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The maximum likelihood method offers a standard way to estimate the three parameters of a generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution. Combined with the block maxima method, it is often used in practice to assess the extreme value index…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-24 Clément Dombry

Full likelihood-based inference for high-dimensional multivariate extreme value distributions, or max-stable processes, is feasible when incorporating occurrence times of the maxima; without this information, $d$-dimensional likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-01 J. L. Wadsworth

We address the problem of likelihood based inference for correlated diffusion processes using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques. Such a task presents two interesting problems. First, the construction of the MCMC scheme should…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Petros Dellaportas , Gareth O. Roberts

This paper studies predictor functions motivated by maximizing a measure of agreement with the predictand. Specifically, it examines distributional properties and predictive performance of the estimated maximum agreement linear predictor…

The purpose of this paper is to synthesize the approaches taken by Chatterjee-Meckes and Reinert-R\"ollin in adapting Stein's method of exchangeable pairs for multivariate normal approximation. The more general linear regression condition…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-18 Elizabeth S. Meckes

The classical multivariate extreme-value theory concerns the modeling of extremes in a multivariate random sample, suggesting the use of max-stable distributions. In this work, the classical theory is extended to the case where aggregated…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-12 Enkelejd Hashorva , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

In order to overcome multicollinearity, we propose a stochastic restricted Liu-type max- imum likelihood estimator by incorporating Liu-type maximum likelihood estimator (Inan and Erdo- gan, 2013) to the logistic regression model when the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-09 Jibo Wu , Yasin Asar

This expository note describes how to apply the method of maximum likelihood to estimate the parameters of the ``$q$-exponential'' distributions introduced by Tsallis and collaborators. It also describes the relationship of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

In this paper, we continue Voiculescu's recent work on the analogous extreme value theory in the context of bi-free probability theory. We derive various equivalent conditions for a bivariate distribution function to be bi-freely…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2018-11-27 Hao-Wei Huang , Jiun-Chau Wang

Multi-fidelity methods that use an ensemble of models to compute a Monte Carlo estimator of the expectation of a high-fidelity model can significantly reduce computational costs compared to single-model approaches. These methods use oracle…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-12 Thomas Dixon , Alex Gorodetsky , John Jakeman , Akil Narayan , Yiming Xu

Bivariate imprecise copulas have recently attracted substantial attention. However, the multivariate case seems still to be a "blank slate". It is then natural that this idea be tested first on shock model induced copulas, a family which…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-09 David Dolžan , Damjana Kokol Bukovšek , Matjaž Omladič , Damjan Škulj

We uncover connections between maximum likelihood estimation in statistics and norm minimization over a group orbit in invariant theory. We focus on Gaussian transformation families, which include matrix normal models and Gaussian graphical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-24 Carlos Améndola , Kathlén Kohn , Philipp Reichenbach , Anna Seigal

Given a set of independent Poisson random variables with common mean, we study the distribution of their maximum and obtain an accurate asymptotic formula to locate the most probable value of the maximum. We verify our analytic results with…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-26 K. M. Briggs , L. Song , T. Prellberg

We show how to perform full likelihood inference for max-stable multivariate distributions or processes based on a stochastic Expectation-Maximisation algorithm, which combines statistical and computational efficiency in high-dimensions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-17 Raphaël Huser , Clément Dombry , Mathieu Ribatet , Marc G. Genton

Maximum-likelihood estimation (MLE) is arguably the most important tool for statisticians, and many methods have been developed to find the MLE. We present a new inequality involving posterior distributions of a latent variable that holds…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Niels Lundtorp Olsen

We prove a conjecture of Lalley and Sellke [Ann. Probab. 15 (1987)] asserting that the empirical (time-averaged) distribution function of the maximum of branching Brownian motion converges almost surely to a double exponential, or Gumbel,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-10 Louis-Pierre Arguin , Anton Bovier , Nicola Kistler

This paper considers maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in a large class of models with hidden Markov regimes. We investigate consistency of the ML estimator and local asymptotic normality for the models under general conditions which allow…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Demian Pouzo , Zacharias Psaradakis , Martin Sola

This paper provides two different novel approaches of slice sampling to estimate the parameters of absolute continuous Marshall-Olkin bivariate Pareto distribution with location and scale parameters. We carry out the bayesian analysis…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-19 Biplab Paul , Arabin Kumar Dey , Sanku Dey

Motivated by recent works on the high-dimensional logistic regression, we establish that the existence of the maximum likelihood estimate exhibits a phase transition for a wide range of generalized linear models with binary outcome and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-18 Wenpin Tang , Yuting Ye

We consider long strips of finite width $L \leq 13$ sites of ferromagnetic Ising spins with random couplings distributed according to the binary distribution: $P(J_{ij})= {1 \over 2} ( \delta (J_{ij} -J_0) + \delta (J_{ij} -rJ_0) ) ,\ 0 < r…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 S. L. A. de Queiroz , R. B. Stinchcombe
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