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Predicting extreme events in high-dimensional chaotic dynamical systems remains a fundamental challenge, as such events are rare, intermittent, and arise from transient dynamical mechanisms that are difficult to infer from limited…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Eirini Katsidoniotaki , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

Data-driven machine-learning for predicting instantaneous and future fault-slip in laboratory experiments has recently progressed markedly due to large training data sets. In Earth however, earthquake interevent times range from 10's-100's…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-01-19 Kun Wang , Christopher W. Johnson , Kane C. Bennett , Paul A. Johnson

Performing anomaly detection in hybrid systems is a challenging task since it requires analysis of timing behavior and mutual dependencies of both discrete and continuous signals. Typically, it requires modeling system behavior, which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-30 Nemanja Hranisavljevic , Oliver Niggemann , Alexander Maier

Inferring behavior model of a running software system is quite useful for several automated software engineering tasks, such as program comprehension, anomaly detection, and testing. Most existing dynamic model inference techniques are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-31 Mohammad Jafar Mashhadi , Hadi Hemmati

Dynamic graphs capture evolving interactions between entities, such as in social networks, online learning platforms, and crowdsourcing projects. For dynamic graph modeling, dynamic graph neural networks (DGNNs) have emerged as a mainstream…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Xingtong Yu , Zhenghao Liu , Xinming Zhang , Yuan Fang

We present a novel, model-free, and data-driven methodology for controlling complex dynamical systems into previously unseen target states, including those with significantly different and complex dynamics. Leveraging a parameter-aware…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-02-13 Daniel Köglmayr , Alexander Haluszczynski , Christoph Räth

Many natural systems undergo critical transitions, i.e. sudden shifts from one dynamical regime to another. In the climate system, the atmospheric boundary layer can experience sudden transitions between fully turbulent states and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-26 Amandine Kaiser , Davide Faranda , Sebastian Krumscheid , Danijel Belušić , Nikki Vercauteren

This paper proposes a novel Self-Supervised Intrusion Detection (SSID) framework, which enables a fully online Deep Learning (DL) based Intrusion Detection System (IDS) that requires no human intervention or prior off-line learning. The…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-05-16 Mert Nakıp , Erol Gelenbe

The early detection of tipping points, which describe a rapid departure from a stable state, is an important theoretical and practical challenge. Tipping points are most commonly associated with the disappearance of steady-state or periodic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-04-09 Andrew Keane , Bernd Krauskopf , Timothy M. Lenton

The growing number of Internet users and the prevalence of web applications make it necessary to deal with very complex software and applications in the network. This results in an increasing number of new vulnerabilities in the systems,…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Mahdi Soltani , Mahdi Jafari Siavoshani , Amir Hossein Jahangir

It is well known that the addition of noise to a multistable dynamical system can induce random transitions from one stable state to another. For low noise, the times between transitions have an exponential tail and Kramers' formula gives…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Peter Ashwin , Jennifer Creaser , Krasimira Tsaneva-Atanasova

The design of reliable indicators to anticipate critical transitions in complex systems is an im portant task in order to detect a coming sudden regime shift and to take action in order to either prevent it or mitigate its consequences. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-14 Martin Heßler , Oliver Kamps

We analyst in detail a new approach to the monitoring and forecasting of the onset of transitions in high dimensional complex systems (see Phys. Rev. Lett . vol. 113, 264102 (2014)) by application to the Tangled Nature Model of evolutionary…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-08-03 Duccio Piovani , Jelena Grujic , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

Real-world non-autonomous systems are open, out-of-equilibrium systems that evolve in and are driven by temporally varying environments. Such systems can show multiple timescale and transient dynamics together with transitions to very…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-07-12 Klaus Lehnertz

Detecting early warning signals in climatic time series is essential for anticipating critical transitions and tipping points. Common statistical indicators include increased variance and lag-one autocorrelation prior to bifurcation points.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Sigrunn H. Sørbye , Eirik Myrvoll-Nilsen , Håvard Rue

The demand for fast and accurate structural analysis is becoming increasingly more prevalent with the advance of generative design and topology optimization technologies. As one step toward accelerating structural analysis, this work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-02 Zhenguo Nie , Haoliang Jiang , Levent Burak Kara

The robotic systems continuously interact with complex dynamical systems in the physical world. Reliable predictions of spatiotemporal evolution of these dynamical systems, with limited knowledge of system dynamics, are crucial for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-01-08 Yun Long , Xueyuan She , Saibal Mukhopadhyay

Early-warning indicators (increase of autocorrelation and variance) are commonly applied to time series data to try and detect tipping points of real-world systems. The theory behind these indicators originates from approximating the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-09-26 Paul Ritchie , Jan Sieber

Trend change prediction in complex systems with a large number of noisy time series is a problem with many applications for real-world phenomena, with stock markets as a notoriously difficult to predict example of such systems. We approach…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-30 Ben Moews , J. Michael Herrmann , Gbenga Ibikunle

Spatiotemporal data analysis is pivotal across various domains, such as transportation, meteorology, and healthcare. The data collected in real-world scenarios are often incomplete due to device malfunctions and network errors.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Yakun Chen , Kaize Shi , Zhangkai Wu , Juan Chen , Xianzhi Wang , Julian McAuley , Guandong Xu , Shui Yu