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Mathematical models play a crucial role in understanding the spread of infectious disease outbreaks and influencing policy decisions. These models aid pandemic preparedness by predicting outcomes under hypothetical scenarios and identifying…

In the present article a mathematical model is proposed to research the current coronavirus outbreak (SARS-CoV-2) in Paraguay, describing the multiple transmission paths in the infection dynamics, following the susceptible, exposed,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-02 Juan A. Gonzalez Cuevas

The node-place model has been widely used to classify and evaluate transit stations, which sheds light on individual travel behaviors and supports urban planning through effectively integrating land use and transportation development. This…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-21 Jiali Zhou , Mingzhi Zhou , Jiangping Zhou , Zhan Zhao

Network models represent a useful tool to describe the complex set of financial relationships among heterogeneous firms in the system. In this paper, we propose a new semiparametric model for temporal multilayer causal networks with both…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-05 Billio Monica , Casarin Roberto , Costola Michele , Iacopini Matteo

Agent-Based Models (ABMs) are often used to model migration and are increasingly used to simulate individual migrant decision-making and unfolding events through a sequence of heuristic if-then rules. However, ABMs lack the methods to embed…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-09 Peter Strong , Alys McAlpine , Jim Q Smith

Modeling the spatiotemporal nature of the spread of infectious diseases can provide useful intuition in understanding the time-varying aspect of the disease spread and the underlying complex spatial dependency observed in people's mobility…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Padmaksha Roy , Shailik Sarkar , Subhodip Biswas , Fanglan Chen , Zhiqian Chen , Naren Ramakrishnan , Chang-Tien Lu

Physical contacts result in the spread of various phenomena such as viruses, gossips, ideas, packages and marketing pamphlets across a population. The spread depends on how people move and co-locate with each other, or their mobility…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-12-20 Sepanta Zeighami , Cyrus Shahabi , John Krumm

This study introduces a stochastic model of COVID-19 transmission tailored to the Colorado School of Mines campus and evaluates surveillance testing strategies within a university context. Enhancing the conventional SEIR framework with…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-09 Laura Albrecht , Karin Leiderman , Suzanne Sindi , Douglas Nychka

Background: Early detection and isolation of COVID-19 patients are essential for successful implementation of mitigation strategies and eventually curbing the disease spread. With a limited number of daily COVID-19 tests performed in every…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-09 Mohammed Alser , Jeremie S. Kim , Nour Almadhoun Alserr , Stefan W. Tell , Onur Mutlu

The COVID-19 pandemic has presented unprecedented challenges worldwide, necessitating effective modelling approaches to understand and control its transmission dynamics. In this study, we propose a novel approach that integrates…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-14 Moein Khalighi , Leo Lahti , Faïçal Ndaïrou , Peter Rashkov , Delfim F. M. Torres

The paper presents classification and analysis of the mathematical models of COVID-19 spread in different groups of populations such as the family, school, office (3-100 people), neighborhood (100-5000 people), city, region (0.5-15 million…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-01 O. I. Krivorotko , S. I. Kabanikhin

Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is an infectious disease caused by a newly discovered coronavirus. It is similar to influenza viruses and raises concerns through alarming levels of spread and severity resulting in an ongoing pandemic…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Adarsh Kumar , Kriti Sharma , Harvinder Singh , Sagar Gupta Naugriya , Sukhpal Singh Gill , Rajkumar Buyya

In this paper, we present a new approach for Covid-19 Pandemic spreading simulation based on fuzzy multi agents. The agent parameters consider distribution of the population according to age, and the index of socio-economic fragility.…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Didier El Baz , Andrei Doncescu

The ongoing Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a major crisis that has significantly affected the healthcare sector and global economies, which made it the main subject of various fields in scientific and technical research. To properly…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Driss Kiouach , Salim El Azami El-idrissi , Yassine Sabbar

This paper develops an agent-level simulation model, termed ALPS, for simulating the spread of an infectious disease in a confined community. The mechanism of transmission is agent-to-agent contact, using parameters reported for Corona…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-28 Anuj Srivastava

This technical report describes a dynamic causal model of the spread of coronavirus through a population. The model is based upon ensemble or population dynamics that generate outcomes, like new cases and deaths over time. The purpose of…

The outbreak of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has swept across more than 180 countries and territories since late January 2020. As a worldwide emergency response, governments have implemented various measures and policies, such as…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-05-03 Chuang Yang , Zhiwen Zhang , Zipei Fan , Renhe Jiang , Quanjun Chen , Xuan Song , Ryosuke Shibasaki

The COVID-19 infection cases have surged globally, causing devastations to both the society and economy. A key factor contributing to the sustained spreading is the presence of a large number of asymptomatic or hidden spreaders, who mix…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-18 Shuhong Huang , Jiachen Sun , Ling Feng , Jiarong Xie , Dashun Wang , Yanqing Hu

The SARS-CoV-2 virus and COVID-19 disease have posed unprecedented and overwhelming demand, challenges and opportunities to domain, model and data driven modeling. This paper provides a comprehensive review of the challenges, tasks,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-08-05 Longbing Cao , Qing Liu

As the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has shown profound effects on public health and the economy worldwide, it becomes crucial to assess the impact on the virus transmission and develop effective strategies to address the challenge. A…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-12 Chih-Li Sung