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Transformers have recently gained popularity in time series forecasting due to their ability to capture long-term dependencies. However, many existing models focus only on capturing temporal dependencies while omitting intricate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Donghwa Shin , Edwin Zhang

Embedding is a useful technique to project a high-dimensional feature into a low-dimensional space, and it has many successful applications including link prediction, node classification and natural language processing. Current approaches…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-09-21 Meimei Liu , Hongxia Yang

Variational autoencoders (VAE) are powerful generative models that learn the latent representations of input data as random variables. Recent studies show that VAE can flexibly learn the complex temporal dynamics of time series and achieve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Borui Cai , Shuiqiao Yang , Longxiang Gao , Yong Xiang

The performance of many network learning applications crucially hinges on the success of network embedding algorithms, which aim to encode rich network information into low-dimensional vertex-based vector representations. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-01 Wenlin Wang , Chenyang Tao , Zhe Gan , Guoyin Wang , Liqun Chen , Xinyuan Zhang , Ruiyi Zhang , Qian Yang , Ricardo Henao , Lawrence Carin

There has been a recent surge of interest in time series modeling using the Transformer architecture. However, forecasting multivariate time series with Transformer presents a unique challenge as it requires modeling both temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Yu-Hsiang Lan , Eric K. Oermann

Variational Auto-Encoders (VAEs) are capable of learning latent representations for high dimensional data. However, due to the i.i.d. assumption, VAEs only optimize the singleton variational distributions and fail to account for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-20 Da Tang , Dawen Liang , Tony Jebara , Nicholas Ruozzi

Time-series forecasting often faces challenges due to data volatility, which can lead to inaccurate predictions. Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) has emerged as a promising technique to mitigate volatility by decomposing data into…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-05 Hafizh Raihan Kurnia Putra , Novanto Yudistira , Tirana Noor Fatyanosa

Predictive linear and nonlinear models based on kernel machines or deep neural networks have been used to discover dependencies among time series. This paper proposes an efficient nonlinear modeling approach for multiple time series, with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Kevin Roy , Luis Miguel Lopez-Ramos , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

Accurately modeling the correlation structure of errors is critical for reliable uncertainty quantification in probabilistic time series forecasting. While recent deep learning models for multivariate time series have developed efficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-11 Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Lijun Sun

Multi-view data from the same source often exhibit correlation. This is mirrored in correlation between the latent spaces of separate variational autoencoders (VAEs) trained on each data-view. A multi-view VAE approach is proposed that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-01 Ella S. C. Orme , Marina Evangelou , Ulrich Paquet

Recently, channel-independent methods have achieved state-of-the-art performance in multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting. Despite reducing overfitting risks, these methods miss potential opportunities in utilizing channel dependence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-14 Lifan Zhao , Yanyan Shen

This paper presents Variables Adaptive Mixture of Experts (VAMoE), a novel framework for incremental weather forecasting that dynamically adapts to evolving spatiotemporal patterns in real time data. Traditional weather prediction models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-21 Hao Chen , Han Tao , Guo Song , Jie Zhang , Yunlong Yu , Yonghan Dong , Lei Bai

The field of time series forecasting is rapidly advancing, with recent large-scale Transformers and lightweight Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) models showing strong predictive performance. However, conventional Transformer models are often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-13 Zheng Zhou , Yu-Jie Xiong , Jia-Chen Zhang , Chun-Ming Xia , Xi-Jiong Xie

Current methods for multivariate time series forecasting can be classified into channel-dependent and channel-independent models. Channel-dependent models learn cross-channel features but often overfit the channel ordering, which hampers…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Jiyuan Xu , Wenyu Zhang , Xin Jing , Shuai Chen , Shuai Zhang , Jiahao Nie

Multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) plays a vital role in a wide range of real-world applications, such as weather prediction and traffic flow forecasting. Although recent advances have significantly improved the modeling of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Beiliang Wu , Peiyuan Liu , Yifan Hu , Luyan Zhang , Ao Hu , Zenglin Xu

The vision transformer (ViT) has achieved state-of-the-art results in various vision tasks. It utilizes a learnable position embedding (PE) mechanism to encode the location of each image patch. However, it is presently unclear if this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-20 Zhengyang Yu , Jochen Triesch

In multivariate time series forecasting, the Transformer architecture encounters two significant challenges: effectively mining features from historical sequences and avoiding overfitting during the learning of temporal dependencies. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Han Zhou , Yuntian Chen

Most existing Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) use channel independent modeling and focus on capturing and generalizing temporal dependencies, while neglecting the correlations among channels or overlooking the different aspects of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Hanyin Cheng , Xingjian Wu , Yang Shu , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo

Variational autoencoders (VAEs) are powerful tools for learning latent representations of data used in a wide range of applications. In practice, VAEs usually require multiple training rounds to choose the amount of information the latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Juhan Bae , Michael R. Zhang , Michael Ruan , Eric Wang , So Hasegawa , Jimmy Ba , Roger Grosse

Transformer-based methods have achieved impressive results in time series forecasting. However, existing Transformers still exhibit limitations in sequence modeling as they tend to overemphasize temporal dependencies. This incurs additional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Tan Wang , Yun Wei Dong , Qi Wang
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