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Motivated by developments in renewable energy and smart grids, we formulate a stylized mathematical model of a transport network with stochastic load fluctuations. Using an affine control rule, we explore the trade-off between the number of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-24 Alessandro Zocca , Bert Zwart

Supply chain resilience analysis aims to identify the critical elements in the supply chain, measure its reliability, and analyze solutions for improving vulnerabilities. While extensive methods like stochastic approaches have been…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-22 Yaxin Pang , Shenle Pan , Eric Ballot

The interaction between extreme weather events and interdependent critical infrastructure systems involves complex spatiotemporal dynamics. Multi-type emergency decisions within energy-transportation infrastructures significantly influence…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-26 Jiawei Wang , Qinglai Guo , Haotian Zhao , Bin Wang , Hongbin Sun

This paper focuses on the analytical probabilistic modeling of vehicular traffic. It formulates a stochastic node model. It then formulates a network model by coupling the node model with the link model of Lu and Osorio (2018), which is a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-09-07 Jing Lu , Carolina Osorio

We study the emergence of congestion patterns in urban networks by modeling vehicular interaction by means of a simple traffic rule and by using a set of measures inspired by the standard Betweenness Centrality (BC). We consider a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-07-25 Marco Cogoni , Giovanni Busonera , Francesco Versaci

We study single commodity network flows with suitable robustness and efficiency specs. An original use of a maximum entropy problem for distributions on the paths of the graph turns this problem into a steering problem for Markov chains…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-09-28 Yongxin Chen , Tryphon T. Georgiou , Michele Pavon , Allen Tannenbaum

We investigate the behavior of extended urban traffic networks within the framework of percolation theory by using real and synthetic traffic data. Our main focus shifts from the statistical properties of the cluster size distribution…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-21 Marco Cogoni , Giovanni Busonera

Extreme weather events, like flooding, disrupt urban transportation networks by reducing speeds and capacities, and by closing roadways. These hazards create regime-dependent uncertainty in link performance and travel-time distribution…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Wencheng Bao , Chrysafis Vogiatzis , Eleftheria Kontou

Stability of Wardrop equilibria is analyzed for dynamical transportation networks in which the drivers' route choices are influenced by information at multiple temporal and spatial scales. The considered model involves a continuum of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Giacomo Como , Ketan Savla , Daron Acemoglu , Munther A. Dahleh , Emilio Frazzoli

Assessing the resilience of a road network is instrumental to improve existing infrastructures and design new ones. Here we apply the optimal path crack model (OPC) to investigate the mobility of road networks and propose a new proxy for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-04 H. A. Carmona , A. W. T. de Noronha , A. A. Moreira , N. A. M. Araujo , J. S. Andrade

Line planning in public transport is the strategic problem of selecting lines and their operating frequencies. This problem is important as it defines the passenger service, based on available connections and expected travel times, and…

Understanding the dynamics of traffic clusters is crucial for enhancing urban transportation systems, particularly in managing congestion and free-flow states. This study applies computational percolation theory to analyze the formation and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-30 Yongsung Kwon , Minjin Lee , Mi Jin Lee , Seung-Woo Son

We present methodology for estimating the stochastic intensity of a doubly stochastic Poisson process. Statistical and theoretical analyses of traffic traces show that these processes are appropriate models of high intensity traffic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-24 Ruixin Wang , Prateek Jaiwal , Harsha Honnappa

Stochastic user equilibrium is an important issue in the traffic assignment problems, tradition models for the stochastic user equilibrium problem are designed as mathematical programming problems. In this article, a Physarum-inspired model…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2017-03-07 Shuai Xu , Wen Jiang

Insight into the blockage vulnerability of evolving spatial networks is important for understanding transport resilience, robustness, and failure of a broad class of real-world structures such as porous media and utility, urban traffic, and…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-10-21 Ali Molavi , Hossein Hamzehpour , Reza Shaebani

This paper proposes a bilevel transit network design problem considering supply side uncertainty. The upper level problem determines frequency settings to simultaneously maximize the efficiency and equity measures, which are defined by the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-06 Yu Jiang

We study the equilibrium behavior in a multi-commodity selfish routing game with many types of uncertain users where each user over- or under-estimates their congestion costs by a multiplicative factor. Surprisingly, we find that…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-12 Shreyas Sekar , Liyuan Zheng , Lillian J. Ratliff , Baosen Zhang

In uncertainty quantification, a stochastic modelling is often applied, where parameters are substituted by random variables. We investigate linear dynamical systems of ordinary differential equations with a quantity of interest as output.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-23 Roland Pulch , Akil Narayan

A Mathematical Program with Equilibrium Constraints (MPEC) is formulated to capture the relationships between multiple Mobility Service Providers (MSPs) and the users of a multi-modal transport network. The network supply structure is…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Claudia Bandiera , Richard D. Connors , Francesco Viti

In the setting of a recently developed cellular stochastic traffic flow model, it has shown that the joint per-cell vehicle densities, as a function of time, can be accurately approximated by a Gaussian process, which has the attractive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Michel Mandjes , Jaap Storm