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The study of adaptive data analysis examines how many statistical queries can be answered accurately using a fixed dataset while avoiding false discoveries (statistically inaccurate answers). In this paper, we tackle a question that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-09 Roi Livni

When data is collected in an adaptive manner, even simple methods like ordinary least squares can exhibit non-normal asymptotic behavior. As an undesirable consequence, hypothesis tests and confidence intervals based on asymptotic normality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Koulik Khamaru , Yash Deshpande , Tor Lattimore , Lester Mackey , Martin J. Wainwright

It is a common contention that it is an ``impossible mission'' to exactly determine the minimum sample size for the estimation of a binomial parameter with prescribed margin of error and confidence level. In this paper, we investigate such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-02 Xinjia Chen

Subsampling is a general statistical method developed in the 1990s aimed at estimating the sampling distribution of a statistic $\hat \theta _n$ in order to conduct nonparametric inference such as the construction of confidence intervals…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Dimitris N. Politis

Statistical samples, in order to be representative, have to be drawn from a population in a random and unbiased way. Nevertheless, it is common practice in the field of model-based diagnosis to make estimations from (biased) best-first…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-05 Patrick Rodler , Fatima Elichanova

Scaling laws provide compact descriptions of how prediction error varies with compute, model size, and data, but existing theory mainly treats single-sample SGD or full data reuse, leaving the role of mini-batching unclear. We study batch…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Ziyan Chen , Ding-Xuan Zhou

We consider the problem of performing linear regression over a stream of $d$-dimensional examples, and show that any algorithm that uses a subquadratic amount of memory exhibits a slower rate of convergence than can be achieved without…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Vatsal Sharan , Aaron Sidford , Gregory Valiant

Clustered sampling is prevalent in empirical regression discontinuity (RD) designs, but it has not received much attention in the theoretical literature. In this paper, we introduce a general model-based framework for such settings and…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-20 Claudia Noack , Tomasz Olma , Christoph Rothe

We propose an approach to estimate the number of samples required for a model to reach a target performance. We find that the power law, the de facto principle to estimate model performance, leads to large error when using a small dataset…

Learning the minimum/maximum mean among a finite set of distributions is a fundamental sub-task in planning, game tree search and reinforcement learning. We formalize this learning task as the problem of sequentially testing how the minimum…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-05 Emilie Kaufmann , Wouter Koolen , Aurelien Garivier

Statistical divergences (SDs), which quantify the dissimilarity between probability distributions, are a basic constituent of statistical inference and machine learning. A modern method for estimating those divergences relies on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-30 Sreejith Sreekumar , Ziv Goldfeld

We study Bayesian linear regression models with skew-symmetric scale mixtures of normal error distributions. These kinds of models can be used to capture departures from the usual assumption of normality of the errors in terms of heavy…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-12 Francisco J. Rubio , Marc G. Genton

This article deals with the hypothesis test for the extremely heavy-tailed distributions with infinite mean or variance by using a truncated sample mean. We obtain three necessary and sufficient conditions under which the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Tang Fuquan , Han Dong

In this paper we introduce randomized $t$-type statistics that will be referred to as randomized pivots. We show that these randomized pivots yield central limit theorems with a significantly smaller magnitude of error as compared to that…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-24 Miklos Csorgo , Masoud M Nasari

This paper studies the problem of shuffled linear regression, where the correspondence between predictors and responses in a linear model is obfuscated by a latent permutation. Specifically, we consider the model $y = \Pi_* X \beta_* + w$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-16 Leon Lufkin , Yihong Wu , Jiaming Xu

A standard approach to computing expectations with respect to a given target measure is to introduce an overdamped Langevin equation which is reversible with respect to the target distribution, and to approximate the expectation by a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-20 A. B. Duncan , T. Lelievre , G. A. Pavliotis

Recent research has generated hope that inference scaling, such as resampling solutions until they pass verifiers like unit tests, could allow weaker models to match stronger ones. Beyond inference, this approach also enables training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Benedikt Stroebl , Sayash Kapoor , Arvind Narayanan

In this paper, we consider a statistical problem of learning a linear model from noisy samples. Existing work has focused on approximating the least squares solution by using leverage-based scores as an importance sampling distribution.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-11 Siheng Chen , Rohan Varma , Aarti Singh , Jelena Kovačević

Datasets that are terabytes in size are increasingly common, but computer bottlenecks often frustrate a complete analysis of the data. While more data are better than less, diminishing returns suggest that we may not need terabytes of data…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-01 Sokbae Lee , Serena Ng

This paper considers a distributionally robust chance constraint model with a general ambiguity set. We show that a sample based approximation of this model converges under suitable sufficient conditions. We also show that upper and lower…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Jiaqi Lei , Sanjay Mehrotra