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Selective prediction, where a model has the option to abstain from making a decision, is crucial for machine learning applications in which mistakes are costly. In this work, we focus on distributional regression and introduce a framework…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Ahmed Zaoui , Clément Dombry

Estimation of reliability and hazard rate is one of the most important problems raised in many applications especially in engineering studies as well as human lifetime. In this regard, different methods of estimation have been used. Each…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-27 Hassan Piriaeia , Omid Shojaee

In survival analysis, the lifetime under study is not always observed. In certain applications, for some individuals, the value of the lifetime is only known to be smaller or larger than some random duration. This framework represent an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Laurent Bordes , Maria Carmen Pardo , Christian Paroissin , Valentin Patilea

The nested error regression model is a useful tool for analyzing clustered (grouped) data, and is especially used in small area estimation. The classical nested error regression model assumes normality of random effects and error terms, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-16 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

We introduce a binary regression accounting-based model for bankruptcy prediction of small and medium enterprises (SMEs). The main advantage of the model lies in its predictive performance in identifying defaulted SMEs. Another advantage,…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-11 Raffaella Calabrese , Giampiero Marra , Silvia Angela Osmetti

Nonparametric regression and regression-discontinuity designs suffer from smoothing bias that distorts conventional confidence intervals. Solutions based on robust bias correction (RBC) are now central to the economist's toolbox. In this…

In medical and biological research, longitudinal data and survival data types are commonly seen. Traditional statistical models mostly consider to deal with either of the data types, such as linear mixed models for longitudinal data, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-12 Jizi Shangguan

We develop a model-based boosting approach for multivariate distributional regression within the framework of generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape. Our approach enables the simultaneous modeling of all distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Annika Strömer , Nadja Klein , Christian Staerk , Hannah Klinkhammer , Andreas Mayr

XGBoost is often presented as the algorithm that wins every ML competition. Surprisingly, this is true even though predictions are piecewise constant. This might be justified in high dimensional input spaces, but when the number of features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-11 Laurent de Vito

Detection limit (DL) has become an increasingly ubiquitous issue in statistical analyses of biomedical studies, such as cytokine, metabolite and protein analysis. In regression analysis, if an explanatory variable is left-censored due to…

In survival analysis, estimating the conditional survival function given predictors is often of interest. There is a growing trend in the development of deep learning methods for analyzing censored time-to-event data, especially when…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-13 Sehwan Kim , Rui Wang , Wenbin Lu

The tail of a bivariate distribution function in the domain of attraction of a bivariate extreme-value distribution may be approximated by the one of its extreme-value attractor. The extreme-value attractor has margins that belong to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-14 Simon Guillotte , Francois Perron , Johan Segers

This paper studies binary classification in robust one-bit compressed sensing with adversarial errors. It is assumed that the model is overparameterized and that the parameter of interest is effectively sparse. AdaBoost is considered, and,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-09 Geoffrey Chinot , Felix Kuchelmeister , Matthias Löffler , Sara van de Geer

The initial Climate-Extended Risk Model (CERM) addresses the estimate of climate-related financial risk embedded within a bank loan portfolio, through a climatic extension of the Basel II IRB model. It uses a Gaussian copula model…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-06 Jean-Baptiste Gaudemet , Jules Deschamps , Olivier Vinciguerra

This paper presents a new class of regression models for continuous data restricted to the interval $(0,1)$, such as rates and proportions. The proposed class of models assumes a beta distribution for the variable of interest with…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-02 Diego Ramos Canterle , Fábio Mariano Bayer

Symbolic regression is an important but challenging research topic in data mining. It can detect the underlying mathematical models. Genetic programming (GP) is one of the most popular methods for symbolic regression. However, its…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-05-16 Chen Chen , Changtong Luo , Zonglin Jiang

The popularity of penalized regression in high-dimensional data analysis has led to a demand for new inferential tools for these models. False discovery rate control is widely used in high-dimensional hypothesis testing, but has only…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-24 Ryan Miller , Patrick Breheny

Loan default prediction is one of the most important and critical problems faced by banks and other financial institutions as it has a huge effect on profit. Although many traditional methods exist for mining information about a loan…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-07 Rising Odegua

In recent years, theoretical results and simulation evidence have shown Bayesian additive regression trees to be a highly-effective method for nonparametric regression. Motivated by cost-effectiveness analyses in health economics, where…

Shuffled regression concerns settings in which covariates and responses are observed without their correct pairing. In dependent-data problems, a second form of missing correspondence can arise when responses are also detached from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Anik Burman , Sayantan Choudhury , Debangan Dey
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