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In this paper, we study the problem of learning Kalman filtering with unknown system model in partially observed linear dynamical systems. We propose a unified algorithmic framework based on online optimization that can be used to solve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Lintao Ye , Ankang Zhang , Ming Chi , Bin Du , Jianghai Hu

In this paper, we consider the problem of predicting observations generated online by an unknown, partially observed linear system, which is driven by stochastic noise. For such systems the optimal predictor in the mean square sense is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-13 Anastasios Tsiamis , George Pappas

We study optimal regret bounds for control in linear dynamical systems under adversarially changing strongly convex cost functions, given the knowledge of transition dynamics. This includes several well studied and fundamental frameworks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-12 Naman Agarwal , Elad Hazan , Karan Singh

We study the regret of reinforcement learning from offline data generated by a fixed behavior policy in an infinite-horizon discounted Markov decision process (MDP). While existing analyses of common approaches, such as fitted $Q$-iteration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Yichun Hu , Nathan Kallus , Masatoshi Uehara

The filtering problem of causally estimating a desired signal from a related observation signal is investigated through the lens of regret optimization. Classical filter designs, such as $\mathcal H_2$ (Kalman) and $\mathcal H_\infty$,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-23 Oron Sabag , Babak Hassibi

The Linear-Quadratic Regulation (LQR) problem with unknown system parameters has been widely studied, but it has remained unclear whether $\tilde{ \mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{T})$ regret, which is the best known dependence on time, can be achieved…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Yiwen Lu , Yilin Mo

This paper investigates the problem of regret minimization in linear time-varying (LTV) dynamical systems. Due to the simultaneous presence of uncertainty and non-stationarity, designing online control algorithms for unknown LTV systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Yuzhen Han , Ruben Solozabal , Jing Dong , Xingyu Zhou , Martin Takac , Bin Gu

Kalman and H-infinity filters, the most popular paradigms for linear state estimation, are designed for very specific specific noise and disturbance patterns, which may not appear in practice. State observers based on the minimization of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-09 Jean-Sébastien Brouillon , Florian Dörfler , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

We consider online optimization procedures in the context of logistic regression, focusing on the Extended Kalman Filter (EKF). We introduce a second-order algorithm close to the EKF, named Semi-Online Step (SOS), for which we prove a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-27 Joseph De Vilmarest , Olivier Wintenberger

Predicting the output of a dynamical system from streaming data is fundamental to real-time feedback control and decision-making. We first derive an autoregressive representation that relates future local outputs to asynchronous past…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-09 Jiachen Qian , Yang Zheng

This letter studies the problem of online multi-step-ahead prediction for unknown linear stochastic systems. Using conditional distribution theory, we derive an optimal parameterization of the prediction policy as a linear function of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Jiachen Qian , Yang Zheng

We consider the problem of online prediction for an unknown, non-explosive linear stochastic system. With a known system model, the optimal predictor is the celebrated Kalman filter. In the case of unknown systems, existing approaches based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-15 Jiachen Qian , Yang Zheng

This paper is concerned with the convergence and the error analysis for the feedback particle filter (FPF) algorithm. The FPF is a controlled interacting particle system where the control law is designed to solve the nonlinear filtering…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-31 Amirhossein Taghvaei , Prashant G. Mehta

We present an algorithm based on the \emph{Optimism in the Face of Uncertainty} (OFU) principle which is able to learn Reinforcement Learning (RL) modeled by Markov decision process (MDP) with finite state-action space efficiently. By…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-01 Zihan Zhang , Xiangyang Ji

We consider the problem of online prediction in a marginally stable linear dynamical system subject to bounded adversarial or (non-isotropic) stochastic perturbations. This poses two challenges. Firstly, the system is in general…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Udaya Ghai , Holden Lee , Karan Singh , Cyril Zhang , Yi Zhang

We consider a fair resource allocation problem in the no-regret setting against an unrestricted adversary. The objective is to allocate resources equitably among several agents in an online fashion so that the difference of the aggregate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Abhishek Sinha , Ativ Joshi , Rajarshi Bhattacharjee , Cameron Musco , Mohammad Hajiesmaili

In online inverse linear optimization, a learner observes time-varying sets of feasible actions and an agent's optimal actions, selected by solving linear optimization over the feasible actions. The learner sequentially makes predictions of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Shinsaku Sakaue , Taira Tsuchiya , Han Bao , Taihei Oki

We revisit the problem of \textit{online linear optimization} in case the set of feasible actions is accessible through an approximated linear optimization oracle with a factor $\alpha$ multiplicative approximation guarantee. This setting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-12 Dan Garber

A natural goal when designing online learning algorithms for non-stationary environments is to bound the regret of the algorithm in terms of the temporal variation of the input sequence. Intuitively, when the variation is small, it should…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-08 Gautam Goel , Babak Hassibi

In this work, we study algorithms for learning in infinite-horizon undiscounted Markov decision processes (MDPs) with function approximation. We first show that the regret analysis of the Politex algorithm (a version of regularized policy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Nevena Lazic , Dong Yin , Yasin Abbasi-Yadkori , Csaba Szepesvari
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