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Related papers: Focusing Viral Risk Ranking Tool on Prediction

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Utilizing established risk factors and prognostic models can often improve the construction of a newer risk model that uses novel biomarkers in a smaller, internal study. However, directly borrowing information from an established…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 Nicholas C. Henderson

The seasonal human influenza virus undergoes rapid evolution, leading to significant changes in circulating viral strains from year to year. These changes are typically driven by adaptive mutations, particularly in the antigenic epitopes,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-28 Matthijs Meijers , Denis Ruchnewitz , Jan Eberhardt , Malancha Karmakar , Marta Łuksza , Michael Lässig

Current models for predicting social media virality rely heavily on static textual and structural features, effectively ignoring the highly dynamic nature of trend signals. We study whether real-world attention signals can improve the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Sarvagya Somvanshi , Mohan Xu , Rakhi Chadalavada , Nathan Canera

Detecting variation in the evolutionary process along chromosomes is increasingly important as whole-genome data becomes more widely available. For example, factors such as incomplete lineage sorting, horizontal gene transfer, and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-03 Elizabeth S. Allman , Laura S. Kubatko , John A. Rhodes

Algorithmic fairness is an increasingly important field concerned with detecting and mitigating biases in machine learning models. There has been a wealth of literature for algorithmic fairness in regression and classification however there…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Raphael Sonabend , Florian Pfisterer , Alan Mishler , Moritz Schauer , Lukas Burk , Sumantrak Mukherjee , Sebastian Vollmer

The COVID-19 pandemic is spreading rapidly around the world, causing countries to impose lockdowns and efforts to develop vaccines on a global scale. However, human-to-animal and animal-to-human transmission cannot be ignored, as severe…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-20 Zi Hian Tan , Kian Yan Yong , Jian-Jun Shu

This study considers testing the specification of spillover effects in causal inference. We focus on experimental settings in which the treatment assignment mechanism is known to researchers. We develop a new randomization test utilizing a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-27 Tadao Hoshino , Takahide Yanagi

Estimating causal effects in the presence of spillover among individuals embedded within a social network is often challenging with missing information. The spillover effect is the effect of an intervention if a participant is not exposed…

Since early 2024, highly pathogenic avian influenza virus (HPAIV) H5N1 of clade 2.3.4.4b has spilled over from wild birds to dairy cattle in the United States (U.S.), spreading to more than 1000 herds and threatening both animal and public…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-12 You Chang , Jose L. Gonzales , Erik Rattenborg , Mart C. M. de Jong , Beate Conrady

Accurately assessing software vulnerabilities is essential for effective prioritization and remediation. While various scoring systems exist to support this task, their differing goals, methodologies and outputs often lead to inconsistent…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Viktoria Koscinski , Mark Nelson , Ahmet Okutan , Robert Falso , Mehdi Mirakhorli

The accurate prediction of danger levels in video content is critical for enhancing safety and security systems, particularly in environments where quick and reliable assessments are essential. In this study, we perform a comparative…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Pranav Gupta , Pratham Gohil , Sridhar S

The rapid growth of e-commerce has made people accustomed to shopping online. Before making purchases on e-commerce websites, most consumers tend to rely on rating scores and review information to make purchase decisions. With this…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-07-07 Yingqiang Ge , Shuyuan Xu , Shuchang Liu , Zuohui Fu , Fei Sun , Yongfeng Zhang

In the era of information explosion, numerous items emerge every day, especially in feed scenarios. Due to the limited system display slots and user browsing attention, various recommendation systems are designed not only to satisfy users'…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Jiayin Wang , Weizhi Ma , Chumeng Jiang , Min Zhang , Yuan Zhang , Biao Li , Peng Jiang

In settings where Machine Learning (ML) algorithms automate or inform consequential decisions about people, individual decision subjects are often incentivized to strategically modify their observable attributes to receive more favorable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-10 Keegan Harris , Daniel Ngo , Logan Stapleton , Hoda Heidari , Zhiwei Steven Wu

While achieving high prediction accuracy is a fundamental goal in machine learning, an equally important task is finding a small number of features with high explanatory power. One popular selection technique is permutation importance,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-02 Min Lu , Hemant Ishwaran

The unexpected Ebola virus outbreak in West Africa in 2014 involving the Zaire ebolavirus made clear that other regions outside Central Africa, its previously documented niche, were at risk of future epidemics. The complex transmission…

Randomized controlled trials are not only the golden standard in medicine and vaccine trials but have spread to many other disciplines like behavioral economics, making it an important interdisciplinary tool for scientists. When designing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Tassilo Schwarz

Where machine-learned predictive risk scores inform high-stakes decisions, such as bail and sentencing in criminal justice, fairness has been a serious concern. Recent work has characterized the disparate impact that such risk scores can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Nathan Kallus , Angela Zhou

Selective Classification, wherein models can reject low-confidence predictions, promises reliable translation of machine-learning based classification systems to real-world scenarios such as clinical diagnostics. While current evaluation of…

Synthetic control (SC) models are widely used to estimate causal effects in settings with observational time-series data. To identify the causal effect on a target unit, SC requires the existence of correlated units that are not impacted by…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-18 Michael O'Riordan , Ciarán M. Gilligan-Lee