamental value. While the existing literature considers either risk-neutral…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-05 Albina Danilova , Valentin Lizhdvoy

We introduce contracts for linear dynamical systems with inputs and outputs. Contracts are used to express formal specifications on the dynamic behaviour of such systems through two aspects: assumptions and guarantees. The assumptions are a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-03-24 B. M. Shali , A. J. van der Schaft , B. Besselink

We consider the problem of Adverse Selection and optimal derivative design within a Principal-Agent framework. The principal's income is exposed to non-hedgeable risk factors arising, for instance, from weather or climate phenomena. She…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-10-31 U. Horst , S. Moreno

This paper proposes a market consistent valuation framework for variable annuities with guaranteed minimum accumulation benefit, death benefit and surrender benefit features. The setup is based on a hybrid model for the financial market and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-24 Laura Ballotta , Ernst Eberlein , Thorsten Schmidt , Raghid Zeineddine

Risk perceptions are essential in cyber insurance contracts. With the recent surge of information, human risk perceptions are exposed to the influences from both beneficial knowledge and fake news. In this paper, we study the role of the…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-10-28 Shutian Liu , Quanyan Zhu

Many real-world domains require safe decision making in uncertain environments. In this work, we introduce a deep reinforcement learning framework for approaching this important problem. We consider a distribution over transition models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 James Queeney , Mouhacine Benosman

In behavioral finance, aversion affects investors' judgment of future uncertainty when profit and loss occur. Considering investors' aversion to loss and risk, and the ambiguous uncertainty characterizing asset returns, we construct a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-06 Xin Zhang

We investigate a continuous-time investment-consumption problem with model uncertainty in a general diffusion-based market with random model coefficients. We assume that a power utility investor is ambiguity-averse, with the preference to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-04 Len Patrick Dominic M. Garces , Yang Shen

Using intraday data for the cross-section of individual stocks, we show that both transitory and persistent fluctuations in realized market and average idiosyncratic volatility, skewness and kurtosis are differentially priced in the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-05 Jozef Barunik , Josef Kurka

While the investors' responses to price changes and their price forecasts are well accepted major factors contributing to large price fluctuations in financial markets, our study shows that investors' heterogeneous and dynamic risk aversion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Baosheng Yuan , Kan Chen

The emerging interest in low-latency high-reliability applications, such as connected vehicles, necessitates a new abstraction between communication and control. Thanks to advances in cyber-physical systems over the past decades, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-31 Konstantinos Gatsis , Hamed Hassani , George J. Pappas