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Short-term precipitation forecasting remains challenging due to the difficulty in capturing long-term spatiotemporal dependencies. Current deep learning methods fall short in establishing effective dependencies between conditions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-18 ChaoRong Li , XuDong Ling , YiLan Xue , Wenjie Luo , LiHong Zhu , FengQing Qin , Yaodong Zhou , Yuanyuan Huang

Flow prediction (e.g., crowd flow, traffic flow) with features of spatial-temporal is increasingly investigated in AI research field. It is very challenging due to the complicated spatial dependencies between different locations and dynamic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-24 Haoxing Lin , Weijia Jia , Yiping Sun , Yongjian You

Precipitation is a complex physical process that varies in space and time. Predictions and interpolations at unobserved times and/or locations help to solve important problems in many areas. In this paper, we present a hierarchical Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-17 Fabio Sigrist , Hans R. Künsch , Werner A. Stahel

Video prediction aims to predict future frames by modeling the complex spatiotemporal dynamics in videos. However, most of the existing methods only model the temporal information and the spatial information for videos in an independent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-21 Zheng Chang , Xinfeng Zhang , Shanshe Wang , Siwei Ma , Wen Gao

We study the problem of traffic forecasting, aiming to predict the inflow and outflow of a region in the subsequent time slot. The problem is complex due to the intricate spatial and temporal interdependence among regions. Prior works study…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Zheng Chenghong , Zongyin Deng , Liu Cheng , Xiong Simin , Di Deshi , Li Guanyao

Spatio-temporal problems exist in many areas of knowledge and disciplines ranging from biology to engineering and physics. However, solution strategies based on classical statistical techniques often fall short due to the large number of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-15 Emil B. Iversen , Rune Juhl , Jan K. Møller , Jan Kleissl , Henrik Madsen , Juan M. Morales

To gain finer regional forecasts, many works have explored the regional integration from the global atmosphere, e.g., by solving boundary equations in physics-based methods or cropping regions from global forecasts in data-driven methods.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Hao Chen , Tao Han , Jie Zhang , Song Guo , Lei Bai

In the past few years, Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based weather forecasting methods have widely demonstrated strong competitiveness among the weather forecasting systems. However, these methods are insufficient for high-spatial-resolution…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-18 Xujun Wei , Feng Zhang , Renhe Zhang , Wenwen Li , Cuiping Liu , Bin Guo , Jingwei Li , Haoyang Fu , Xu Tang

Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) can reduce human suffering by predicting disastrous precipitation in time. A commonly-used NWP in the world is the European Centre for medium-range weather forecasts (EC). However, it is necessary to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-14 Yiqun Liu , Shouzhen Chen , Lei Chen , Hai Chu , Xiaoyang Xu , Junping Zhang , Leiming Ma

Spatio-temporal forecasting is essential for understanding future dynamics within real-world systems by leveraging historical data from multiple locations. Existing methods often prioritize the development of intricate neural networks to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Weilin Ruan , Wei Chen , Xilin Dang , Jianxiang Zhou , Weichuang Li , Xu Liu , Yuxuan Liang

The spatial and temporal distribution of precipitation has a significant impact on human lives by determining freshwater resources and agricultural yield, but also rainfall-driven hazards like flooding or landslides. While the ERA5…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-23 Luca Glawion , Julius Polz , Harald Kunstmann , Benjamin Fersch , Christian Chwala

Wind power is one of the most important renewable energy sources and accurate wind power forecasting is very significant for reliable and economic power system operation and control strategies. This paper proposes a novel framework with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-14 Xingbo Fu , Feng Gao , Jiang Wu , Xinyu Wei , Fangwei Duan

Supporting decision-making has long been a central vision in the field of spatio-temporal intelligence. While prior work has improved the timeliness and accuracy of spatio-temporal forecasting, converting these forecasts into actionable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Shulun Chen , Wei Shao , Flora D. Salim , Hao Xue

Short-term precipitation forecasting is essential for planning of human activities in multiple scales, ranging from individuals' planning, urban management to flood prevention. Yet the short-term atmospheric dynamics are highly nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Donlapark Ponnoprat

Modelling of precipitation and its extremes is important for urban and agriculture planning purposes. We present a method for producing spatial predictions and measures of uncertainty for spatio-temporal data that is heavy-tailed and…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-19 Yang Liu , Philip Kokic

The hazard of pluvial flooding is largely influenced by the spatial and temporal dependence characteristics of precipitation. When extreme precipitation possesses strong spatial dependence, the risk of flooding is amplified due to catchment…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-03 Gregory P. Bopp , Benjamin A. Shaby , Chris E. Forest , Alfonso Mejía

Multivariate time series modeling and prediction problems are abundant in many machine learning application domains. Accurate interpretation of such prediction outcomes from a machine learning model that explicitly captures temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Tryambak Gangopadhyay , Sin Yong Tan , Zhanhong Jiang , Rui Meng , Soumik Sarkar

With extreme weather events becoming more common, the risk posed by surface water flooding is ever increasing. In this work we propose a model, and associated Bayesian inference scheme, for generating probabilistic (high-resolution…

Spatial-temporal causal time series (STC-TS) involve region-specific temporal observations driven by causally relevant covariates and interconnected across geographic or network-based spaces. Existing methods often model spatial and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Yang Yang , Du Yin , Hao Xue , Flora Salim

Real-world time series often exhibit a non-stationary nature, degrading the performance of pre-trained forecasting models. Test-Time Adaptation (TTA) addresses this by adjusting models during inference, but existing methods typically update…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Heitor R. Medeiros , Hossein Sharifi-Noghabi , Gabriel L. Oliveira , Saghar Irandoust
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