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The micro-randomized trial (MRT) is a sequential randomized experimental design to empirically evaluate the effectiveness of mobile health (mHealth) intervention components that may be delivered at hundreds or thousands of decision points.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-14 Jieru Shi , Zhenke Wu , Walter Dempsey

Recent developments in causal inference have greatly shifted the interest from estimating the average treatment effect to the individual treatment effect. In this article, we improve the predictive accuracy of representation learning and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-05 Yang Sun , Wenbin Lu , Yi-Hui Zhou

The predominant method for evaluating the quality of causal models is to measure the graphical accuracy of the learned model structure. We present an alternative method for evaluating causal models that directly measures the accuracy of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-17 Dan Garant , David Jensen

In causal inference, interference occurs when the treatment of one unit may affect the outcomes of other units. The goal of this work is to serve as a guide to the use of linear outcome modeling for estimating causal effects in settings…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Eric Tong , Salvador V. Balkus

A pressing challenge in medical research is to identify optimal treatments for individual patients. This is particularly challenging in mental health settings where mean responses are often similar across multiple treatments. For example,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-08 Lanqiu Yao , Thaddeus Tarpey

Causal inference from observational data following the restricted structural causal models (SCM) framework hinges largely on the asymmetry between cause and effect from the data generating mechanisms, such as non-Gaussianity or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Kang Du , Yu Xiang

Characterization of long-term disease dynamics, from disease-free to end-stage, is integral to understanding the course of neurodegenerative diseases such as Parkinson's and Alzheimer's; and ultimately, how best to intervene. Natural…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-12 Dan Li , Samuel Iddi , Wesley K. Thompson , Michael C. Donohue

A new modeling framework for bipartite social networks arising from a sequence of partially time-ordered relational events is proposed. We directly model the joint distribution of the binary variables indicating if each single actor is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-23 Francesco Bartolucci , Antonietta Mira , Stefano Peluso

In electronic health records (EHRs), latent subgroups of patients may exhibit distinctive patterning in their longitudinal health trajectories. For such data, growth mixture models (GMMs) enable classifying patients into different latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-12 Rebecca Anthopolos , Ying Wei , Qixuan Chen

Molecular dynamics (MD) is a powerful technique for studying microscopic phenomena, but its computational cost has driven significant interest in the development of deep learning-based surrogate models. We introduce generative modeling of…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-27 Bowen Jing , Hannes Stärk , Tommi Jaakkola , Bonnie Berger

A new statistical technique for constructing linear latent structure (LLS) models from available data, supported by well established theoretical results and an efficient algorithm, is presented. The method reduces the problem of estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 I. Akushevich , M. Kovtun , A. I. Yashin , K. G. Manton

Fatigue crack growth is one of the most common types of deterioration in metal structures with significant implications on their reliability. Recent advances in Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) have motivated the use of structural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-12 Nicholas E. Silionis , Konstantinos N. Anyfantis

Establishing causality is a fundamental goal in fields like medicine and social sciences. While randomized controlled trials are the gold standard for causal inference, they are not always feasible or ethical. Observational studies can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-03 Andrew Ying

A dynamic treatment regimen (DTR) is a pre-specified sequence of decision rules which maps baseline or time-varying measurements on an individual to a recommended intervention or set of interventions. Sequential multiple assignment…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-23 Brook Luers , Min Qian , Inbal Nahum-Shani , Connie Kasari , Daniel Almirall

The spatial linear mixed model (SLMM) consists of fixed and spatial random effects that may be linearly dependent. Partially motivated as a means to address potential issues with confounding, the Restricted spatial regression (RSR) model…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Jonathan R. Bradley

Clinical case reports encode temporal patient trajectories that are often underexploited by traditional machine learning methods relying on structured data. In this work, we introduce the forecasting problem from textual time series, where…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Shahriar Noroozizadeh , Sayantan Kumar , Jeremy C. Weiss

Longitudinal voice biomarkers provide a non-invasive source of information for monitoring Parkinson's disease progression, but their statistical analysis is difficult because repeated measurements from the same subject are correlated,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-28 Ran Tong , Lanruo Wang , Tong Wang , Wei Yan

Personalized medicine based on medical images, including predicting future individualized clinical disease progression and treatment response, would have an enormous impact on healthcare and drug development, particularly for diseases (e.g.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Joshua Durso-Finley , Berardino Barile , Jean-Pierre Falet , Douglas L. Arnold , Nick Pawlowski , Tal Arbel

We consider sequential treatment regimes where each unit is exposed to combinations of interventions over time. When interventions are described by qualitative labels, such as "close schools for a month due to a pandemic" or "promote this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-31 Jialin Yu , Andreas Koukorinis , Nicolò Colombo , Yuchen Zhu , Ricardo Silva

We demonstrate a comprehensive semiparametric approach to causal mediation analysis, addressing the complexities inherent in settings with longitudinal and continuous treatments, confounders, and mediators. Our methodology utilizes a…