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This article provides the first procedure for computing a fully data-dependent interval that traps the mixing time $t_{\text{mix}}$ of a finite reversible ergodic Markov chain at a prescribed confidence level. The interval is computed from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-04 Daniel Hsu , Aryeh Kontorovich , Csaba Szepesvári

Parametric Markov chains (pMC) are used to model probabilistic systems with unknown or partially known probabilities. Although (universal) pMC verification for reachability properties is known to be coETR-complete, there have been efforts…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Kasper Engelen , Guillermo A. Pérez , Shrisha Rao

For general absorbed Markov processes $(X_t)_{0\leq t<\tau_{\partial}}$ having a quasi-stationary distribution (QSD) $\pi$ and absorption time $\tau_{\partial}$, we introduce a Dobrushin-type criterion providing for exponential convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-26 Oliver Tough

In this second part, we analyze the dissipation properties of Generalized Poisson-Kac (GPK) processes, considering the decay of suitable $L^2$-norms and the definition of entropy functions. In both cases, consistent energy dissipation and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-08-02 Massimiliano Giona , Antonio Brasiello , Silvestro Crescitelli

We discuss the Kolmogorov's entropy and Sinai's definition of it; and then define a deformation of the entropy, called {\it scaling entropy}; this is also a metric invariant of the measure preserving actions of the group, which is more…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-04-21 A. Vershik

For Markov processes over discrete configurations, an asymptotic bound on the uncertainty of stochastic fluxes is derived in terms of the harmonic mean of decay rates with respect to the stationary distribution. This bound is necessarily…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-07-16 Katarzyna Macieszczak

This paper provides full classification of dynamics for continuous time Markov chains (CTMCs) on the non-negative integers with polynomial transition rate functions. Such stochastic processes are abundant in applications, in particular in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-01 Chuang Xu , Mads Christian Hansen , Carsten Wiuf

Consider an N-dimensional Markov chain obtained from N one-dimensional random walks by Doob h-transform with the q-Vandermonde determinant. We prove that as N becomes large, these Markov chains converge to an infinite-dimensional Feller…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-03 Alexei Borodin , Vadim Gorin

Many years ago B.S. Pitskel observed that the metric entropy of the shift transformation in the sample space of a stationary random process $X=\{X_n,\,n\in \mathbb Z\}$ with a countable number of states is equal to the conditional entropy…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-06-03 Boris Gurevich

Let $X$ be a discrete random variable with support $S$ and $f : S \to S^\prime$ be a bijection. Then it is well-known that the entropy of $X$ is the same as the entropy of $f(X)$. This entropy preservation property has been well-utilized to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Chandra Nair , Balaji Prabhakar , Devavrat Shah

To quantify the randomness of Markov trajectories with fixed initial and final states, Ekroot and Cover proposed a closed-form expression for the entropy of trajectories of an irreducible finite state Markov chain. Numerous applications,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Mohamed Kafsi , Matthias Grossglauser , Patrick Thiran

We consider the maximum entropy Markov chain inference approach to characterize the collective statistics of neuronal spike trains, focusing on the statistical properties of the inferred model. We review large deviations techniques useful…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-15 Rodrigo Cofre , Cesar Maldonado , Fernando Rosas

We consider two approaches to study non-reversible Markov processes, namely the Hypocoercivity Theory (HT) and GENERIC (General Equations for Non-Equilibrium Reversible-Irreversible Coupling); the basic idea behind both of them is to split…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-25 Manh Hong Duong , Michela Ottobre

Piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) are a class of stochastic processes with applications in several fields of applied mathematics spanning from mathematical modeling of physical phenomena to computational methods. A PDMP is…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-30 Andrea Bertazzi , Joris Bierkens , Paul Dobson

We study time-changed Markov processes to speed up the convergence of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. The time-changed process is defined by adjusting the speed of time of a base process via a user-chosen, state-dependent…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-08 Andrea Bertazzi , Giorgos Vasdekis

Let {X_n,n\geq0} be a Markov chain on a general state space X with transition probability P and stationary probability \pi. Suppose an additive component S_n takes values in the real line R and is adjoined to the chain such that…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Cheng-Der Fuh

In this paper, we consider convergence properties of a second order Markov chain. Similar to a column stochastic matrix is associated to a Markov chain, a so called {\em transition probability tensor} $P$ of order 3 and dimension $n$ is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-07-29 Shenglong Hu , Liqun Qi

We consider a recurrent Markov process which is an It\^o semi-martingale. The L\'evy kernel describes the law of its jumps. Based on observations X(0),X({\Delta}),...,X(n{\Delta}), we construct an estimator for the L\'evy kernel's density.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-14 Florian A. J. Ueltzhöfer

We study the large time fluctuations of entropy production in Markov processes. In particular, we consider the effect of a coarse-graining procedure which decimates {\em fast states} with respect to a given time threshold. Our results…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-05-21 A. Puglisi , S. Pigolotti , L. Rondoni , A. Vulpiani

We consider a stochastic process in which independent identically distributed random matrices are multiplied and where the Lyapunov exponent of the product is positive. We continue multiplying the random matrices as long as the norm,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-14 Michael Wilkinson , John Grant