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We propose a novel method of detecting directed interactions of a general dynamic network from measured data. By repeating random state variable resetting of a target node and appropriately averaging over the measurable data, the pairwise…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-11-14 Rundong Shi , Changbao Deng , Shihong Wang

The robust detection of statistical dependencies between the components of a complex system is a key step in gaining a network-based understanding of the system. Because of their simplicity and low computation cost, pairwise statistics are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-01 Antoine Messager , Nicos Georgiou , Luc Berthouze

Matched-pair experimental designs aim to detect treatment effects by pairing participants and comparing within-pair outcome differences. In many situations, the overall effect size across the entire population is small. Then, the focus…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Weizhi Li , Gautam Dasarathy , Visar Berisha

We introduce a method for learning pairwise interactions in a manner that satisfies strong hierarchy: whenever an interaction is estimated to be nonzero, both its associated main effects are also included in the model. We motivate our…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-14 Michael Lim , Trevor Hastie

Financial markets are a classical example of complex systems as they comprise many interacting stocks. As such, we can obtain a surprisingly good description of their structure by making the rough simplification of binary daily returns.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-28 Thomas Bury

The complexity of many biological, social and technological systems stems from the richness of the interactions among their units. Over the past decades, a great variety of complex systems has been successfully described as networks whose…

Inferring brain connectivity network and quantifying the significance of interactions between brain regions are of paramount importance in neuroscience. Although there have recently emerged some tests for graph inference based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-23 Yuting Ye , Yin Xia , Lexin Li

The inverse statistical problem of finding direct interactions in complex networks is difficult. In the natural sciences, well-controlled perturbation experiments are widely used to probe the structure of complex networks. However, our…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2019-10-24 Jialong Jiang , David A. Sivak , Matt Thomson

Simultaneous recordings from many neurons hide important information and the connections characterizing the network remain generally undiscovered despite the progresses of statistical and machine learning techniques. Discerning the presence…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-21 Pietro Verzelli , Laura Sacerdote

The persistence of biodiversity of species is a challenging proposition in ecological communities in the face of Darwinian selection. The present article investigates beyond the pairwise competitive interactions and provides a novel…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-09 Sourin Chatterjee , Sayantan Nag Chowdhury , Dibakar Ghosh , Chittaranjan Hens

Finding interdependency relations between (possibly multivariate) time series provides valuable knowledge about the processes that generate the signals. Information theory sets a natural framework for non-parametric measures of several…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-09 German Gomez-Herrero , Wei Wu , Kalle Rutanen , Miguel C. Soriano , Gordon Pipa , Raul Vicente

Causal effect estimation in networked systems is central to data-driven decision making. In such settings, interventions on one unit can spill over to others, and in complex physical or social systems, the interaction pathways driving these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-27 Sadegh Shirani , Mohsen Bayati

Estimating causal interactions in complex dynamical systems is an important problem encountered in many fields of current science. While a theoretical solution for detecting the causal interactions has been previously formulated in the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-01-20 Jakub Kořenek , Jaroslav Hlinka

The analysis of large experimental datasets frequently reveals significant interactions that are difficult to interpret within the theoretical framework guiding the research. Some of these interactions actually arise from the presence of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-19 Hannes Matuschek , Reinhold Kliegl

Statistical inference of directed relations given some unspecified interventions (i.e., the intervention targets are unknown) is challenging. In this article, we test hypothesized directed relations with unspecified interventions. First, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-02 Chunlin Li , Xiaotong Shen , Wei Pan

Monitoring is an important aspect of safely deploying Large Language Models (LLMs). This paper examines activation probes for detecting ``high-stakes'' interactions -- where the text indicates that the interaction might lead to significant…

Correlations between anomalous activity patterns can yield pertinent information about complex social processes: a significant deviation from normal behavior, exhibited simultaneously by multiple pairs of actors, provides evidence for some…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-11-19 Aaron Schein , Juston Moore , Hanna Wallach

Over the past decade network theory has been applied successfully to the study of a variety of complex adaptive systems. However, the application of these techniques to non-human social networks has several shortfalls. Firstly, in most…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-03-10 David Lusseau , Hal Whitehead , Shane Gero

Interacting particle systems play a key role in science and engineering. Access to the governing particle interaction law is fundamental for a complete understanding of such systems. However, the inherent system complexity keeps the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Zhichao Han , David S. Kammer , Olga Fink

Describing the collective activity of neural populations is a daunting task: the number of possible patterns grows exponentially with the number of cells, resulting in practically unlimited complexity. Recent empirical studies, however,…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2012-02-02 Andrea K. Barreiro , Julijana Gjorgjieva , Fred Rieke , Eric Shea-Brown