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In stochastic simulation, input uncertainty refers to the output variability arising from the statistical noise in specifying the input models. This uncertainty can be measured by a variance contribution in the output, which, in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-20 Henry Lam , Huajie Qian

Due to the rapidly changing climate, the frequency and severity of extreme weather is expected to increase over the coming decades. As fully-resolved climate simulations remain computationally intractable, policy makers must rely on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-29 Benedikt Barthel Sorensen , Alexis Charalampopoulos , Shixuan Zhang , Bryce Harrop , Ruby Leung , Themistoklis Sapsis

Measurements made by satellite remote sensing, Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), and globally distributed Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) are compared. Comparison of the two datasets measurements for aerosol optical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-15 N. K. Malakar , D. J. Lary , D. Gencaga , A. Albayrak , J. Wei

The South Asian Smog refers to the recurring annual air pollution events marked by high contaminant levels, reduced visibility, and significant socio-economic impacts, primarily affecting the Indo-Gangetic Plains (IGP) from November to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Taimur Khan

In order to better comprehend the global carbon cycle and predict the prognosis for the response to climate change, accurate assessment of sea-air CO2 flux is necessary. Comparing to the relative homogeneously distribution of atmospheric…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-02-13 Xiang Li , Minhan Dai , Guizhi Wang

Numerical models used in weather and climate prediction take into account a comprehensive set of atmospheric processes such as the resolved and unresolved fluid dynamics, radiative transfer, cloud and aerosol life cycles, and mass or energy…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-10-11 Hui Wan , Kai Zhang , Philip J. Rasch , Vincent E. Larson , Xubin Zeng , Shixuan Zhang , Ross Dixon

Near-surface atmospheric conditions can differ sharply over tens to hundreds of meters due to land cover and topography, yet this variability is absent from current weather analyses and forecasts. It is unclear whether such meter-scale…

Airborne particulate matter (PM2.5) is a major public health concern in urban environments, where population density and emission sources exacerbate exposure risks. We present a novel Bayesian spatiotemporal fusion model to estimate monthly…

Accurate representation of atmosphere-ocean boundary layers, including the interplay of turbulence, surface waves, and air-sea fluxes, remains a challenge in geophysical fluid dynamics, particularly for climate simulations. This study…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-04 Long Li , Etienne Mémin , Bertrand Chapron

Galactic diffuse emissions in gamma rays and neutrinos arise from interactions of cosmic rays with the interstellar medium and probe the cosmic-ray intensity away from the Solar system. Model predictions for those are influenced by the…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2026-03-11 Anton Stall , Philipp Mertsch

We discuss the influence of the cosmological background density field on the spherical infall model. The spherical infall model has been used in the Press-Schechter formalism to evaluate the number abundance of clusters of galaxies, as well…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-31 A. Taruya , J. Soda

Spatial prediction of weather-elements like temperature, precipitation, and barometric pressure are generally based on satellite imagery or data collected at ground-stations. None of these data provide information at a more granular or…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-28 Arnab Chakraborty , Soumendra Nath Lahiri , Alyson Wilson

First results of multi-wavelength measurements of the twilight sky background using all-sky camera with RGB-color CCD conducted in spring and summer of 2016 in central Russia (55.2 deg N, 37.5 deg E) are discussed. They show the effect of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-02-14 Oleg S. Ugolnikov , Igor A. Maslov

We apply a linear Bayesian model to seismic tomography, a high-dimensional inverse problem in geophysics. The objective is to estimate the three-dimensional structure of the earth's interior from data measured at its surface. Since this…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-11 Ran Zhang , Claudia Czado , Karin Sigloch

The climate system is a forced, dissipative, nonlinear, complex and heterogeneous system that is out of thermodynamic equilibrium. The system exhibits natural variability on many scales of motion, in time as well as space, and it is subject…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-05 Michael Ghil , Valerio Lucarini

After 30 years since the beginning of the Global Positioning System (GPS), or, more generally, Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) meteorology, this technique has proven to be a reliable method for retrieving atmospheric water vapor;…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-23 Javier Vaquero-Martinez , Manuel Anton

Several experiments measure the fluorescence light produced by extensive air showers in the atmosphere. This light is converted into a longitudinal shower profile from which information on the primary energy and composition is derived. The…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 B. Keilhauer , J. Bluemer , R. Engel , H. O. Klages

Statistical multispecies models of multiarea marine ecosystems use a variety of data sources to estimate parameters using composite or weighted likelihood functions with associated weighting issues and questions on how to obtain variance…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-16 Lorna Taylor , Verena M. Trenkel , Vojtech Kupca , Gunnar Stefansson

Weak lensing observations have the potential to be even more powerful than cosmic microwave background (CMB) observations in constraining cosmological parameters. However, the practical limits to weak lensing observations are not known.…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 D. Wittman

Climate change is one of the most critical challenges that our planet is facing today. Rising global temperatures are already bringing noticeable changes to Earth's weather and climate patterns with an increased frequency of unpredictable…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-19 Karandeep Singh , Chaeyoon Jeong , Naufal Shidqi , Sungwon Park , Arjun Nellikkattil , Elke Zeller , Meeyoung Cha
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